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GundersonGroup (28.50)



Normalizing P/E ratios to the future

October 17, 2012 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY




US debt servicing ability

February 02, 2012 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: IEF , TMF , TLT

 As we have seen with the PIIGS the ability of a country to service its debt load is dependent on its Debt to GDP, Core Employment Rate & Population Leverage. As most American's already know we have breached 100% Debt to GDP. Below is the trend of the other two key components of sovereign default. A higher leverage ratio is negative, a lower employment rate is negative.   [more]



Race to the finish

January 31, 2012 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: EWP , EWI , EWO

Threw together a comparison of developed countries showing how rapidly they are approaching endgame scenario with regards to debt financing. I have not modified each country by its relative economic size. Smaller countries can likely exploit imbalances in the global economy to such a degree that they can escape their trajectory. Larger ones...not that likely.  [more]



Eurozone Curiosity

January 30, 2012 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: EWP , EWI , EWO

I was curious why the Austria/Hungary situation had not escalated into a more serious situation so decided to play around with some sustainability numbers. As you can see I was way off on my view that Austria/Hungary would be next in line before the southern European area. Positive changes are negative, negative are positive.  [more]

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