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alstry (35.21)

April 2009

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16

Alstry Calling the TOP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 30, 2009 – Comments (20)

Right Here Right Now.......DOW about 8300.  [more]

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9

Yup!!!! It's Definitely a Depression!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 30, 2009 – Comments (11)

Cummins earnings tumble.....for 2009 the engine maker sees sales down more than 30%.  [more]

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27

Recession Easing....Depression Just Starting!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 29, 2009 – Comments (24)

In the next 12 months...America is likely going to shutter 5000 car dealerships.  If each dealership averages 50 employees accross sales, service, management and finance.....we are looking at 250 thousand employees just from closing those businesses.  In addition, the manufacturers are likely going to shed at least 100K employees through this reorganization process including ending Pontiac and other brands.  If you figure there are about  5 supplier workers for each assembly worker, we are likely looking at another 500K workers.  [more]

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10

Wag the Pig......Thousands Dying from the Regular Flu

April 29, 2009 – Comments (5)

Regular flu has killed thousands since JanuaryStory Highlights Swine flu getting focus, but so far it's not deadly in United States Since January, more than 13,000 have died of complications from seasonal flu Worldwide annual death from the flu estimated between 250,000 and 500,000 About 9 out of 10 flu deaths are among people older than 65By Doug Gross
CNN

(CNN) -- There had been no confirmed deaths in the United States related to swine flu as of Tuesday afternoon. But another virus had killed thousands of people since January and is expected to keep killing hundreds of people every week for the rest of the year.  [more]

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15

This is a DEPRESSION...no matter what anyone tells you

April 29, 2009 – Comments (5)

U.S. 1Q exports fall 30%, imports fall 34.1%

A depression is only a 10% decline in GDP from peak to trough.........

You do the math.......

You can choose to see.......or simply shut your eyes......the choice is yours.....until they take it away from you........

without truth........there can be no democracy.

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19

Buffett Thinks this Woman is HOT!!!!!!

April 28, 2009 – Comments (7)

He invited her to Omaha for lunch.  Having just watched a few videos with her presenting, it is obvious what he sees in her............she says what he can't.....and obviously what the Gardner Brothers won't either..........  [more]

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12

Some Real Flu Statistics

April 27, 2009 – Comments (4)

And you Fools call Alstry a Fear Monger?.....it is amazing how many sheep graze in these fields.  [more]

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14

Now this is a TERMINAL FLU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 27, 2009 – Comments (11)

"At present, Scania foresees no change in the demand for vehicles in the coming quarters," said CEO Leif Ostling.   [more]

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7

Swine Flu vs. The FU Virus

April 27, 2009 – Comments (0)

Soon you Fools will learn........  [more]

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7

Alstrynomics Flu 4 You

April 27, 2009 – Comments (5)

Mexico City has a population of about 20 million people.  [more]

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11

Lying is Not Limited to Washington or Wall Street

April 26, 2009 – Comments (1)

Japan expects economy to shrink a record 3.3% in fiscal '09TOKYO   [more]

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15

What is the real unemployment rate???? 4%, 9% or 16%?????

April 26, 2009 – Comments (20)

In order to determine we have to understand how the fugures are defined.    [more]

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10

Ghoser.....Meet the Zobulator

April 25, 2009 – Comments (6)

The Zobulator..........NO!!!!  Not the Zombulator.  [more]

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16

Worldwide Depression??????

April 24, 2009 – Comments (5)

Germany's slump risks 'explosive' mood as second banking crisis looms  [more]

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11

Truly an Amazing Time.......on the brink or time to drink???

April 24, 2009 – Comments (17)

A record number of our citzens are losing their jobs and/or on the brink of bankruptcy.  [more]

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16

The Mother of All Mother FU viruses

April 23, 2009 – Comments (0)

NO NOT GM.........but that is a biggie.  [more]

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18

To My Fairy Fools....All Bets are OFF when the Misery ends

April 23, 2009 – Comments (13)

You know who you are.....those that like to stick their heads in the sand.  [more]

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20

Another 640K Americans Lost Their Jobs

April 23, 2009 – Comments (6)

US weekly initial jobless claims up 27K to 640K  [more]

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31

MUST READ!!!!!!! if you really want to know where things are going

April 22, 2009 – Comments (10)

Denninger has been nailing it right on the head lately........we are mathematically screwed and if we continue down the same road 30-50% unemployment is guaranteed and our healthcare system is bankrupt within 12 to 24 months.  It really is not too hard to understand the math, if you are mathematically inclined, and here is some very good work from someone who gets it....I highly recommend Denninger's blog.  [more]

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19

When will they call it a DEPRESSION?

