November 14, 2008 –
Since I am using CAPS as a playground for my quantitative system, this is just meant as a note for the record rather than a blog relevant to anyone else. [more]
September 05, 2008 –
There is a lot of discussion in the media and everywhere else as to where and whether housing has bottomed. I'm going to make a bold statement: that it is possible to get a rough idea of how far housing will fall, and that it is not rocket science. [more]
August 22, 2008 –
Most of the reason I don't comment on any of my picks is that I only loosely follow most of the companies or sectors I am choosing. I have put a large amount of work into a purely systematic ('quantitive') computer driven model for rating and choosing stocks. I'm using this model to drive my picks here, using CAPS as a playground for the model. I use the model to manage a large part of my portfolio in real life also. Ultimately, if the model continues to work, which I believe it should, the maths behind it is pretty sound, i would like to consider starting another quantitative hedge fund based on it. [more]
July 03, 2008 –
I think by now everyone, if they haven't had their heads stuck in sand, has seen/read/heard about the up and coming demographic crisis. Baby boomers who have kept american and world economies humming along for the past 20 years will be retiring in droves over the next 20 years. The ratio of workers to non-workers (children and retirees) will halfvein some countries by 2050 if present trends continue. And if this ratio was to halve the consequences could be devastating. To use a very simplistic example, if you were the tax collector and your tax base halved, you would have to double taxes to receive the same income. But if you increase tax by even 10's of percents, people are going to leave the country and move to more tax friendly regimes, further lowering your tax base...\n\n [more]
January 06, 2008 –
Some players have complained about the number of red thumbs used, especially by the leading players, since this does not help them in their stock selection as they don't short stocks in their real life portfolios. [more]
Terms & Conditions
RSS Headlines
Fool UK