* Japan's biggest needs right now for reconstruction? Wood & LNG
If you saw video's of the disaster in Japan then you know that wood was the biggest destruction on the videos. That being said, Lumber, plywood, wood floors, doors, trim, cabinets, stairs, & furniture are Japans biggest replacement items needed that require wood.
The other biggest item needed is LNG, with damaged power plants being shut down probably for years if they ever do come back online, Japan will need LNG to replace the energy it has lost from the Power plants.
Weyerhaeuser, West Fraser, Canfor May Gain if Japanese Rebuild With Wood By Christopher Donville - Mar 11, 2011 4:35 PM ET
Weyerhaeuser Co. (WY), West Fraser Timber Co. and other North American lumber producers may benefit as Japan recovers from a tsunami and its strongest earthquake on record, according to Dundee Securities.
“With wood construction significantly more earthquake- resistant than concrete, we expect that the majority of the rebuilding to be done using wood as a construction material,” Richard Kelertas, a Montreal-based analyst, said today in a note to clients. “This should have positive impact on most of our North American timber, lumber and building materials stocks.”
Kelertas upgraded International Forest Products Ltd. (IFP/A) and Canfor Corp. (CFP), both based in Vancouver, to “buy” from “neutral” and expects increased demand for wood products to last six to 12 months as rebuilding accelerates.
Hundreds were reported missing after waves as high as 7 meters (23 feet) swept ashore in Japan, according to state broadcaster NHK, which showed footage of flood waters sweeping away buildings and vehicles. Airports were closed and an emergency evacuation order was issued for a nuclear power plant north of Tokyo.
Weyerhaeuser, based in Federal Way, Washington, rose $1.43, or 6.2 percent, to $24.38 at 4:15 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Vancouver-based West Fraser Timber Co., North America’s largest maker of lumber for building construction, climbed C$3.17, or 6.7 percent, to C$50.83 on the Toronto Stock Exchange.
International Forest Products surged 80 cents, or 15 percent, to C$6 in Toronto, the biggest gain since December 2008, while Canfor advanced 88 cents, or 7.2 percent to C$13.07.
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US GAS: Futures Rise On Chance LNG Diverted To Japan
MARCH 14, 2011, 10:51 A.M. ET
By Ryan Dezember Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
HOUSTON (Dow Jones)--Natural gas futures rose Monday on the prospect of liquefied natural gas deliveries being diverted to earthquake-struck Japan from the U.S.
Natural gas for April delivery traded up 11.2 cents, or 2.88%, at $4.001 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The benchmark contract hasn't traded above $4/MMBtu since March 1.
"The prolonged risk of nuclear outages could divert spot LNG cargoes to Japan and incrementally tighten LNG supply," analysts with Barclays Capital said. "Any support for U.S. prices, however, should be short-lived as the U.S. market is not a competitive bidder for spot cargoes and LNG receipts have little room to go lower."
Liquefied natural gas imports accounted for 1.8% of U.S. consumption last year, according to the Energy Information Administration. Also, many contracts for LNG are long-term, potentially limiting the number of shippers who can divert deliveries toward higher prices.
Still, Barclays Capital estimates the U.S. could lose out on as much as 600 million cubic feet of delivered gas a day as Japan seeks to replace shut-in nuclear capacity.
Analysts with Simmons & Co. said two similar nuclear shutdowns in the last decade caused double-digit jumps in liquefied natural gas demand. If all of Japan's nuclear power is replaced with natural gas-generated power, demand there will rise 1.7 billion cubic feet a day, analysts said.
U.S. gas futures have fallen steadily since the end of January as traders expected heating demand to dwindle and producers to rapidly refill stockpiles that were drawn down by a colder-than-usual winter. An oversupply, coming mostly from producers tapping onshore shale formations, has pressured prices for the last two years.
For much of the winter, futures traded below $4.80/MMBtu--and often below $4/MMBtu--despite frigid temperatures that triggered steady draw-downs of what were record U.S. supplies in November.
Heating demand is expected to wane, however. Private forecasters Commodity Weather Group predict "a surge of warmth" for the gas-consuming Midwest and East Coast this week and next.
Without heating demand to push prices, look for broad economic data, such as numbers on retail sales and housing, to influence futures, analysts with Cameron Hanover wrote in a research note.
"At the same point, an improvement in the economy almost has to yield heavier demand for natural gas, when it arrives," the analysts said.
-By Ryan Dezember, Dow Jones Newswires; 713-547-9208; firstname.lastname@example.org
-Matt Day in New York contributed to this article.