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alstry (35.36)

4,000,000 Teaching Jobs About to Be CUT

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July 28, 2010 – Comments (17)

Again....Just Like Alstry forecasted...soon the concept of school as we know it will be over...

Welcome To The Digital Age....

Summer School Goes Online

That is 4,000,000 teachers NOT driving their cars everyday saving tremendous amount of fuel and not needing automoblies

4,000,000 teachers not paying taxes destroying the tax base of America

Tens of thousands of buildings serving little or no purpose and not consuming utilities

In the Digital Age....you simply don't need many people...as nearly EVERYTHING goes online and the system as you know it becomes facts in a history book.

 

SERIOUSLY MY SHEEP...DO YOU REALLY THINK YOU ARE "INVESTORS" WHEN BOTH GOVERNMENT AND WALL STREET ARE EACH BORROWING MORE THAN THE TOTAL EARNINGS OF AMERICAN CORPORATIONS?

YOU REALLY THINK THOSE EARNINGS ARE REAL OR BASED ON ANYTHING MORE THAN BORROWING?

 

 

 

17 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On July 28, 2010 at 8:31 AM, alstry (35.36) wrote:

AT SOME POINT YOU WILL WAKE UP......OR BE ROASTED LAMBS

Long Term Unemployment is Hard on your Health 

Floridian's Confidence in their own Finances Hits a Record Low

Dayton Area Home Starts off 38% in June

Supply of Homes Set to Grow

State Controller John Chiang: State to Run out of Cash in Oct.

 

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#2) On July 28, 2010 at 9:51 AM, Teacherman1 (57.92) wrote:

Alstry - I have tried to ignore posting comments to your blogs, but this one is just absurd.

There are a lot of districts cutting back on new hires, and some are cutting positions, but 4,000,000; that number is ridiculous. 

JMO and worth exactly what I am charging for it. 

No rec, no more comments.

Have a great day. 

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#3) On July 28, 2010 at 10:15 AM, alstry (35.36) wrote:

Soon, ALL education will be delivered online...ALL

There are OVER 4,000,000 teachers.... well over....

So 4,000,000 will likely be a conservative number.....

There are well over 15,000,000 people that work in health care in America....expect AT LEAST 75% of them to lose their jobs...

In 1950 only 1% of our GDP was health care...today it is approaching 20%.....so my 75% number is likely conservative too!

Update: King’s Daughters Hospital - 85 Layoffs, 150 reduced to part-time

LCA-Vision Lasik closing Birmingham Location

Jordan Hospital - 15

TEACHERMAN...YOU CAN'T IGNORE MY BLOGS...THEY ARE BASED ON FACTS AND AS AN EDUCATOR YOU ARE COMPELLED TO LEARN

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#4) On July 28, 2010 at 10:23 AM, Teacherman1 (57.92) wrote:

My apologies Alstry. If the number of teachers in the U.S. is actually the 76,000,000 I found on the net, than that would be only about 5% of the workforce. However, since the state of Texas employess only 320,000, I find that number a little hard to believe.

If it is accurate, than there must be a lot of states with almost a one to one teacher to student ratio.

You are correct that more and more education will be done via the internet, but this is more likely to be done within a classroom setting than with all the students sitting at home.

While the district I work for did not provide an actual increas in teachers salaries ( usually averaging about 2% a year), they are not cutting back on staff. 

They will, however be providing what is called a "step" increase because the state mandates it. How much anyone gets will depend on where they are on the ladder, which is based on the number of years of teaching experience the individual has.

I am one of the lucky ones, because of where I am on that ladder.

I see you made some picks in CAPS. Were you worried that TMF could cut you off. :)

Have a great day. 

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#5) On July 28, 2010 at 10:59 AM, ocsurf (< 20) wrote:

This has to be one of the most absurd blogs. Obviously, Mr. Digital Age has zero knowledge about education. If education were to go completely or mostly online then who is going to grade the papers and tests that are submitted? Who is going to issue the grades and post them to transcripts? TEACHERS!

As someone who teaches online courses, online education will only INCREASE teaching jobs.

Thanks again for your worthless ingnorance.

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#6) On July 28, 2010 at 11:05 AM, davejh23 (< 20) wrote:

teacherman - Are you sure the number wasn't 7.6 million?  There's no way that there are 76 million teachers.  There aren't even 76 million students, including K-12, undergrad and graduate students.  This would be more like a 2-to-1 teacher-to-student ratio in many states.  I live in an area that has the fastest growing student population in the country, and while the local school districts are still cutting teachers, I find it hard to believe that more than 50% of teaching jobs could be cut...unless parents voluntarily pull kids from public schools in large numbers.  Having observed elementary schooler's parents closely, I'm confident that the majority are far too lazy to want their kids at home, and to help them with their schooling.

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#7) On July 28, 2010 at 11:27 AM, Teacherman1 (57.92) wrote:

davejh23 - you are correct. That number was for students, not teachers.

Looked too quickly with my one good eye, that is currently blurry from lack of sleep. My wife had surgery on her foot and can not drive right now. Unfortunately for me, she goes to work at 5AM, and I don't go to sleep until 11 or 12PM. 

