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EverydayInvestor (< 20)

March 2009



Evidence-based thinking: High-fructose corn syrup

March 30, 2009 – Comments (78) | RELATED TICKERS: HF , C , S

I just spent the last couple hours researching high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) after a disagreement I had with my best friend over the weekend. I did this for no reason other than I like to learn ... I already avoid most sweetened foods (except chocolate .... mmmm, chocolate) so it is a purely academic exercise. This is emblematic of how I think about things: I try to research things in depth so that I truly understand what I am saying (for a college newspaper opinion piece that was never finished let alone published I once skimmed over 50 research papers on global warming!). This is also the philosophy behind my investing / trading: I always ask what works and why it works. Too often people seem content to think only briefly about a subject before forming a strong opinion.   [more]



Tens of Millions Dead, Starvation Across the East Coast

March 27, 2009 – Comments (38) | RELATED TICKERS: E

And all due to space weather.  [more]



Understanding Statistics in the News

March 26, 2009 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: ONNN.DL , CE

This is a six-part series from the BBC and journalist Michael Blastland (co-author of The Numbers Game).  [more]



Were you stupid enough to buy Microsoft 25 years ago?

March 26, 2009 – Comments (20) | RELATED TICKERS: MSFT , FSLR , AAPL

Everyone talks about how they wish they had been smart enough to buy companies like Microsoft (MSFT) when they it was a much smaller company. However, at the time and for much of its history, Microsoft had a vastly inferior product. It was a combination of good marketing / pricing skills and lots of luck that led Microsoft to the top. Check out this great article at ComputerWorld to learn about other operating systems that were better and yet never made it.  [more]



Mr. Kurtz ... His Company Dead

March 25, 2009 – Comments (14)

(okay, it ain't dead yet, but soon ...)

Oh long lost love of mine
who hath so bitterly spurned me!
Finally I have borrows on 300k shares of thine
and shall short them mercilessly!



The End of American Labor Mobility

March 24, 2009 – Comments (16) | RELATED TICKERS: DNA , SGP.DL2 , MRK

See this great article at The Economist.  [more]



The use of vulgarity is, always and everywhere, a sign of ineloquence

March 22, 2009 – Comments (23) | RELATED TICKERS: F , BOM , B

It is sad that so many bloggers here on CAPS feel the need to use such language to garner attention.   [more]



The Greatest Series of Investing Blog Posts in the History of the World: Part 1.1, An Introduction to Evidence-Based Investing

March 17, 2009 – Comments (26) | RELATED TICKERS: MSI , VEU , VTI

The Plight of the Ordinary Investor

A few finance professors measured the performance of all investors in Taiwan over a period of years by looking at the data direct from the exchange. They found that individual investors and traders underperformed the Taiwanese stock market by an average of 3.8 percentage points per year. Institutions outperformed by an average of 1.5 percentage points. While comprehensive data such as these are not available in the United States, smaller surveys have consistently shown that individual investors underperform the broad market, whether they buy individual stocks or mutual funds or hedge funds. Individual investors are often like kids suffering from shiny ball syndrome: whatever stock is hot or in the news catches their attention and they buy it; they trade too much generating lots of commissions, sub-par returns, and big tax bills. Such ‘investing’ is the opposite of rational investing.  [more]



The Greatest Series of Investing Blog Posts in the History of the World: Part 1.2, An Introduction to Evidence-Based Investing

March 17, 2009 – Comments (37) | RELATED TICKERS: MSI , DNA , CSCO

(This is a continuation of the next blog post--Part 1.1)   [more]



Tobin's Q Sending "Moderately Bullish Signal"

March 17, 2009 – Comments (6) | RELATED TICKERS: Q.DL2 , SPY

See blog post.  [more]



The Daily Show Rails Against Short Sellers

March 17, 2009 – Comments (8) | RELATED TICKERS: OSTK

Of course they have uber-loser Patrick Byrne on there whining about how short sellers almost destroyed his company (by running it poorly, having shoddy accounting, uninteresting products, and no real focus; oh wait, that was all Byrne's fault).   [more]



Please ignore this post

March 16, 2009 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: Q.DL2 , UAA , K

and one last random poll:  [more]



Another random poll

March 16, 2009 – Comments (11) | RELATED TICKERS: CH , EE , SE




A Random Poll

March 16, 2009 – Comments (30) | RELATED TICKERS: LL




Okay, I guess y'all call

March 15, 2009 – Comments (16) | RELATED TICKERS: L , O , VEOEY

My greatest blog post in the world, which is now looking like it will be a two-parter, will be coming tomorrow or Tuesday. It is far bigger than I had thought.  [more]



The Greatest Blog Post in the World

March 05, 2009 – Comments (51) | RELATED TICKERS: FE , A , R

This is not the greatest blog post in the world. It is just a tribute. This post is here just to warn you that a greater post is coming: a post that will demand more of you than any of you are willing to give. It will be a post that will pit brother against brother, father against daughter, man against himself. That post shall bring war to Fooldom, certainly--but it shall also bring justice and truth.  [more]



Barely getting by on $400,000 per year

March 05, 2009 – Comments (7) | RELATED TICKERS: MON , E , Y

See story at MSN Money (with video).  [more]



Median Family Net Worth Decreased by 18% in 2008

March 04, 2009 – Comments (11)

"A Fed study of U.S. family finances estimates median family net worth fell by 17.8 percent while mean net worth declined by 22.7 percent." See article here.  [more]



S&P 100 stocks 12 years ago: Where are they now?

March 04, 2009 – Comments (4) | RELATED TICKERS: TWX , EXC , WMT

See a list here. From blog post by Bespoke. Five of the hundred stocks went bankrupt, three after large frauds (Nortel, Enron, and Global Crossing), two after incompetence (Delta and Lehman). 36 stocks are up in the last 12 years, 43 are down, and 16 were acquired.  [more]



A fiat currency parable

March 03, 2009 – Comments (28) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , VTI , VEU

Note: graphic content. Reader discretion advised.   [more]

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