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stockmktdouble (51.19)

April 2013




April 27, 2013 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: PHOT , MJNA , MDBX

GrowLife could actually turn into a miracle for the speculative investor. After I read the article below, I went to the yahoo finance page and checked them out. here's a link to their income statement on yahoo.

A little more due diligence uncovered that they employ 18 people and have 2 stores in addition to their website. Like all penny stocks, it is highly speculative but if you been looking for a legitimate marijuana stock, GrowLife is for real and they are growing revenues big time. There is no doubt in my mind that they are serious about the industry and serious about growing as a company. The acquisitions are a testament to this. The stock is currently .04, if it gets to $1.00, a $2000.00 investment would turn into approximately $50,000.00 





April 26, 2013 – Comments (6) | RELATED TICKERS: DGAZ , AFFY , UNXL

Below you will find 6 different experiments/strategies to find the elusive formula that doubles your portfolio in one year or less. I started this journey on April  16, 2013 with The 3x ETF Strategy One. This strategy to date has been an unmitigated disaster, losing approximately 19% in a little over a week. I'm shocked how poorly it has performed.

There is no doubt that I have learned a great deal already about how to trade the 3x etf's. Although it's only been a little over a week, it appears that if a 3x ETF has a big move one day, it is highly likely that it will reverse more often than not the next trading day.

One thing I am certain about is that, I will find at formula that has a very high success ratio.  The question is whether or not the formula can consistently perform at a high level. I have high hopes for both of the long strategies that are being tested. Long Strategy One is a pure play based on a technical set up and Long Strategy 2 is more of a momentum play. The results for the strategies are below:                           

3 X ETF STRATEGY II this strategy is designed to hold for 1-4 weeks

4/24-bought 1024 shares of DGAZ at $9.77
Initial Investment: $10k
Current Balance: $10,174.00
2% profit
Annualized return 500% 

LONG STRATEGY II this strategy holds the stock for 1 month

4/22-DGIT-bought 1567 shares at $6.38
initial investment: $10k
Current Balance: $10,906.00
9% profit
Annualized Return: 1,170%

based on buying leaps for stocks headed to bankruptcy
this strategy is a buy and hold type strategy

4/18-AFFY, 10 January 2014 $3 contracts at $2.20 
4/18-short 1889 shares of BIOF at $4.13
-there are no options available on this stock but I am pretty certain they will go bankrupt so I'm going to include this in the strategy anyway.

initial investment in this strategy: $10k
Balance for strategy: $9,100.00
9% loss
annualized return -468%

LONG STRATEGY based on technical setup.
this strategy averages 3-5 trades weekly.


4/24-bought 572 shares of EAC at $17.41
4/25-closed position on EAC at $19.18

4/19-bought 1818 shares HIMX at $5.50
4/24-closed HIMX position at $5.48

4/17-bought 2985 shares of EVC at $3.35
4/19-closed EVC position at $3.35

initial investment: $10k
balance: $10,971.00
10% profit
annualized return: 430% 



strategy is to short over priced stocks with underwhelming fundamentals
this strategy averages 1-3 trades per month.

4/18-short 262 shares of unxl at 38.10

Initial investment: $10k
balance: $11,100
profit 1%
annualized return: 52%

strictly a momentum play on the 3x etf
this strategy averages 3-5 trades weekly.

4/25-bought 694 shares of USLV at $11.72

4/24-bought 612 shares of NUGT at 12.85
4/25-closed NUGT position at $13.29

4/23-bought 92 shares of DUST at $105.15
4/24-closed DUST position at $85.47

4/22-bought 1027 shares dgaz at $9.17
4/23-closed position on DGAZ at $9.43

4/19-bought 157 shares of TQQQ at $58.26
4/22-closed position on TQQQ at $60.14

4/18-bought 828 shares of NUGT at $10.63
4/19-closed position on NUGT at $11.05

4/17-bought  82 shares of DUST at $118.19
4/18-closed  position on DUST at $107.33

4/16-bought 938 shares of USLV at $10.66
4/17-closed position on USLV at $10.34

initial investment: $10k
balance: $8133.00
loss 19%
annualized return: -771%  [more]




April 20, 2013 – Comments (4) | RELATED TICKERS: NUGT

I was just thinking about this post and wanted to add an update; on Friday, I bought the same dollar amount as my first purchase on April 13. My average cost per share now is $13.81. The current price is $11.05. I am steadfast in my belief that cost averaging down on NUGT will make you a substantial amount of money, when this thing turns upward. $40 price target.      [more]



Denny's Hitting a Grand Slam

April 15, 2013 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: DENN , MCD

 Denny's, the home of the Grand Slam Breakfast is turning into a home run stock for investors.  I've been a big fan of the Grand Slam Breakfast, 2 pancakes, 2 eggs, 2 slices of bacon, and 2 sausage links for years.  It seems like no matter where you go on vacation, right across the street from your hotel is a Denny's.  I love comfort and Denny's is the ultimate in "comfort food".

Here are a few good reasons to consider Denny's (DENN)

1. In the past year the stock has moved from $4 to $5.60. A nice 12 month move of 40%.





April 11, 2013 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: C , JPM , GS

Fifth Third, Citigroup (NYSE:C), UBS, Barclays, U.S.Bank, Goldman Sachs (GS), Wells Fargo (WFC), HSBC, BNP Paribas, BB&T, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and PNC all had information before the public had it today about what was going to be said by Fed at 2pm and they used that information to make profits in the stock market.  I think that is called insider trading.

Almost without fail, the market normally sells off prior to a statement from the Fed because nobody is ever 100% sure what the Fed is going to say.  Today however, the market spiked higher (significantly higher) before the release at 2pm. An obvious sign that these institutions knew in advance what the tone of the statement was going to be.

The problem here is are the people who got hurt by this.  It is logical, that some traders (who were not fortunate enough to have the Fed's minutes in advance) may have shorted the market before the Fed's 2pm statement and got walloped.(for sure this happened to some traders)

It's just another example of how uneven the playing field is and why it is so difficult for independent traders to succeed in this game. If you are succeeding, it is because you are exceptional and better than many of the guys sitting in the office's of any of these institutions.

Do you think the SEC will take any action here? Yea right! If you believe that they will, there are 3 bridges I'd like to sell you.

Good luck out there! You are swimming in are treacherous waters.





April 07, 2013 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: AOL.DL , AVTI , AFL

Ben Graham, the definitive value investor and Warren Buffet's mentor was a big proponent of a low price to book ratio when selecting stocks.

Using the years 2000-2010, (a really good 10 year period of time to test any theory because there were 2 major stock market meltdowns during this period) the return on investment on average for stocks with a price to book of less than 2 is 14%, nearly double the return of the market over the same period of time. Furthermore, the roi on stocks over 2 is 2.4%.  [more]




April 04, 2013 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: BKMU

Bank Mutual Corporation has picked themselves up off the floor and are moving forward. A quick overview: they are a Savings and Loan based out of Milwaukee, Wisconsin.  They operate 79 banking offices in Wisconsin and 1 in Minnesota.

Before I provide this analysis, I want to preface it by saying that I think the pullback in the market has started and that we could drop down to 14,000 on the Dow before we continue higher. I've noticed that even when we have an up day in the market there are more decliners than there are advancers lately. That's a good indicator that there maybe a pullback in the market.

With that said, this stock is a great turnaround story that is well worth listening to.    
To keep it simple, here are the reasons I like this company. (in no particular order)
1. First, from a technical standpoint, the stock has pulled back more than 10% after a torrid 42% move since Mid December of last year. (the whole industry has pulled back in the last couple of weeks).


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