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alstry (36.32)

December 2008

Recs

9

Gold is a Fools Game

December 31, 2008 – Comments (17)

In 1793...the average price of an ounce of Gold was $19.39.  [more]

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13

How Cheap will thing get?????

December 31, 2008 – Comments (19)

An interesting question indeed......  [more]

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12

MASSIVE number of Bankruptcies around the corner

December 31, 2008 – Comments (6)

Jnauary 1st, 2009 is just a day away.  As the new year begins, expect to start reading about an incredible number of bankruptcies.....and it will not be industry specific.....it will include governments and businesses, individuals and families.....the numbers will likely be shocking!!!!  [more]

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15

Schools running out of money

December 30, 2008 – Comments (7)

Yesterday I blogged how I disagreed with Mish about the impact of the debt crisis on Education.....today it seems the WSJ has caught up with me.......  [more]

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16

Alstry DISAGREES with Mish?????

December 29, 2008 – Comments (13)

First, Mish has an excellent blog today on his disagreement with Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman.  For the most part, I think Mish is dead on and my disagreement is more on degree rather than substance.  [more]

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18

Altstry is an Optimist

December 29, 2008 – Comments (8)

Let's get a point out of the way....  [more]

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18

January 1, 2009..................

December 28, 2008 – Comments (15)

This will be a pivotal point in Alstrynonics.  It is in part why I am so confident in my 90 day countdown.....it may be 80 days too generous.  [more]

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12

US Army vs. US Citizens?????

December 28, 2008 – Comments (1)

A new report by the U.S. Army War College talks about the possibility of Pentagon resources and troops being used should the economic crisis lead to civil unrest, such as protests against businesses and government or runs on beleaguered banks.  [more]

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18

90 Day Countdown

December 27, 2008 – Comments (16)

My guess is that all hell will break loose within 90 days.  [more]

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16

ONLY America??????

December 27, 2008 – Comments (5)

Mikhail Gorbachev, the former Soviet leader, warned Russia faced “unprecedentedly difficult and dangerous circumstances” and could be “heading into a black hole”. “It is not clear what the fate of our rouble will be or if society has sufficient financial and moral resources,” he said.    [more]

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16

Important Video

December 26, 2008 – Comments (4)

Could this happen in America.........

 

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15

Money Drying Up....around the world

December 25, 2008 – Comments (9)

Make no mistake about it. What is taking place right now in Ukraine is extraordinarily serious. The IMF have recently agreed a support loan to the country, but the politicians themselves still can’t agree on whether or not they are actually going to abide by the conditions attached to it. Meantime, as we can all see on our TV screens, tensions with Russia continue to escalate, fuelled by the conflict-ridden negotiations over Ukraine’s gas debt.  [more]

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15

Homelessness ALL TIME HIGH

December 25, 2008 – Comments (1)

On this Christmas morning with just a few days left of Chaunakah and the season of Eid and Kwanza.......homelessness in America is now at an all time high.  And we are not just talking about individuals anymore..... but entire families.  [more]

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10

ETF Distributions

December 23, 2008 – Comments (1)

A number of ETF had large capital distributions today....it appears CAPs did not pick up on this.....you may want to check your score to see if it was appropriately adjusted.

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15

Don't Shoot the Messenger

December 23, 2008 – Comments (18)

SACRAMENTO, Calif. – California's chief financial officer warned Monday that the state would run out of money in about two months  [more]

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12

Evaporating Law Firms???

December 23, 2008 – Comments (1)

Major firms around America collapsing.  Firms that  survived The Great Depression, WWl and WWll.  Simply a function of Alstrynomics....when money dries up for the masses, few have money......even lawyers.   [more]

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11

Higher Unemployment leading to a STRONGER dollar?????

December 22, 2008 – Comments (6)

Has Alstrynomics gone crazy???????  [more]

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22

A Bankruptcy Explosion

December 22, 2008 – Comments (10)

I have just run through a few of my Alstrynomic key indicators.  It is becoming clearer and clearer that after the 1st of the Year there will be an EXPLOSION of new bankruptcies.  [more]

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27

PE ratio soon to be EXTINCT!!!!!

