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hrc777 (< 20)



blood in the streets-update

September 13, 2010 – Comments (0)

Since my Aug 31 post on excessive pessimism in the market we have had a nice rally.  Judging by the futures, we could extend that rally today.  I mentioned I was overall bearish but I dont see the market tanking unless something unforseen happens.  I'm willing to take a market short ( I dont short individual stocks in caps) via sds if this rally continues.  [more]



Blood in the streets

August 31, 2010 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: BAC , C

Well, this market isnt exactly like the panic of 08, but the level of bearishness is at a point where I have to consider buying (for a trade)  I'm still bearish overall and in my personal portfolio I am close to 100% cash, short term bonds, gold and oil.  [more]



TMF themes I see are bear market and safety

February 26, 2010 – Comments (3)

As I read through the blogs, those 2 themes are what stand out to me at this point.  We've had a long rally but gone no where since mid-October.  So now we are bearish and cautious (myself included).  GDP looks good, but we expected good numbers - inventory rebuild... temporary long can it last? etc.  We're going to have some kinda ...flation, dont know what kind but its going to be ugly.  [more]



Goal- Sacrifice CAPS points to build a model portfolio

February 17, 2010 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: TLT

Dont know if anyone will ever read this, but no matter, I will get something out of it even if no one else does.  Many of my picks have been stocks I like but they tend to be small caps which is not what you want in a portfolio.  True for most everyone, but especially for an older, cautious typle like myself.  What I'm going to do is add stuff like bonds (via etfs) and dividend paying stocks.  In my comments I will give not only my reason for selection but also my market outlook, which I intend to update by adding comments to my own comments.  [more]



allstar schmallstar

February 10, 2010 – Comments (5)

Allstars are defined as being in the top 80 percent of caps.  Yesterday I blogged about a random sample of 100 caps ratings in the 70's (25% active) and it was suggested that allstars would be more useful in checking a stocks rating.  WRONG.  I did a small random sample of 60 all stars in the low 80's.  15% were active (made a pick in the last 6 months).  72% had not made a pick since 2008 and OVER HALF had not made a pick since 2007.  [more]

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