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April 2009

Recs

6

SELL SELL SELL!!!! 45 people in the U.S. have the flu!

April 27, 2009 – Comments (6) | RELATED TICKERS: ESV , OIS , LINE

It’s a little difficult to understand why I lost thousands of (pretend) dollars today because of the flu.  The best explanations assume that investors think long term, and expect this flu to have lasting impacts on the world.  The most accurate explanations simply state that this is another example of investor over reaction.  Unless you believe the former, now is a good time to buy (particularly if you like oil).  [more]

Recs

8

Where are we going and why are we in this hand basket?

April 23, 2009 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: C , GE , MSFT

Until recently, I was under the impression that capitalism was infallible and that the “invisible hand” had big plans for the future.  However, it has become increasingly apparent that the” invisible hand” would kick-start the apocalypse if it increased this quarter’s profits.  I came to this realization while working for a medical device firm (the company was great, although they only saw the world one quarter at a time).  A steady stream of under -developed medical products was being launched to boost sales numbers this quarter.  Instead of correcting product failures, manuals were adjusted to make failure inducing behaviors unadvisable.  Finally, although compliance with regulatory standards allowed for long term company viability, it was low priority because it did nothing to help meet this quarter’s goals.  At the time, I thought this problem occurred in isolation, but I have noticed some larger indicators that the short term interest of capitalism are destroying our future.  [more]

Recs

22

Efficient Markets? How about I just punch you in the face.

April 21, 2009 – Comments (13)

During the final days of my MBA, I presented the results of my model to a large group of financial experts and professionals.  I was forewarned that any suggestion that markets were inefficient would whip the PhDs in the room into a feeding frenzy (the idea that markets are anything but efficient, creates cognitive dissonance between what a professor does and what he could be doing).  After 9 years of academia, I recognized a hoop when I saw it and jumped.  HOWEVER, the following are all the reasons that I think that markets are not efficient.    [more]

Recs

5

Is shorting black magic? What do you think?

April 20, 2009 – Comments (13) | RELATED TICKERS: GMO , GGR , SPP

Yesterday, I fully intended to write a blog post about all the reasons I hate shorting.  To establish some credibility on the subject, I even created a new Motley Fool account of the top 200 short stocks from my automated program.  However, the account I created backfired on me.  This short account is beating 94.89% of investors after a single morning of operation.  I expect with a longer time horizon that this account will serve its original purpose.  Meanwhile, I have to accept the possibility that I have been wrong about shorting.  It may not be just speculative/technical black magic.  [more]

Recs

12

Pay no attention to that computer behind the curtain…

April 17, 2009 – Comments (4)

This is a difficult post to make.  I am torn between swinging back the curtain on anticitrade.com and revealing all the details of its creation, and leaving it shrouded in mystery.  Because I, and my small webpage design and programming team, have plans at eventual commercialization I will try to keep it like a skirt…  Long enough to cover the subject, but short enough to keep it interesting.  [more]

Recs

28

Things I learned from losing $84,000 in 2 weeks.

April 16, 2009 – Comments (24) | RELATED TICKERS: ZINC , GTLS , AOBID

As I mentioned in my previous post, my experience as an investor has resulted from an automated system that completes a fundamental analysis on thousands of stocks.  After I had been ranked 1st and then 2nd on investopedia with two different accounts I became a little over confident in my systems ability to work as a “black box”.   [more]

Recs

10

In the beginning...

April 15, 2009 – Comments (2)

This post will explain my background and how I become interested in investing:  [more]

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