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TMFJake (59.90)

11/04/08 - Predict The Market

Recs

11

November 03, 2008 – Comments (6)

11/03/08 CAPS Community Call:  52% of you thought that the S&P would end down for the day.  At market close, the S&P was down .25% to 966.30.  Essentially flat, but it goes in the win column.

Historical Accuracy:  70% (7 for 10).

Make your prediction for Tuesday's S&P 500 performance below:

Panicometer 11/03 Score: -11.48

VIX:  53.68 -10.37%

TED Spread:  2.42 -8.618%

Two-year Treasury Yields: 1.43 -7.14%  

Get out and vote!

 

6 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On November 03, 2008 at 5:44 PM, kdakota630 (31.51) wrote:

I'm guessing "up" again.

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#2) On November 03, 2008 at 6:32 PM, johnw106 (61.79) wrote:

I think it will be more or less flat , but went with bear as a pick.

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#3) On November 03, 2008 at 7:24 PM, jerryguru69 (93.35) wrote:

Hoping for a nice up day. Plus, investor reaction surprising mild to news of a 1+ year recession, and it is election day; everyone will be in a good mood. Panicometer score starting to settle down. Coming to realize that VIX is a good way to analyze investor mood during the previous trading day, but not very useful in predicting next day mood (or maybe it is, and I am just not reading the tea leaves correctly). It is a good indicator of how wild ride you will get the next day, but not related to closing up or down.

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#4) On November 03, 2008 at 7:35 PM, columbia1 wrote:

Flat in the morning,  big sell-off in the afternoon!

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#5) On November 03, 2008 at 10:09 PM, TheBubbleBoy (< 20) wrote:

Up. In fact, everyone who failed to buy thus far will now be priced out of the market. Sorry.

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#6) On November 04, 2008 at 2:11 AM, monksnake (40.93) wrote:

I guess up early, down late, no big swings almost just like today as we are waiting for election results.

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