TMFAleph1 (94.05)

Big Bank Losses Aren't Over Yet

February 23, 2010 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: BAC , C , JPM

My thoughts on the canary in a coalmine that is accelerating small bank failures.

Alex Dumortier, CFA

7 Stocks That Hedge Funds Like

February 22, 2010 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: WLP , C , MJN

My thoughts on the list of stocks that have attracted the highest number of net new hedge fund positions.

Alex Dumortier, CFA

Who's Right on Gold: Soros or Central Bankers?

February 20, 2010 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: AUY , GLD , FCX

My thoughts on Soro's seemingly paradoxical position on gold.   [more]

Is China Dumping or Accumulating U.S. Treasuries?

February 20, 2010 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: JPM , GS , BRK-B

My thoughts on the latest TIC report.

On another note, for those who are interested in following/ commenting on my analysis on a different platform, I can now be found on Twitter.

Alex Dumortier, CFA

AIG: We Like Some Toxic Waste!

February 18, 2010 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: AIG , C , FNMA

My thoughts on AIG's decision not to close out all of its derivatives positions in its ill-fated AIG Financial Products unit.  [more]

China's 'Short Dollar' Stock Bets

February 11, 2010 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: GLD , EEM , XLE

My thoughts on this week's disclosure of US-listed stock positions by China's $300 billion sovereign wealth fund.   [more]

Will China or the U.S. Kill the Rally?

February 10, 2010 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: WFC , BRK-B , JPM

My thoughts on the twin threat of U.S. sovereign debt and Chinese bank debt to the stock market rally begun in March 2009.  [more]

Is This Bull Over?

February 09, 2010 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: JPM , GS , BRK-B

My thoughts on the state of the bull market.

On another note, for those who are interested in following/ commenting on my analysis on a different platform, I can now be found on Twitter.

Alex Dumortier, CFA

A V-Shaped Fantasy: Some Historical Context

February 07, 2010 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: BRK-B , XOM , JPM

Anyone who continues to believe in the cosy fantasy of a V-shaped recovery should take a look at these graphs from the St. Louis Fed which plot the four main economic indicators that the NBER data committee tracks [the NBER is the official arbiter of recessions in the U.S.]:  [more]

I Wouldn't Touch These Banks With a Cheap CDS!

February 03, 2010 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: BAC , JPM , GS

My thoughts on some risks facing facing bank stock investors.

On another note, for those who are interested in following/ commenting on my analysis on a different platform, I can now be found on Twitter.

Alex Dumortier, CFA

Great Earnings Season! Is It Enough?

February 03, 2010 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: XOM , MSFT , AAPL

My thoughts on the unfolding earnings season and the outlook for stocks this year.   [more]

The Top Performing Market (Hint: It's Not China)

February 02, 2010 – Comments (5) | RELATED TICKERS: GE , XOM , VIP

My thoughts, after looking at the returns ranking for the past 6 months.   [more]

Why China Will Never Overtake the U.S.

February 02, 2010 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: FXI , GE , GS

Okay, that's overstating Edward Chancellor's thesis. However, in this piece, the GMO strategist (author of 'Devil Take the Hindmost') outlines a genuine threat to China's rise to economic primacy. Worth the read!