December 22, 2008 – Comments (15)

Its funny when I hear those idiot analysts say the market is cheap relative to earnings.  What is amazing is how few companies are going to have any earnings at all next year.  You are about to see some pretty amazing earnings reductions in the upcoming weeks.....based on Alstrynomics....which likes to look forward rather than backward.... even aggressive application of PE multiples will result in dangerously low share prices.  [more]

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19

Alstry vs. Sinchiruna

December 21, 2008 – Comments (27)

Sin's post to me...  [more]

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13

Wages CRASHING!!!!!!!! Deflation is HERE!!!!!

December 21, 2008 – Comments (4)

From the NYTimes:  [more]

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11

The Dollar Better Than Gold

December 20, 2008 – Comments (13)

In 1980 one dollar purchased 1/800th of an ounce of gold.  [more]

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13

Money Money Everywhere....Not a Drop to Spare

December 20, 2008 – Comments (7)

Sure the banks have lots of money being thrown at them......but everyone else.....get ready for the Hot and Juicy Holiday Injection.  Did you send your holdiday card to Bendover Benny.  [more]

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13

Wages Crashing....10% Paycut for EVERYONE????

December 19, 2008 – Comments (6)

Pilots making a fraction of what they used to....same with flight attendants and mechanics.....real estate sales people, mortgage brokers, auto workers, Fed Ex workers, graphic artists ect......NOW THIS:  [more]

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16

Has the world gone CRAZY???

December 19, 2008 – Comments (19)

First, Alstry is OK, just recoving from a bad poker night with good friends and too much beer.   Time to go back to bloodies.  It is simply this, I am just observing the world and am amazed how deep people can stick their heads in the sand and not look up.  If you were playing hockey, you would be knocked flat on your back and not know what hit you.  [more]

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11

Social Unrest Spreading????

December 19, 2008 – Comments (2)

We all know about Southeast Asia/Pacific Rim countries, and Haiti and African countries.....but Greece, Argentina, and Iceland???????  [more]

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8

Deleveraging, Defrauding, and Deflation

December 19, 2008 – Comments (3)

Oil Prices continuing its free fall.......  [more]

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11

Alstrynomics ll

December 19, 2008 – Comments (3)

In lesson one, we learned that devaluing the  dollar would have much more serious consequences to America today compared to devaluing the yen  in 1990s Japan.  [more]

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14

Everything Going Bankrupt????

December 18, 2008 – Comments (13)

AUTOS  [more]

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12

Alstrynomics I

December 18, 2008 – Comments (5)

The purpose in this series of posts is to debunk a bunch of myths that mainstream media and mainstream economics are throwing out there.  [more]

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14

States suffocating cities?????

December 18, 2008 – Comments (4)

As money keeps evaporating expect to read more stories like this in the WSJ.....  [more]

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20

Alstry Told You So

December 17, 2008 – Comments (12)

After the Fed cut rates to .25%, I made the following observation in the following blog:  [more]

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15

Any Common Cents Left???

December 17, 2008 – Comments (3)

One pension fund loses $60 Billion in a few months.  A hedge fund hoses investors for $50 Billion.  An entrepreneur in Minnesota bends over his investors for a couple billion.  Rubin sued for costing investors over $100 Billion.  Anyone adding this up?????  [more]

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12

NOT a Happy New Year

December 17, 2008 – Comments (2)

In the next few weeks expect a torrent of companies shutting down and firing employees.  HR departments are just preparing the releases.   [more]

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11

A Mushroom Cloud forming......CA needs your $$$$$$$$!!!!!!

