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stockmktdouble (54.18)




April 26, 2013 – Comments (6) | RELATED TICKERS: DGAZ , AFFY , UNXL

Below you will find 6 different experiments/strategies to find the elusive formula that doubles your portfolio in one year or less. I started this journey on April  16, 2013 with The 3x ETF Strategy One. This strategy to date has been an unmitigated disaster, losing approximately 19% in a little over a week. I'm shocked how poorly it has performed.

There is no doubt that I have learned a great deal already about how to trade the 3x etf's. Although it's only been a little over a week, it appears that if a 3x ETF has a big move one day, it is highly likely that it will reverse more often than not the next trading day.

One thing I am certain about is that, I will find at formula that has a very high success ratio.  The question is whether or not the formula can consistently perform at a high level. I have high hopes for both of the long strategies that are being tested. Long Strategy One is a pure play based on a technical set up and Long Strategy 2 is more of a momentum play. The results for the strategies are below:                           

3 X ETF STRATEGY II this strategy is designed to hold for 1-4 weeks

4/24-bought 1024 shares of DGAZ at $9.77
Initial Investment: $10k
Current Balance: $10,174.00
2% profit
Annualized return 500% 

LONG STRATEGY II this strategy holds the stock for 1 month

4/22-DGIT-bought 1567 shares at $6.38
initial investment: $10k
Current Balance: $10,906.00
9% profit
Annualized Return: 1,170%

based on buying leaps for stocks headed to bankruptcy
this strategy is a buy and hold type strategy

4/18-AFFY, 10 January 2014 $3 contracts at $2.20 
4/18-short 1889 shares of BIOF at $4.13
-there are no options available on this stock but I am pretty certain they will go bankrupt so I'm going to include this in the strategy anyway.

initial investment in this strategy: $10k
Balance for strategy: $9,100.00
9% loss
annualized return -468%

LONG STRATEGY based on technical setup.
this strategy averages 3-5 trades weekly.


4/24-bought 572 shares of EAC at $17.41
4/25-closed position on EAC at $19.18

4/19-bought 1818 shares HIMX at $5.50
4/24-closed HIMX position at $5.48

4/17-bought 2985 shares of EVC at $3.35
4/19-closed EVC position at $3.35

initial investment: $10k
balance: $10,971.00
10% profit
annualized return: 430% 



strategy is to short over priced stocks with underwhelming fundamentals
this strategy averages 1-3 trades per month.

4/18-short 262 shares of unxl at 38.10

Initial investment: $10k
balance: $11,100
profit 1%
annualized return: 52%

strictly a momentum play on the 3x etf
this strategy averages 3-5 trades weekly.

4/25-bought 694 shares of USLV at $11.72

4/24-bought 612 shares of NUGT at 12.85
4/25-closed NUGT position at $13.29

4/23-bought 92 shares of DUST at $105.15
4/24-closed DUST position at $85.47

4/22-bought 1027 shares dgaz at $9.17
4/23-closed position on DGAZ at $9.43

4/19-bought 157 shares of TQQQ at $58.26
4/22-closed position on TQQQ at $60.14

4/18-bought 828 shares of NUGT at $10.63
4/19-closed position on NUGT at $11.05

4/17-bought  82 shares of DUST at $118.19
4/18-closed  position on DUST at $107.33

4/16-bought 938 shares of USLV at $10.66
4/17-closed position on USLV at $10.34

initial investment: $10k
balance: $8133.00
loss 19%
annualized return: -771%

6 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On April 26, 2013 at 11:14 AM, edwjm (99.88) wrote:

CAPS is not the same as real life.  What works in CAPS is not the same as what works in real life.  When one plays a game, you have to respect the rules of the game and plan strategy accordingly.  I wish CAPS would change the rules to make it more like real life, but I don't think it is going to happen.  I use ETFs on CAPS, but I don't touch them in real life.  CAPS would be improved greatly if they were banned.

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#2) On April 26, 2013 at 9:08 PM, HarryCaraysGhost (87.19) wrote:

I was under the assumption that they always lose your money if you wait long enough. So they make a great red thumb for Caps.

RL not so much.



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#3) On April 27, 2013 at 12:11 AM, jiltin (45.07) wrote:

It looks to me industry selection matters a lot. Presently, real estate, medical/pharmacy and S&P are going up.

Let me choose the ETFs as sample in CAPS for a week and will also invest real life and then post the results.

Following three are my choices.

CURE, 10 shares,89.35

UPRO,10 shares,120.29

RETL,10 shares,48.61

Let us see how it goes 

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#4) On April 28, 2013 at 11:15 AM, stockmktdouble (54.18) wrote:

cure, upro, retl-interesting stuff

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#5) On April 28, 2013 at 12:33 PM, HarryCaraysGhost (87.19) wrote:

Just to see what happens I put all three 3x Etfs as a red thumb on Caps.

I hope you make money on your trade, but I would never touch these things in real life.

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#6) On May 06, 2013 at 12:35 PM, jiltin (45.07) wrote:

CURE, 10 shares,89.35, always dropped down, negative 

UPRO,10 shares,120.29, really good positive

RETL,10 shares,48.61, somewhat better positive.

04/29/2013BUYORDER POSTINGCURE10.0000$90.43-$911.2504/29/2013BUYORDER POSTINGRETL10.0000$48.61-$493.0404/29/2013BUYORDER POSTINGUPRO5.0000$122.00



05/06/2013SELLORDER POSTINGUPRO-5.0000$127.80$632.0505/06/2013SELLORDER POSTINGRETL-10.0000$50.11$494.1505/06/2013SELLORDER POSTINGCURE-10.0000$88.55$878.55


 Effective +4.95


But, it is too early to conclude, I understand. I do not want to keep it for a long time and sold it.

Perhaps, It is better to invest with higher amount on RETL, UPRO while bull market is going on.


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