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August 2011



QE? Phooey! I want a stronger dollar

August 23, 2011 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: GOV , T

It's time to try something new. However...  [more]



Limiting the Downside

August 18, 2011 – Comments (2)

I have been trading the volatility from the start of the month with a defensive bias. I think I am ready to move back into equities, although only for short periods as I feel we are still operating in a tough environment. I was looking for more downside this week and we are clearly getting it this morning. I feel like large cap value stocks are the least risky way to go long, especially if I get caught on a down day. I have considered hedging with options or buying the vxx as another way of cutting out some downside. However, to me the high volatility makes options look expensive. How are you limiting the risk in your portfolio?  [more]



Whats the Range on Earnings Estimates?

August 17, 2011 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: SD.DL , DAL

-Observation-   [more]



Getting Defensive Here

August 09, 2011 – Comments (17) | RELATED TICKERS: GOV , T

I'll take this +4% day as an opportunity to sell the strength and get defensive. There are too many structural problems that need to be sorted out. The volatility for the next several weeks should be trending higher and the indexes trending lower. I think we retest the lows of the past 12 months in the Dow just below 10,000. If we fall below 10,000 then I think 9,000 is a real possiblity.   [more]

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