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February 2010



What market catalysts can we forsee...? (A bearish post by checklist?)

February 28, 2010 – Comments (28)

Last summer I did alot of digging around and calculating and adding and dividing and pondering and plotting on the valuation of the S&P.  I concluded then that about S&P 1100-1200 would put us at roughly historical valuations.  We've been at roughly the low end of that range now for months, and that is about where the market rally stalled.    [more]



Weekend thought: asset allocation strategies need to ditch bonds, seriously

February 26, 2010 – Comments (27)

A common investment strategy, used by both individuals and some of the best and most famous money managers on the planet is an asset allocation strategy where some % of assets is kept in stocks and some % of assets is kept in bonds.    [more]



Where are we in the commodity inflation cycle? Thats the triple-your-money question

February 19, 2010 – Comments (6)

Bannister, Lintner, and Conners of Stifel Nicolaus published a report on Jan 21, 2010 called Macro Update:  1Q10 correction, "growth scare".  In the opening lines they predicted an 8-10% correction in the S&P to 1050 or so.  Nice call, but...  [more]



productive, resource, and financial assets: it may be important to differentiate between them

February 11, 2010 – Comments (18)

My name is Checklist34.  I made an absolute fortune by betting big on financial stocks over the last 11 months.  I still think, and I do apologize for the immodesty here, that is the best call on the markets I remember reading in 2009, and maybe the most profitable.  It has, for anybody who has read my blogs over the last year, been no big secret that my portfolio is poorly diversified and massively laden with financials.  >50% in financials.    [more]



recent thoughts and activity on the markets

February 03, 2010 – Comments (15)

I have had a heinous travel schedule so far this year related to businesses I used to own and to which I have some lingering commitments.  As such I have been away from these boards a fair bit.  [more]

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