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July 2016

Recs

1

The Wax Report - Week Ending 07/29/2016

July 30, 2016 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: CLH , DDD , ARII

The very poorly managed, energy weighted, and generally crappy Wax Ink Portfolio was unchanged for the week.

By comparison, the Dow was down 0.7%, the Nasdaq was up 1.2%, the S&P 500 was down 0.1%, the Russell 2000 was up 0.6%, and the Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, was down 1.2%.

Year to date, the Wax Ink portfolio is down 15.7% on a per share held basis, the Dow is up 5.8%, the Nasdaq is up 3.1%, the S&P 500 is up 6.3%, the Russell 2000 is up 7.4%, and the VIX is lower by 34.8%.

Portfolio Summary
The portfolio breakdown is roughly 56% cash, 44% equities, and 0% bonds. The current cash value on a per share basis is $28.94 and the current equity value on a per share basis is $23.16 making the average per share price $52.11. The average baseline valuation estimate of all equities currently held in the Wax Ink Portfolio is $30.92 and the average market valuation of all equities held in the Wax Ink Portfolio was $29.60, making the current portfolio equilibrium factor (4.29%).

Hydrocarbon Prices
Two numbers often watched by oil traders are Crude Spread (Brent Crude less WTI Crude) as well as the Gulf Coast Crack Spread (two barrels of gasoline + one barrel of heating oil – three barrels of crude oil) / 3). These numbers are now apart of The Wax Report.

WTI Crude ended the week at $41.60, down 5.9%, while Brent Crude ended the week at $43.53, down 4.7%, creating a crude price spread of $1.93, a change of 28.7% for the week. Distillate RBOB Gasoline ended the week at $1.3210, down 3%, and Heating Oil ended the week at $1.3075, down 3.6%, moving the Gulf Coast 3:2:1 Crack Spread to $13.69, up 5.9% for the week. Natural Gas ended the week at $2.88, up 3.6%.

Year to date WTI Crude is higher by 12.3%, Brent Crude is higher by 16.8%, Natural Gas is higher by 23.1%, RBOB Gasoline is higher by 3.9%, Heating Oil is higher by 16.1%, and the Gulf Coast 3:2:1 Crack Spread is lower by 4.4%.

Treasury and Bond Yields
The 5 Year Treasury ended the week at 1.00, down 9.1%, while the 10 Year Treasury ended the week at 1.43, down 7.7%. The 5 Year AAA Municipal Bond ended the week at 0.83, down 1.2%, and the 10 Year AAA Municipal Bond ended the week at 1.36, down 3.5%. Bringing up the rear, the 5 Year AAA Corporate closed the week at 1.13, up 9.7%, with the 10 Year AAA Corporate ending the week down 2.7% at 2.13.

Year to date the 5 Year Treasury is down 42.5%, the 10 Year Treasury is down 36.4%, the 5 Year AAA Muni is down 33.1%, the 10 year AAA Muni is down 36.1%, the 5 Year AAA Corporate is down 40.5%, and the 10 Year AAA Corporate is down 27.1%.

Baseline Valuation Estimates and Worksheets
Baseline Valuation Estimates are initial valuations which Accredited Investors, after completing their own due diligence, can either increase or decrease in accordance with their individual risk tolerance or investing philosophy.

Financial data used in the creation of each Baseline Valuation Estimate is the most recent SEC 10-K ANNUAL financial data as reported to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Archived worksheets may be downloaded by going to the Worksheets page at the site and selecting an industry which will move you to all of the worksheets I have updated for the selected industry.

Worksheets
Worksheets were either created or updated during the week for the following companies.

Clean Harbors, Inc. (NYSE: CLH) - FYE 12/2015
NCR Corporation (NYSE: NCR) - FYE 12/2015
American Railcar Industries, Inc. (Nasdaq: ARII) - FYE 12/2015
3D Systems Corporation (NYSE: DDD) - FYE 12/2015
Pentair, plc (NYSE: PNR) - FYE 12/2015

Baseline Valuation Estimates
Baseline valuation estimates are determined through fundamental analysis of the listed company's financial information. Because these valuations are never exact, what is presented here is a baseline valuation range. Baseline valuation estimates were either created or updated during the week for the following companies:

Clean Harbors, Inc. - $47-$56
NCR Corporation - $7-$11
American Railcar Industries, Inc. - $41-$43
3D Systems Corporation - ($2-$8)
Pentair, plc - ($19-$24)

Growth Only Valuation Estimates
Growth only valuations are determined utilizing current pricing levels, year over year earnings growth, dividend yield, the current PE ratio, and an earnings growth estimate. Because growth only valuations are EXTREMELY volatile, what is presented here is a single growth only valuation estimate. Growth only valuation estimates were either created or updated during the week for the following companies:

Clean Harbors, Inc. - $52
NCR Corporation - $31
American Railcar Industries, Inc. - $90
3D Systems Corporation - ($81)
Pentair, plc - ($63)

Investment Summaries
Investment summaries are determined based on fundamental valuation of the underlying equity considering a minimum hold of 60 months (5 years). Investment summaries were issued during the week for the following companies:

Clean Harbors, Inc. - Neutral - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) are mixed for investment consideration at this time (Hold)
NCR Corporation - Negative - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) no longer favor investment consideration (Sell)
American Railcar Industries, Inc. - Neutral - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) are mixed for investment consideration at this time (Hold)
3D Systems Corporation - Negative - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) no longer favor investment consideration (Sell)
Pentair, plc - Negative - the current baseline valuation and key performance indicators (KPIs) no longer favor investment consideration (Sell)

Have a great week.

Wax

Wax Ink is a baseline equity valuation company not licensed or registered with any government agency
Copyright © 2016 Wax Ink  [more]

Recs

2

The Wax Report - Week Ending 07/22/2016

July 23, 2016 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: INT , DAR

The very poorly managed, energy leveraged Wax Ink Portfolio was down 0.5% for the week.

By comparison, the Dow was up 0.3%, the Nasdaq was up 1.4%, the S&P 500 was up 0.6%, the Russell 2000 was up 0.6%, and the Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, was down 5.1%.

Year to date, the Wax Ink portfolio is down 15.7% on a per share held basis, the Dow is up 6.6%, the Nasdaq is up 1.9%, the S&P 500 is up 6.4%, the Russell 2000 is up 6.8%, and the VIX is lower by 34.0%.

Portfolio Summary
The portfolio breakdown is roughly 56% cash, 44% equities, and 0% bonds. The current cash value on a per share basis is $28.94 and the current equity value on a per share basis is $23.18 making the average per share price $52.12. The average baseline valuation estimate of all equities currently held in the Wax Ink Portfolio is $30.92 and the average market valuation of all equities held in the Wax Ink Portfolio was $29.80, making the current portfolio equilibrium factor (3.63%).

Hydrocarbon Prices
Two numbers often watched by oil traders are Crude Spread (Brent Crude less WTI Crude) as well as the Gulf Coast Crack Spread (two barrels of gasoline + one barrel of heating oil – three barrels of crude oil) / 3). These numbers are now apart of The Wax Report.

WTI Crude ended the week at $44.19, down 3.8%, while Brent Crude ended the week at $45.69, down 4.0%, creating a crude price spread of $1.50, a change of 9.6% for the week. Distillate RBOB Gasoline ended the week at $1.3615, down 4.3%, and Heating Oil ended the week at $1.3570, down 2.9%, moving the Gulf Coast 3:2:1 Crack Spread to $12.93, down 3.7% for the week. Natural Gas ended the week at $2.78, up 0.7%.

Year to date WTI Crude is higher by 19.3%, Brent Crude is higher by 22.6%, Natural Gas is higher by 18.8%, RBOB Gasoline is higher by 7.1%, Heating Oil is higher by 20.5%, and the Gulf Coast 3:2:1 Crack Spread is lower by 9.7%.

Treasury and Bond Yields
The 5 Year Treasury ended the week at 1.10, up 1.9%, while the 10 Year Treasury ended the week at 1.55, up 2.6%. The 5 Year AAA Municipal Bond ended the week at 0.84, down 3.4%, and the 10 Year AAA Municipal Bond ended the week at 1.41, unchanged. Bringing up the rear, the 5 Year AAA Corporate closed the week at 1.03, up 87.3%, with the 10 Year AAA Corporate ending the week up 2.3% at 2.19.

Year to date the 5 Year Treasury is down 36.8%, the 10 Year Treasury is down 31.1%, the 5 Year AAA Muni is down 32.3%, the 10 year AAA Muni is down 34.1%, the 5 Year AAA Corporate is down 45.8%, and the 10 Year AAA Corporate is down 25.0%.

Baseline Valuation Estimates and Worksheets
Baseline Valuation Estimates are initial valuations which Accredited Investors, after completing their own due diligence, can either increase or decrease in accordance with their individual risk tolerance or investing philosophy.

Financial data used in the creation of each Baseline Valuation Estimate is the most recent SEC 10-K ANNUAL financial data as reported to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Archived worksheets may be downloaded by going to the Worksheets page at the site and selecting an industry which will move you to all of the worksheets I have updated for the selected industry.

Worksheets
Worksheets were either created or updated during the week for the following companies.

World Fuel Services Corporation (NYSE: INT) - FYE 12/2015

Darling Ingredients, Inc. (NYSE: DAR) - FYE 12/2015

Baseline Valuation Estimates
Baseline valuation estimates are determined through fundamental analysis of the listed company's financial information. Because these valuations are never exact, what is presented here is a baseline valuation range.