As I stated, with Texas having only 320,000 teachers, that number had to be wrong. It is probably much closer to one tenth of that, and the layoff that Alstry was predicting would be 50% plus, which is ridiculous.

You are also correct on your observation concerning the unintended, but very real role of schools as "day care" centers for older kids.

Have a great day. 

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#8) On July 28, 2010 at 11:40 AM, alstry (35.36) wrote:

Who is going to grade the papers?

Computers will grade the papers...just like they are doing right now...plus students will not have wait for the results...it will come instantly.

As far as having knowledge about teaching......my wife has been a grade school teacher for well over 20 years....our friends are teachers...my in laws are University Professors...one with an expertise in artificial intelligence......we have more advanced degrees in my family than I care to admit.....

Much of it will be meaningless in the near future....trust me.

If you are a teacher or in health care...your world is about to change dramtically in the next few years........Alstrymous will guide you into the Digital Age......

As now nearly every pension plan in America is insolvent!

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#9) On July 28, 2010 at 12:07 PM, Teacherman1 (57.92) wrote:

The Teacher's  Retirement Fund of Texas is quite solvent, thank you.

 

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#10) On July 28, 2010 at 12:08 PM, biotechmgr (34.93) wrote:

Education is one area where tremendous efficiency could be gained. Develop one core curriculum with universal delivery via Web. Kids like video better than teachers anyway. Fewer class distractions. Less total work and effort for unit production. Is that not capitalism? I think this trend will bear out.

Supplement it with afterschool programs and once per week contact time with a teacher. Fewer capital / facility requirements.

 

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#11) On July 28, 2010 at 12:11 PM, biotechmgr (34.93) wrote:

Maybe grades should be obsolete if it is so much work to produce them. Maybe the focus should be on learning, not grading.

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#12) On July 28, 2010 at 12:16 PM, dargus (89.58) wrote:

Alstry, if all this teaching goes online, and we do fire all the teacher, who is going to maintain the infrastructure? Guess what, it will be people who all have jobs. Also, computers aren't that great at subjective grading things like essays. Your hystaria is getting old. I remember when the market was going to crash again...and again...and again.

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#13) On July 28, 2010 at 1:31 PM, alstry (35.36) wrote:

What hysteria?  It is called progress.  You remind me of a farmer using a mule whining about how the tractor is going to get rid of 90% of farmers.

As far as the infastructure...it will be turned into farmland...just like they are planning for half of Detroit.

The market has already crashed...just ask anyone who owns commercial real estate....and soon you will understand too;)

My how people take progress and change as dooms day.....it is simply revolutionary evolution....get used to it...because it will likely make your skills useless.

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#14) On July 28, 2010 at 1:36 PM, dargus (89.58) wrote:

No, the techonological infrastructure. If you are teaching online, someone maintains the servers, writes the software, and sells the power to run them. All of these things require jobs. I am the tractor, Alstry.

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#15) On July 28, 2010 at 1:53 PM, alstry (35.36) wrote:

Yes...for every 100 teachers we get rid of...one new technology job will be created.....that ratio maybe be conservative as well.....and as far as energy usage...for all the extra energy consumed by delivering the technology, many times will be saved shutting down the existing obsolete infastructure.....

especially as new technology shrinks the current footprint, energy usage, and size of computers....

India has recently announced it has developed a $39 tablet.....they are working on bringing it down to $20.

Further, most of what you are currently investing in will be worthless in the next few years...just like real estate.....I remember vividly when Poloroid was going to take over the world....then it was .....and so on and so on...

As far as electricity, there will be no shortgage with the rise of nooklear power.......you may want to look to Russia and Mitsubishi for advancements.

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#16) On July 28, 2010 at 2:11 PM, dargus (89.58) wrote:

You remind me of Glenn Beck. When are these four million teachers going to lose their jobs? According to BLS, there are only four million teachers from pre-school through the end of secondary education, including vocational schools. Please tell me what is going to replace them tomorrow, or next year, or a decade from now. You can’t because such a technology doesn’t exist, and it most likely won’t for a long time. Every single teacher replaced? Yes, and the president is putting together a secret socialist cabal too. Look at all these random stories I cobbled together to prove it.

 

Your Digital Age is a long way off from today. Perhaps in fifty years computers will be able to do many of our jobs, but today they can't. Until we discover how to create real intelligence, these artificial parlor tricks will only get us so far. In your world human labor seems to be obsolete. If that is the case, computers will also be smart enough to render human intelligence obsolete too. So no one has a job, and there is no economy. This is much different than tractors replacing physical labor. In this society I probably won’t need money, or investments, because I won’t need to do anything. No one will. Sounds preposterous, doesn’t it?

 

As for my investments, I’m pretty sure people will still be buying soda, food and toilet paper in fifty years.

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#17) On July 28, 2010 at 3:03 PM, alstry (35.36) wrote:

Actually 40,000,000 people are getting food stamps to purchase those things today.....if you factor 50,000,000 social security recipients and 25,000,000 government workers and their families.....pretty much government is the biggest consumer of the soda, food, and toilet paper you mention...how long do you think it will be before government is the producer as well?

A few decades ago, the above number was less than 20% of what it is today........times change...and you will too.

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