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November 2011



Market Timing - Late November Edition

November 26, 2011 – Comments (5)

Amazingly, its been another month since my last blog on experimental market timing. Here is the latest update. I started the month of November pursuing the usefulness of a 75/25 large cap value to cash allocation with daily rebalancing. I backtested over the past 9 years and found the 75/25 allocation approach far exceeeded a 50/50 cash large cap value rebalancing method and a 100% large cap value allocation with no rebalancing by 76 and 112 percentage points respectively. (comment 2)  [more]



Black Swan Means 99% of Us Get Screwed

November 15, 2011 – Comments (0)

Jerry got me all fired up talking about black swan events.  [more]



Is Hydrofracking Raising Risk at Nuclear Facilities? (Part II)

November 10, 2011 – Comments (12)

Earlier today I asked what the impact of increased seismic activity at nuclear sites could be in the wake of a direct relationship being established between hydrofracking and earthquakes.  [more]



Is Hydrofracking Raising Risk at Nuclear Facilities?

November 10, 2011 – Comments (1)

I am not pro fracking or anti-fracking but the article below concludes that there is a direct relationship between hydro-fracking and seismic activity.  [more]



It's the Process not the Stats that Matter

November 09, 2011 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: IBM , AAPL , CSCO

After a last minute comeback victory against the Patriots on Sunday, I was inspired by Eli Manning's comments in the postgame regarding his position among NFL quarterbacks. His thoughts were indicative of a person who applies a consistent approach that leads to positive outcomes. I felt there were some lessons that could carry over from the way he views football into the way we can view investing.  [more]



Off Topic- Wanted: Lost Sandwich

November 03, 2011 – Comments (7)


Oh sandwich, fair sandwich
Where did you go?
I wrapped you myself
like babe in swaddling clothes.

Your turkey, your bacon,
Russian on rye.
Thought I'd give up looking,
but now I just want to cry.

If you turn up,
I'll be so amazed.
But as it stands now,
you've left me in a craze.

Who could do this?
Throw out or just take!
So much for my tasty
Thursday lunch break.    [more]



Kitchen Nightmares: Euro Edition

November 02, 2011 – Comments (0)

Could we be stuck in the middle of a multi-year deleveraging nightmare where we are left with a range bound market mess of peaks and valleys- where government ballouts lead to rallies of hope before a new debt crisis sends us straight back down? It sure feels like it. The Euro to me is quickly becoming the equivalent of a bad science experiment where the volcano ends up exploding all over the classroom. It is a system of currency that could exist only if turmoil failed to exist.   [more]

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