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ATWDLimited (< 20)

May 2008

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3

Next Weeks Market Data and Real GDP Calculations

May 31, 2008 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: GDP , JPM , F

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19

Caps Blog Search

May 28, 2008 – Comments (12) | RELATED TICKERS: CAP , TOO , BLGM.DL

Playing around at google, I just found a new feature called custom search. I looked at it and was playing around trying to make the perfect Caps Blog search, and I think I have, Check it out, what do you guys think.

This is awesome for looking through the blogs, with out much trouble.

 

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5

Adam Smith: The man of the Free Market

May 25, 2008 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: GLD , XOM , GE

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12

Welcome Back to the 70's

May 22, 2008 – Comments (9) | RELATED TICKERS: CRED.DL , PES , RIG

yipppe, the price on energy is out of control, yet Congress is wasting time grilling oil execs and sueing OPEC, instead of syaing crap we need energy, lets derill more oil here, and stop denying the ability to expand supply. We have US supplies lower today, US infaltion, supply concerns, increasing oversea demand, weak dollar and now we arre going to see the stagflation, negative growth, with  inlfation and a more debt riden sociuety, with even less real anything. Way to 60's retreds, you realy are great.

Iran  is now hording it's oil, it has 20 tankers in  Mediteraenian that it will not send out. They are trimming the supply, which is very tight already. Now we are even more dependent on oil, and they know it wil severely hurt us more than any of our losser sanctions. At the same time, we are not in creasing supply, look at all this oil we have•

Up to 4.3 billion barrels of oil in oil shale in North Dakota’s Bakken Formation  [more]

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3

OIl, $132

May 21, 2008 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: CRED.DL , NGS , FDG

the title says it all.   [more]

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7

Natural Gas and Coal

May 21, 2008 – Comments (5) | RELATED TICKERS: WLT , NGS , PCXCQ.DL

Wow, this has been a fast run up for oil, but is it really as speculator dirven, or more fundamental driven. I personally belive it is fundamental. Look at the dollar, it is as I have stated many times before weak fundamentaly due to inflation and debt backing it. Natural gas burns cleaner thna any other fossil fuel, and has lagged in price vs oil and the waek dollar, so soon prices should rise, not as much as coal or oil, but significantly. What would really spur a price increase is if LNG, Liquified Natural Gas makes abreak through, because it is a very good fuel for transportation.
All the attention altely has been on Oil, and not too much on coal and even less on nat. gas. My theory is that as people look for enrergy, Natural Gas will become more popular because it burns effeciently, produces less emmitions and is cheaper than OIl for now, and will remain slighlty less expensive for the near futture, but this does not mean the price will not rise.  [more]

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9

Gold/Silver is leaving the Station

May 20, 2008 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: BHP , RIO , AEM

Recent lows in the prices are over, Gold should not fall below $900 again, and silver should stay above $17 an once. Nows the time to get in on under $1000 gold/ non $20 silver. On the energy front, we have oil at over $128, this is pretty high, and it will keep going up. How high, I am not sure, but by next year we should see at least $150 a barrel. This means the dollar will remain soft and mushy for the rest of the year, so get in the hedges. also mining stocks/ basic materials tumbled a bit today on profit taking, but they will be back shortly. all I can predict now is to stay out of financial for long term, and get in coal, nat. gas and oil as well as gold/silver and other commodities. Thats about it. BTw, check out my portfolio again. 450 points to day, thats 1,100 + points in the last 3 days.  [more]

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9

Upward Mobile

May 19, 2008 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: CPSL , PCXCQ.DL , GSXN

Wow, 500 points last friday and 200 today, this is pretty intense, but thats how it ahs always been for me. Now, I have 5 stocks over 100% and 1 pushing 200%. IN fact, the first 99 picks all made over 23% gains, so I am pelased with the outcome. UNfortuneately, I can't seem to get accuracy up much, and that is why I have not been able to move up in rank, but that will change soon, because I will start to fix accuracy by ending dead picks and replacing them. Thats about all I have to say, other than that, ther is nothing left to say except   [more]

Recs

7

TIme for the Gold/silver Rally to begin

May 18, 2008 – Comments (5) | RELATED TICKERS: ABX , GLD , SLV

After a slight correction in the bull market, I believe we are seeing the fundamentals forming for a rally to over $1000 an once. Oil prices have risen, and inflation in real terms is rising, GDP growth is virtual moot, and the ability to finance by debt is collapsing. The markets will enter turmoil when 2nd quarter results begin to come in, than we shall see Gold/Silver rise once more.  [more]

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8

M3 Surge, The X factor in inflation?