April 22, 2009 – Comments (15)

Its getting a little old hearing the same old recession nonsense.....here is a story from the WSJ today:  [more]

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11

Ghoser Techno Trance Breakdance Enhance Formation

April 22, 2009 – Comments (5)

Update soon to follow.....this could be it..........the party to 5000 is now about to begin.  [more]

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12

Why can so few see realilty about 30-50% Unemployment?

April 22, 2009 – Comments (12)

Every time I ariticulate my forecast for 30-50% unemployment, I am amazed how so many otherwise intelligent people can't see what seems so clear to me.  Especially that U6 unemployment rate is now at 16.2% and everyone says unemployment is going much higher.  [more]

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10

EVERYBODY GETTING WORRIED ABOUT GLOBAL CRISIS???

April 22, 2009 – Comments (2)

Russians worried by global crisis

   [more]

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13

Oh Crap....The End of Capitalism

April 21, 2009 – Comments (7)

April 21 (Bloomberg) -- Wall Street may be heading for the deepest investigation of its practices since a congressional panel’s probe of abuses following the 1929 stock market crash.   [more]

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24

It is ALL starting to HIT THE FAN!!!!!

April 21, 2009 – Comments (13)

COMMERCIAL RE  [more]

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18

BRAVO!!!! Denninger nails it AGAIN

April 21, 2009 – Comments (1)

Oh cute - from Thomas Hoenig:  [more]

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9

Forced Furlough FUs

April 21, 2009 – Comments (3)

I was travelling home today and met a friend, a PhD level engineer, at the airport who told me that workers at his company, a very large public company are being forced to take two weeks off without pay over the next couple quarters.  This is effectively an 8% paycut.  I am hearing this with greater frequency as of late.  We know about California and the governator's forced furloughs of state workers.  [more]

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16

How FU Virus Stupid is CNBC???

April 20, 2009 – Comments (4)

Today's Headline:  [more]

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24

Are MOST Banks Insolvent???

April 20, 2009 – Comments (7)

We know that a significant percentage of loans banks make are to commercial real estate deals.  [more]

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15

Unemployment to DROP to UNDER 2%??????

April 20, 2009 – Comments (4)

If we simply limit unemployment benefits to just two weeks, the U3 unemployment rate could drop to under 2% since anyone not employed after two weeks would likely be considered a discouraged worker and dropped off the unemployment rolls.

U6 rates would not be affected, but few besides Alstrynomics applies U6 rates in the mainstream press.

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12

200,000 Workers about to be Infected w/FU Virus???

April 19, 2009 – Comments (2)

From the WSJ(this does not count the millions of union retirees):  [more]

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16

Good Luck Selling Your Condo Now

April 19, 2009 – Comments (14)

Fannie and Freddie are seemingly adding new restrictions and fees each month....and some think foreclosures are slowing?????  [more]

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17

Alstry Couldn't Say It Much Better

April 18, 2009 – Comments (4)

  [more]

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16

All $$$ leads to taxes and banks

April 17, 2009 – Comments (4)

Does the following strike any CAPS players as strange:  [more]

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8

It can happen to you and me and America

April 17, 2009 – Comments (2)

“The Legal Aid Society of Orange County – as well as the Public Law Center – report that more and more individuals like have spiraled into poverty and are now coming to their clinics seeking help. Dozens of other legal nonprofits statewide also attest to increased demand. ‘We have more foreclosures, we have more everything,’ said Bob Cohen, executive director of the Legal Aid Society. ‘We’ve never seen this need. Families are falling apart because they have no money.’”  [more]

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14

Alstry is NOT a Perma Bear

April 17, 2009 – Comments (12)

