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fransgeraedts (99.93)

September 2007

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3

Answer to a Mark Hulbert column on Market Watch about the lack of bubbly stockmarket sentiment

September 29, 2007 – Comments (2)

I think its very interesting and important to note that the sentiment readings do not suggest that a bubble has formed in the stockmarket and is on the brink of bursting. The sentiment is right in that i think. P/E 's tell the same story. That does not  mean however that the bullmarket in stocks will continue.   [more]

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State of play (2)

September 24, 2007 – Comments (1)

I have been amassing financials to underperform, health to outperform. (See state of play 1) That is my main bet. It will take time to see how it plays out. For now the picture in financials is mixed. The picture in health is unclear.   [more]

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State of play (1)

September 24, 2007 – Comments (0)

I have been amassing financial stocks to underperform. Investment banks, Money center banks, International money center banks, even a sprinkling of Saving and Loans. For now i look at the movement of the market against me as an opportunity to add. For my rationale look at the theme "repricing of credit risk".   [more]

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List of themes

September 18, 2007 – Comments (0)

1. The repricing of credit risk.  [more]

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General strategy

September 18, 2007 – Comments (0)

I will base my stockpicking around a (two?) handfull of general themes. Those themes express my expectations of economic developements combined with my expectations of developements on the financial markets. You could look at the themes as scenarios that have in my view a high probability of becoming reality. Within a certain theme i will try to amass over time a large group of stocks. Themes can be positive or negative, that is, predict that a group of stocks will underperform or outperform the S&P.   [more]

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