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Different stock market cycles and where we are now

June 22, 2010 – Comments (16)

For investing purposes, I am quite unemotional. I think without fear and greed overriding the senses one can make better decisions. Every once in a while I watch too much TV or read too much news and get rattled. When I get this feeling, I refer to my charts of cycles posted on my office wall. Which charts are not important, it is the reminder to be calm in the face of a trough in a cycle. By the way, I am analytical/ math guy not a writer, I try to write in a style that anyone can understand, not in a way that would get me an A at graduate school. Thank you DragonLZ for your recognition and for a reason to write this.   [more]



Who wants free money? Want to see the future? Profit from the carry trade

May 18, 2010 – Comments (6) | RELATED TICKERS: MO , NY.DL

I am going to save the eloquent writing for some one else. I just want to put this crystal ball out there.  [more]



Why are people here still mega bearish? I don't get it. The 2-3 year bull case.

May 14, 2010 – Comments (44)

I am not talking about differences of opinion of the market being overbought or above some trend line, in fact I look forward to thoughtful debates on blog forums. But I am talking about people who are recommending being in 100% cash or hiding in a bunker, Alstry style <20. I came across quite a few super bears lately, so here is my response.  [more]



Renewing the faith in stock/ keys to beating the S&P 500

February 17, 2010 – Comments (0)

Given that fact that in this stock correction all of the bears are coming back out, I think I needed to write a new blog renewing the faith in stocks. Back in mid-Jan, in my blog I did call for a correction in Feb and told everybody to get in high yielders such as pimco's far outperforming by a mile for me.  I will not close these as I open and close out my ultra etf’s when I think the market is overbought or oversold.  [more]



Thinking of trading options? Things they do not tell you beforehand:

January 26, 2010 – Comments (7)

I have heard on TV and have read a few investment articles discussing ways to make money using options and none of them make it clear what happens in the real world.  [more]