He just has a lot of formal training in Law, Psychology, Finance, Accounting, and Economics and most importantly, a lot of PRACTICAL Common Sense, and therefore is able to see reality a lot clearer than most.  [more]

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11

Sinners...REPENT and PAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 17, 2009 – Comments (4)

The key factors in the national economic slump have hit the state of Nevada particularly hard, so one lawmaker had an unusual idea to generate new revenues: tax the sex acts performed at brothels.  [more]

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16

Alstrynomics Straight Talk

April 16, 2009 – Comments (26)

Philly Fed: Manufacturing "contracted less severely" this Month   [more]

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14

We are LOSING OVER 600K jobs per week!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 16, 2009 – Comments (12)

It appears many of you think my projections for OVER 30% unemployment is outlandish where I view them as convervative based on the current data and recent press releases from many important corporations and municipalities about future job losses.  [more]

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12

Is the DPRESSION HERE?????

April 16, 2009 – Comments (7)

Gannett 1Q classified ad revs DROP 46.5%  [more]

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9

There goes another 50K jobs or MORE!!!!!

April 15, 2009 – Comments (5)

DETROIT (Reuters) – General Motors Corp has told U.S. dealers it is accelerating its timetable for closing about 1,700 dealerships as it rushes to meet a June 1 deadline to restructure under U.S. government oversight, people with knowledge of the discussions said.  [more]

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21

BestBuy.... a big FU virus to employees....????

April 15, 2009 – Comments (10)

From the WSJ:  [more]

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12

It is NOT that Alstry is so smart......

April 15, 2009 – Comments (6)

That his predictions are sooooo accurate time and time again....it is simply that he looks at the FACTUAL data.....that is all.....and sometimes he may be a little early because behavior can be goofy sometines.  [more]

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13

Should Alstrynomics win a Nobel Prize???????

April 15, 2009 – Comments (11)

If unemployment actually reaches 30%....should Alstrynomics be awarded the Nobel prize for economics.  [more]

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14

Summer's Balance About to Tip!!!!! What about Capitalism?

April 14, 2009 – Comments (5)

April 14 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy has presented “a more balanced picture” in recent weeks, signaling the severity of the recession may be easing, said Lawrence Summers, director of the White House National Economic Council.   [more]

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17

Alstry's case for 30-50% Unemployment

April 14, 2009 – Comments (18)

As many of you know...when I started blogging unemployment was at about 6%.  I use U6 as the unemployment figure because it just seems practically the right one.  In Alstry's eyes, even though people are still NOT working and unable to find a job AFTER their benefits run out, for some crazy reason Alstry views them as unemployed even though some Fools don't.  [more]

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19

Convex Reflector -Physical Gold Computational Error

April 14, 2009 – Comments (3)

As many of you know, Techno Trance Spector Vector Analysis is an emerging area of Alstrynomics which is currenly being distilled into a fuctional tool for making unlimited sums of money.  [more]

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21

Please STOP Lying to US!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 14, 2009 – Comments (24)

The problem is NOT that banks are not lending enough.  [more]

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22

Why are people afraid of the TRUTH??????

April 13, 2009 – Comments (4)

CAUTION!!!  Don't Watch if the TRUTH scares you.  Prepare...Don't Fear.  [more]

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26

Are we all a bunch of silent sleeping sodomized sheep???

April 13, 2009 – Comments (16)

Wells Fargo reports $3 Billion in profits a few days ago........  [more]

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11

Economic Terrorism or Price Inflation???

April 13, 2009 – Comments (5)

Manhattan apartment rents fell as much as 5.9 percent in March from a year earlier as rising unemployment damped demand, Citi-Habitats Inc. said.....
The average declines for March don’t reflect concessions offered by landlords, such as a free month’s rent, that lower the overall cost, [Gary Malin, president of Citi-Habitats] said.   [more]

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23

Why Alstry is sooooo Right so Often...

April 13, 2009 – Comments (2)

Folks none of this is very hard....  [more]

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13

What are the REAL conditions like????

April 13, 2009 – Comments (5)

More than 400 of the 2,000 largest malls in the U.S. have closed in the past two years.  [more]

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25

Soon... we all will be Madoffed....unless we restructure SOON!!!!