December 16, 2008 – Comments (7)

Remember some Fool blogging about this exact issue a little while ago......especially when the top executives resigned en mass in May?????  [more]

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29

The Battle is about to begin

December 16, 2008 – Comments (23)

At this point, the only thing we don't know is what kind of fight it will be.....a trade war, currency war, a physical war....all or some of the above.  [more]

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24

The Shutdown Continues

December 16, 2008 – Comments (2)

 MINNEAPOLIS (AP) -- Best Buy Co. Inc. , the nation's biggest consumer electronics retailer, said Tuesday that its third-quarter profit sank 77 percent as it faced dramatic changes in consumer spending.  [more]

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13

Liquidating Liquidations

December 15, 2008 – Comments (6)

The victims of the Bernie Madoff scandal continue to mount and include some of the world's biggest financial institutions, major fund of funds managers, well-heeled individuals and many charities....  [more]

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16

Madoff was GOLD

December 15, 2008 – Comments (8)

For those in the inner circle....Madoff was better than gold.  During times of easy money, it is easy to conceal problems when you can leverage to hide issues.  Now we are deleveraging.  Sales evaporating.  Earnings crashing.  Fraud surfacing.  My guess is that what we have seen so far is just the tip of the iceberg.  [more]

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20

Are we all broke????

December 14, 2008 – Comments (9)

Most of us measure our net worth from the statements we receive from the various institutions where we keep our money and investments.  How can we distinguish what is a Ponzi Scheme and what is not?  [more]

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23

What % of our Economy was FRAUD

December 14, 2008 – Comments (13)

Madoff developing.  Liar Loans exposing.  Now this???  [more]

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15

WORSE than The Great Depression

December 12, 2008 – Comments (11)

Things are happening now that are factually much worse than The Great Depression.  [more]

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16

Madoff BIGGER than General Motors???

December 12, 2008 – Comments (11)

Bernard Madoff is one man.  General Motors is one of the largest Corporations in the world...if viewed by sales.  A GM bankruptcy will have HUGE, but necessary implications.  The deception by Mr. Madoff could rip multiple holes throughout the entire fabric of our financial system.

If you thought Long Term Capital was an issue.......just wait to see how thie breaks over the weekend.

Hang on.

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13

Alstry Right Again???? Say it isn't so!!!!!!!

December 11, 2008 – Comments (3)

As the mainstream press was leading you to believe that a bailout was in the bag.  [more]

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11

Where will Santa get his toys and 11,000 more looking for work

December 11, 2008 – Comments (5)

One of Alstry's favorites goes down without notice.....a very sad day in toyland. 
The number 2 toy retailer and one of my favorite places to visit.  And two weeks before Santa comes so they can liquidate before Christmas.  The cause....a "sudden" drop in sales....who coulda foreseen this?????  [more]

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15

The 10% Train Getting Longer and Longer

December 11, 2008 – Comments (12)

More and more companies are announcing layoffs of 10% or more of the ENTIRE workforce.  Right now we are at about 7% unemployment..........and these layoffs are not counted in the figures....you do the math....sure umeployment will only get to 8 or 9% like the economists are telling you.  [more]

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23

Why Alstry is So Alstry

December 10, 2008 – Comments (20)

I warned..... if you are using the past a a reference, you are looking in the wrong place.  What we are about to face we have never seen before.....I have been telling you this for months........soon.....I am confident very soon.......you will believe..........  [more]

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10

There is no chance of an AUTO BAILOUT

December 10, 2008 – Comments (3)

Giving the Autos $15 Billion dollars is like giving a drunk a few shots of vodka to cure alcoholism.  First, the amount is too small, and second.....it doesn't address the issue of a poorly structured balance sheet including off balance sheet union liabilities.  [more]

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16

Alstry Calling THE GREATEST DEPRESSION

December 10, 2008 – Comments (21)

I know there is Schiff, Roubini, Shedlock, and Taleb.  All have negative outlooks.  But none as negative as Alstry as far as I can tell.  Based on current conditions, it seems clear that the outlook appears for more extreme conditions than we had in THE GREAT DEPRESSION.  [more]

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17

Prepare to be SHOCKED!!!!!!

