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July 2012



Obama's Chances in Four Months

July 07, 2012 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , QQQ , DIA

Since my May post, the misery index has remained at 9.6%, and the annualized growth of the S&P 500 since November 1, 2008 has dropped to 9.53% (far better than the annualized decline of -6.8% during Bush's second term).  With these factors taken into consideration, Obama has a 76%-85% probability of being re-elected.  [more]

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