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January 2012



DGW - NYSE gave it the boot but CAPS did so a long time ago

January 26, 2012 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: DGWIY

So Duoyuan Global Water (DGW) was finally given the boot by the NYSE. It will begin trading under the ticker DGWIY (grey market) on Jan 27, 2012. See here:

CAPS, however, delisted DGW April 20, 2011. What gives?



A Summary of My Bearish Thesis for US Stocks

January 24, 2012 – Comments (11)

So I thought I'd offer an overview of my bearish thesis of the market as a whole. That isn't to say that there aren't good opportunities available but I believe better opportunities are coming.

European sovereign Debt

As if we hadn't heard enough about this issue... The reality, of course, is that there's a lot of debt that needs to be repaid or refinanced and it's questionable that those damned PIIGS will be able to pay it back or refinance it at interest rates that it can manage to pay without having heavy damage.

In spite of this it may not have a dramatic effect on the US stock market. At least I could imagine a European fallout harming European demand and perhaps some tightening of credit markets but having only a marginal impact on the US economy and US buisness. But it could very well be much worse. As a result this is a reasonable uncertainty here that could be damaging to the stock market as a whole and cause a major selloff (for a variety of reasons including economic downturn and possibly another US recession.) So I'm leaving this concern on the table.   [more]



What percent of assets do you pay in transaction fees?

January 12, 2012 – Comments (3)

This question has a relatively simple answer. One can simply determine how much, over the last year, was paid to the brokerage firm in transaction fees and then divide that by equity. This would reflect the transaction fee expense for your account.   [more]

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