December 09, 2008 – Comments (10)

America is shutting down.  Faster than many think.  In the next few weeks prepare to read story after story about this plant or that plant, this business or that business idle workers or shut down completely.  It will not be industry specific either.  [more]

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12

Your Egg for my Cash....and you think I am nuts

December 09, 2008 – Comments (7)

From the WSJ.....I didn't make this one up really:  [more]

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11

Alstry's Accellerating Deceleration

December 08, 2008 – Comments (10)

Broadcom cuts view, citing recent 'cancellations'  [more]

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17

A Coiled Spring about the EXPLODE?????

December 08, 2008 – Comments (7)

5 minutes agoCon-way center closures trimmed 1,450 jobs, 8% of workforce - MarketWatch

   [more]

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13

Is Extended Stay checking out???

December 08, 2008 – Comments (5)

From the WSJ:  [more]

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13

Are You are Turkey?????

December 07, 2008 – Comments (7)

For a while, I have been viewed as a big burly bear in real life and on this blog.  In a number of conversations with others, people repeatedly ask me if Roubini is too doom and gloom....my response for the last year or so was that I thought he was too optimistic....although his thinking and mine are becoming closer as of late( I am not sure if he is becoming more negative or I am becoming more positive?)  It is reassuring that there are people out there whom I respect that hold a similar perspective.  [more]

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10

Finally....an HONEST President????

December 07, 2008 – Comments (14)

CHICAGO – President-elect Barack Obama braced the country for more tough times Sunday, saying twice in an interview that the nation’s already dismal economy would continue to worsen in the months ahead.   [more]

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20

STOP Looking Backwards

December 07, 2008 – Comments (14)

My foolian friends, we are in revolutionary times, not cyclical.  [more]

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21

Get Ready!!!!! AVALANCHE!!!!!!!!!!!!

December 06, 2008 – Comments (16)

You are going to start reading things you have never seen before.  You are going to hear our leaders use words like HISTORIC or UNPRECEDENTED or UNEXPECTED.  The first two may be true, but for leaders of this blog and others, it will be anything but unexpected.  As cutbacks take place, services and the quality of the delivery of services will deminish dramatically.  [more]

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11

O.J. versus Bankers

December 05, 2008 – Comments (1)

OJ gets nine years for robbery and bankers get bonuses.

I understand the nine years.....can anyone figure out the bonuses?

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10

Thank you Plunge Protection Team

December 05, 2008 – Comments (14)

The market rallies on the following:  [more]

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24

The Crash is speeding up!!!!!

December 05, 2008 – Comments (11)

From the WSJ:  [more]

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16

Don't Say Alstry Didn't Warn You

December 04, 2008 – Comments (9)

AT &T cutting 12,000 jobs
Telecom giant slashing workforce, announces charge.  [more]

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12

Not Costco....Say it isn't so

December 04, 2008 – Comments (2)

(MarketWatch) -- Costco Wholesale Corp.,the Issaquah, Wash., warehouse retailer, reported that in November, comparable-store sales fell 5%.  [more]

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17

Economy Evaporating into VAPOR

December 02, 2008 – Comments (6)

Bank of America could end up cutting 30,000 jobs as it moves to absorb Merrill Lynch, three times as many as previously estimated, sources told CNBC.   [more]

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24

Consumer...Prepare to DIE!!!!!

December 02, 2008 – Comments (12)

(Reuters) - The U.S. credit-card industry may pull back well over $2 trillion of lines over the next 18 months due to risk aversion and regulatory changes, leading to sharp declines in consumer spending, prominent banking analyst Meredith Whitney said.  [more]

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23

The ALARM bells are starting to RING!!!!

December 01, 2008 – Comments (7)

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger on Monday declared a fiscal emergency and called for a special session with lawmakers to address California's $11.2 billion deficit, the Associated Press reported. California's revenue gap is expected to reach $28 billion over the next 19 months and without immediate action, the state could run out of cash in February, according to the report.   [more]

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13

Weekend Holiday Sales FIZZLE OUT

December 01, 2008 – Comments (3)

Here is the WSJ headline on Yahoo:  [more]

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