May 16, 2008 – Comments (5) | RELATED TICKERS: RIO , DRYS , BHP

Although the government stopped publishing M3 a while back, which is pretty untransparent, we can still calculate the total M3 supply to be at 14.06 trillion dollars. This means, that there has been massive surge in liquidity, due to the bank problems, in order to quell the credit crisis, but how much has been pumped in by the Federal Reserve and the Emergency Funds? Well, last time I wrote upon this subject, there was 12 Trillion dollars in M3 supply, which means there has been an 2.06 Trillion dollar surge in the amount of total liquidity. The change is roughly 20% gains, in fact in the last 3 weeks it has grown by 19.9%. This weakens the dollar because the economy did not grow nearly as fast, so it is essentially devaluing the dollar sending food, energy and commodity prices skyward.  [more]

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19

Inflation, GDP, M3 and Debt Oh MY

May 14, 2008 – Comments (5)

Who are they kidding, you, em or the average citizen who knows his money doe not get him as much any more. Truly, do they think we are idiots, lets remind everyone what is going on with the dollar, inflation, GDP and debt. ITs time to break down the numbers and give us a little reminder of what on earth is propping up the dollar and the simple fact that they are downplaying the inflation, because it would destroy the dollar, so lets take a closer look.  [more]

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8

Coal+OIl+Steel=Money

May 13, 2008 – Comments (8) | RELATED TICKERS: PCXCQ.DL , RIO , CHK

Even with a stronger dollar, these companies are still out performing the market, the question is, is the dollar rising temporary, or are these stocks/sectors lagging behind the trend. MY opinion is that they are actually not. The fundamentals are still there, increased demand, supply issues and weak economy, in reality. Whats your opinion, thats why gold/silver are dying, theya re not as useful/needed as food, steel and energy. 

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5

CAPs score and Dividends

May 13, 2008 – Comments (3)

Here is the question, why is it that when your stock gets a dividend, it is added to the starting value of you stock, which is essentially wiping out a gain you made, which could be 5%,10% or perhaps even higher. When you make money in the stock market or judge a stock, one of the most important things you look at is dividends and diluted earnings per share. Thus, when you pick an outperform, you are saying that you will make a better return than the index, S&P 500. When you determine if you made money, you include dividends as gains for owning the stock, so why is it that CAPS negates it from your score. This is just something that annoys me because it is saying that even though this stock is good and made more money than the S&P, but the dividend causes the starting price to rise, you lose many CAPs points as well as accuracy.  [more]

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6

2008: The Year of Coal

May 10, 2008 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: FDG , PCXCQ.DL , ACI

Just look at this number, the coal sector has risen 32.24% since the first trading day of 2008. Oil may be the big talking point, but coal is doing the heavy lifting and profit earning. In fact, the price of thermal coal, will probably reach $80, while cooking coal, used for steel is set to rise to about $300 verse $98 last year. Utility coal for producing electricity is at about $130, also up significantly. This increase in price is a reflection of the growing demand, from China and emerging economies as well as the US. More and more electricity is being produced by coal, in fact, more than 50% is. The truth is there is a supply crunch, and the coal sector overseas and abroad is set for some huge growth, in in profits and income. This is what i have stated earlier on this year about there being consolidation in the coal industry. with big money on the line, companies will start to combine to benefit from savings and capitalize on the rise in coal prices. This situation is unlikely to change for a while, as supply is not enough fro the demand. In turn mining will expand and a big profit should be delivered to investors.  [more]

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11

Oil at 126$ a Barrel

May 09, 2008 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: PBR , RIG , NE

Well, it should be to no surprise for any Fool, but it seems to be surprising the general public. They don't understand it at all, they just think high oil is because the oil companies raise rates to make more money, but thats far from the fact. Speculation has driven the price up, along with 5% worldwide demand growth, and inflation of 4.4%. that means that oil should inflate at at least 8.9% per year, and that does not even include trading and actual inflation of dollar by debt/credit.  [more]

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5

EURO Games

May 09, 2008 – Comments (2)

What is this, Euro holding rates on the ECB. Why are they doing this, when thier economies need to export especialy to the Us to survive. I mean Think about it high priced European luxury goods neeed to be sold in Asia and America, but since they are keeping thier currency artificialy high, it is going to hurt them in the long ru. This short term gain of good purchaing power will not last because Europe depends on exports and on tourism. If thye think they can survive with less tourism and less exports, thye are crazy. Thats just my take on whats going on in the EURO Zone right now, thye are just playing a game, like all banks, thye try to profit short term and losse out long term.  [more]

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8

April Rally Complete: Prepare for The Crash

May 08, 2008 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: PCXCQ.DL , MMR , ATPAQ

Well, how was that April rally I told you guys about? Well, did you enjoy it, because I certainly capitalized on it. In fact, if my predictions are right, by mid May it should start to decline and trade either slightly down or sideways for June. Than It should go up a bit in July and than crash all through August and Late July. Thats just my prediction here. We should see 2nd quarter growth and sales coming out by than and I think the market will follow the lower earnings.  [more]

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