April 12, 2009 – Comments (7)

You think you are rich????  Have a solid net worth????  Take a step back.  [more]

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14

Micky Mouse says FU.....You're outta here!!!!!!!

April 11, 2009 – Comments (4)

Imagine one day receiving recognition for decades of service from your employer only to be laid off the next day. That is what happened to one Walt Disney Parks and Resorts employee who asked not be identified.  [more]

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15

Criminals Running America???

April 11, 2009 – Comments (6)

UBS gets fined $750 million for aiding people to evade taxes.  [more]

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16

FOOLS....You Can't Handle the TRUTH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

April 11, 2009 – Comments (7)

Geithner a criminal???  Are we all Madoff's clients now???  Can you handle the truth???  [more]

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16

Prepare....You are about to visit CAPE FEAR!!!!!!!

April 10, 2009 – Comments (8)

U.S. 09 federal deficit triples in first half of fiscal year   [more]

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28

How FU virus Stupid are Economists????? Assume Crash Position!!!!

April 10, 2009 – Comments (20)

Economists in the latest Wall Street Journal forecasting survey expect the recession to end in September, though most say it won't be until the second half of 2010 that the economy recovers enough to bring down unemployment.  [more]

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35

It is all Fiction Now.....

April 09, 2009 – Comments (17)

Write down Assets(BAD LOANS) Last Quarter $10 Billion and sell them to the government for only a $7 Billion dollar loss this quarter an shazaaam.....you just made $3 Billion in Fictional profits........and watch everyone go nuts......  [more]

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17

Soon You Fools Will Learn...Just the Facts

April 09, 2009 – Comments (2)

During a decade of easy credit and loose spending, American businesses built too many cars, houses, stores and factories. It turns out the country built too many restaurants, too....  [more]

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47

10 Steps to Owning America

April 08, 2009 – Comments (16)

1.  Intentionally drop interest rates to levels a generation has never seen before.  [more]

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15

"Real Unemployment"........

April 08, 2009 – Comments (6)

As many of you know...I have distinguished U3 and U6 unemployment and stressed that U6 is more reflective of actual unemployment conditions. U3 is the more commonly quoted number in the press where as U6 also accounts for those who are working part time but want to work full time and and also includes frustrated searchers who have dropped out of the workforce because their uninsurance benefits have run out and can't find a replacement job.  [more]

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20

Housing Prices Set to CRASH!!!!!

April 08, 2009 – Comments (11)

Apartment rents are falling across most of Southern California as unemployed tenants double up with friends or family and the affordability of foreclosed homes makes some renters into buyers, a new survey has found.

The average rent in Los Angeles County fell almost 4% in 2008 as apartment occupancy rates dropped and new units came online. The decline should continue this year as more renters lose their jobs, according to the annual USC Casden Forecast expected to be released by the university today.
  [more]

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30

Alstry Away...Ghoser will Play

April 08, 2009 – Comments (9)

Those Techno Trance Spector Vectors really had a good time while I was gone...ripping through 7800 as if Gold had no purpose.....but in the end, physical gold kept Ghoser where he belongs...inside the 7800 level on his way to party with his cousins between 5000 and 5500.  [more]

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20

Ghoser Alert......

April 02, 2009 – Comments (10)

Ghoser has broken through the 7800 level......never in the history of Spector Vector analysis has Ghoser had the power to stay beyone the physical gold layer for long without reentering the physical silver layer at 7500......  [more]

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10

ALERT!!!!...FU Virus symptoms affecting Children

April 02, 2009 – Comments (3)

Will Gerry Celente be right????  He says when people lose everything, they lose it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  [more]

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13

Soon...Millions of Americans will have NO income

April 01, 2009 – Comments (4)

Employees at Denny Hecker auto dealerships got an unpleasant surprise this week when they learned their company health insurance had been canceled and that some workers would not get a paycheck Tuesday.  [more]

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26

Americans Practically Taxed 100% of Incomes

April 01, 2009 – Comments (41)

SACRAMENTO (AP) -- California residents will pay one of the highest sales taxes in the nation after a 1-percent tax hike goes into effect to help the state bridge a record $41.6 billion budget deficit.  [more]

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