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dexion10 (27.69)

December 2008

Recs

12

Story of Trading September - December | My January Call (SELL)

December 31, 2008 – Comments (14) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , UWM , RYL

I wanted to share some thoughts with this incredibly smart CAPS community and I welcome all comments.  [more]

Recs

5

Forgive the Late 2008 Churn - I am working on my ACCURACY

December 30, 2008 – Comments (9)

Early on in my CAPS I thought that getting points was all  that mattered. Later I read the fine print and found out that accuracy mattered too.  OOPS...My bad.   [more]

Recs

6

My thoughts on Oil, Refiners, Chemicals etc

December 18, 2008 – Comments (26) | RELATED TICKERS: TSO , VLO , CEMJQ.PK.DL

I see many posts today on oil and surprise that oil broke $36. What many are not realizing is that oil prices are not only dependent on gasoline demand but also chemical demand... that's where there is big weakness and there are several investment thesis that flow from this.  [more]

Recs

2

My thoughts on Oil, Refiners, Chemicals etc

December 18, 2008 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: TSO , VLO , CEMJQ.PK.DL

I see many posts today on oil and surprise that oil broke $36. What many are not realizing is that oil prices are not only dependent on gasoline demand but also chemical demand... that's where there is big weakness and there are several investment thesis that flow from this.  [more]

Recs

3

China stocks down 50% but still outperforming USA over last 10 years

December 18, 2008 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: EUM

So the logic goes since  China's stock market is down 50% it can't fall any further.  That is not really sound logic though is it.  [more]

Recs

20

UPDATED AGAIN: 300 point up (+3%) days are bad signs for the market | RED FLAGS EVERYWHERE

December 16, 2008 – Comments (15) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , TWM , UWM

This is a follow-up to my prior 4 posts regarding +300 point rallies like the one today. Unless a 300 point rally occurrs at "a bottom" it is bad news during a bear market.  [more]

Recs

8

That was the Easiest Short Ever | Comments Please

December 11, 2008 – Comments (15) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , TWM , TZA

I shorted this market this week because as I said earlier this was the EASIEST SHORT EVER. I'd love to get comments from both bulls and bears today... I want to hear what others think about the bull case or the bear case.  You can read my last few blogs here to see my bear case.  [more]

Recs

14

UPDATE: 300 point up (+3%) days are bad signs for the market | RED FLAGS EVERYWHERE

December 08, 2008 – Comments (6) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , TZA , SPXS

Here is a scary historical fact... There were 16 (up) +300 point days for the DOW in the 2000 to 2003 bear market. There were no 300 point days from 2003-2007 bull market. ZERO..... The first firm to make note of this (as far as I can tell) was a study by Lowry’s Reports.   [more]

Recs

18

Jim Cramer & Bill Miller are calling the bottom | I'm calling the TOP

December 07, 2008 – Comments (12) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , TZA , SPXS

All the bottom callers (Bill Miller, Jim Cramer, etc) are out of their minds... or they've simply lost them long ago int he case of Cramer and Miller.   [more]

Recs

11

List of Levered ETF's | Great for CAPS | Dangerous in real life - levered ETF's have big flaw!

December 05, 2008 – Comments (5) | RELATED TICKERS: TNA , SPXS , TZA

Enjoy!! FYI - levered ETF's are great for CAPS trades because you can pick a market direction and if you are right you will get outperformance.   [more]

Recs

3

What do Unemployed Cave People NEED | Evaluate Stocks That Way

December 05, 2008 – Comments (0)

I've started evaluating my portfolio holdings by asking myself can this company survive if a large number of consumers are reduced to cavemen (no house / no job).  [more]

Recs

20

ALSTRY Was Optimistic - These Headlines Will Make You Agree!

December 05, 2008 – Comments (12) | RELATED TICKERS: SDS , TZA

I wanted to provide some context around some of the recent headlines. A little context goes a long way to explain how much worse things are going to get.    [more]

Recs

11

S&P 500 is a SHORT at 890 (graphs included) | I SHALL SHORT IT

December 03, 2008 – Comments (16) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY

My past few blogs have been anectdotal and less meaty. Today I am going to give you the meaty post that explains how I've made money at this rigged casino, formerly known as the stock market.  [more]

Recs

14

Headlines from the future | I have seen the future and it has lower stock prices!

December 02, 2008 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: SKF , BAC

1. State Governments Seek +100B in Federal Bailout  [more]

Recs

5

UPDATE: Market getting too hard for me after scoring 1000 points

December 02, 2008 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY

I am excited to have had 1,000 cap points recently - but you've probably noticed that I am closing out more picks than I am making.  [more]

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