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October 2014



Where should I invest if Unemployment is going to 4.9%?

October 24, 2014 – Comments (15) | RELATED TICKERS: TBT

I have a couple of Financial Advisors (one professional) who I have asked that question to.  Note that I asked it when Unemployment was around 7%.  I felt that BLS would report Unemployment at 4.9% by the end of this year.  My timing may be off, but the trajectory is there.  Many weeks of sub-300k New UI Applications and the dropoff (though not nearly as steep as I had expected) in Long-Term Unemployment point to (conservatively) 4.9% Unemployed.  [more]

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