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September 2009



one perspective on shorting and the uptick rule debate

September 30, 2009 – Comments (31)

I am making a blog out of my thoughts on short selling and the arguments that proponents of short-selling (almost inevitably people who trade or like to short) make against the uptick rule and in favor of shorting.  This blog is not meant to debate that shorting should be allowed (although, frnakly, if you want to you can go short via the options market by buying a put and selling a call at the same strike price, this is called a "synthetic short" and has the same effect in most cases).    [more]



The "top fool" spot is getting volatile! Congrats vanamode, i mean ultralong, i mean...

September 29, 2009 – Comments (26)

Congratulations to Vanamode for joining the list of people who have been "Top Fool".

Just this year we've seen Everyday (most of the time, it seems), GMX, Ultralong, and now Vanamode (and I may be missing some).

Anyway, for the moment its Vanamode.  So congrats



The short-treasuries trade, julian robertson, my advisor and "the crowd"

September 28, 2009 – Comments (18)

Julian Robertson's interview with CNBC in which he gave his view on inflation-vs-deflation and recommended the short-long-term-treasuries play as his favorite.    [more]



I like Jim Cramer. I didn't always, but...

September 25, 2009 – Comments (19)

This blog is about why I like Jim Cramer.  It may be a good idea to begin such a blog by observing alot of the criticisms that are frequently aimed at Cramer.    [more]



we are now in the space between... cheap and bubble

September 23, 2009 – Comments (10)

From my spot in the cheap seats we are now square in between cheap stocks begging to be bought (like march even while they don't want to buy, with valuations making a braindead monkey able to make huge returns if he just doesn't buy whats in favor), and some kind of bubble begging people to exit (even while they don't want ot leave) because valuations are silly.    [more]



Are dividends the best buying opportunity on the market today?

September 21, 2009 – Comments (18)

In all of the manic crash and partial rebound of the last 2 years, ... with banks, insurers, casinos, commodity names, and more making spectacular crashes and almost as spectacular recoveries in share price, dividend stocks definitely haven't been a focus of mine or the best potential returns since the bottoms.  [more]



reasons that individual investors can beat the market, and beat the pros

September 20, 2009 – Comments (48)

I often find people expressing shock when I tell them that I manage my own money.  I am occasionally lectured about how stupid that is, and I am occasionally chastised by people for being so reckless.    [more]



Help a fool out: how can one hedge or lock interest rates?

September 18, 2009 – Comments (4)

I have this situation and I'm trying to wrap my brain around it.  I am elligible for a line of credit (not a loan, no amortization is requisite) via the institution that holds much of my investments (stocks etc.) at libor plus.  [more]



using options as tools for hedging, 4 techniques available to anybody

September 17, 2009 – Comments (10)

I am of the opinion that in many, although not in all, of the stocks that I hold that it is a good time to take some gains.    [more]



I am reducing my long exposure some more

September 16, 2009 – Comments (16)

despite losing money on every hedge I have in place today, my real life portfolio is up 3% again today.  It now stands at shocking gains since my beginnings last December, despite beingwell down on various hedges.  [more]



some optimism on the anniversary of lehman

September 15, 2009 – Comments (23)

A year ago the collapse of Lehman began the fear and capitulation phase of one of the scariest times in the lives of many.  The phase where people pretty much gave up on claiming things were OK, and panic began.  [more]



inflation -vs- deflation, a brief look at the consequences

September 13, 2009 – Comments (35)

This blog aims to take a look at inflation and deflation in a broad and simple way to make the main points.  [more]



natural gas - it may be time

September 08, 2009 – Comments (31)

Natural Gas has been a commodity that many folks, far and wide, have been claiming was destined to go up in price for the entire time that I have been aware that its price was low (as in all of 2009).    [more]



bad day on CAPs, worse in my portfolio... buuuutttt....

September 01, 2009 – Comments (7)

Well the markets had one of those "flight from risk" days where stocks that have moved up alot, stocks that are considered risky, etc. just get pummeled.  At the high point last week I was up more than 50% from the low point in july in my own portfolio, and some of the names that have run the most recently got just slaughtered.  [more]

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