Baseline valuation estimates were either created or updated during the week for the following companies:
World Fuel Services Corporation - $46-$54
Darling Ingredients, Inc. - $22-$28

Growth Only Valuation Estimates
Growth only valuations are determined utilizing current pricing levels, year over year earnings growth, dividend yield, the current PE ratio, and an earnings growth estimate. Because growth only valuations are EXTREMELY volatile, what is presented here is a single growth only valuation estimate.

Growth only valuation estimates were either created or updated during the week for the following companies:
World Fuel Services Corporation - $47
Darling Ingredients, Inc. - $15

Have a great week.

Wax

Wax Ink is a baseline equity valuation company not licensed or registered with any government agency
Copyright © 2016 Wax Ink  [more]

Recs

1

The Wax Report - Week Ending 07/15/2016

July 16, 2016 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: AMGN , WWD , OLN

The very poorly managed, energy leveraged Wax Ink Portfolio was up 2.2% for the week.  [more]

Recs

1

The Wax Report - Week Ending 07/08/2016

July 09, 2016 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: REGN , RNET , TKR

The very poorly managed, energy leveraged Wax Ink Portfolio was down 0.4% for the week.  [more]

Recs

1

The Wax Report - Week Ending 07/01/2016

July 02, 2016 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: SON , TUP , BMY

The Wax Report - Week Ending 07/01/2016
The very poorly managed Wax Ink Portfolio was up 1.1% for the week.

By comparison, the Dow was up 3.2%, the Nasdaq was up 3.3%, the S&P 500 was up 3.2%, the Russell 2000 was up 2.6%, and the Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, was down 42.7%.

Year to date, the Wax Ink portfolio is down 16.7% on a per share held basis, the Dow is up 3.0%, the Nasdaq is down 2.9%, the S&P 500 is up 2.9%, the Russell 2000 is up 1.8%, and the VIX is lower by 18.9%.

Portfolio Summary
The portfolio breakdown is roughly 56% cash, 44% equities, and 0% bonds. The current cash value on a per share basis is $28.94 and the current equity value on a per share basis is $22.52 making the average per share price $51.47. The average baseline valuation estimate of all equities currently held in the Wax Ink Portfolio is $30.92. For the current week ending, the average market valuation of all equities held in the Wax Ink Portfolio was $29.01, making the current portfolio growth factor 6.17%.

Hydrocarbon Prices
Two numbers often watched by oil traders are Crude Spread (Brent Crude less WTI Crude) as well as the Gulf Coast Crack Spread (two barrels of gasoline + one barrel of heating oil – three barrels of crude oil) / 3). These numbers are now apart of The Wax Report.

WTI Crude ended the week at $48.99, up 0.3%, while Brent Crude ended the week at $50.35, up 4.0%, creating a crude price spread of $1.36, a change of 409.1% for the week. Distillate RBOB Gasoline ended the week at $1.5135, down 0.8%, and Heating Oil ended the week at $1.5115, up 3.9%, moving the Gulf Coast 3:2:1 Crack Spread to $14.55, up 2.3% for the week. Natural Gas ended the week at $2.99, up 12.0%.

Year to date WTI Crude is higher by 32.3%, Brent Crude is higher by 35.1%, Natural Gas is higher by 27.8%, RBOB Gasoline is higher by 19.1%, Heating Oil is higher by 34.2%, and the Gulf Coast 3:2:1 Crack Spread is higher by 1.6%.

Treasury and Bond Yields
The 5 Year Treasury ended the week at 0.98, down 5.8%, while the 10 Year Treasury ended the week at 1.42, down 7.2%. The 5 Year AAA Municipal Bond ended the week at 0.70, up 4.5%, and the 10 Year AAA Municipal Bond ended the week at 1.17, up 2.6%. Bringing up the rear, the 5 Year AAA Corporate closed the week at 0.95, down 16.7%, with the 10 Year AAA Corporate ending the week down 13.5% at 1.86.

Year to date the 5 Year Treasury is down 43.7%, the 10 Year Treasury is down 36.9%, the 5 Year AAA Muni is down 43.5%, the 10 year AAA Muni is down 45.3%, the 5 Year AAA Corporate is down 50%, and the 10 Year AAA Corporate is down 36.3%.

Baseline Valuation Estimates and Worksheets
Baseline Valuation Estimates are initial valuations which Accredited Investors, after completing their own due diligence, can either increase or decrease in accordance with their individual risk tolerance or investing philosophy.

Financial data used in the creation of each Baseline Valuation Estimate is the most recent SEC 10-K ANNUAL financial data as reported to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Archived worksheets may be downloaded by going to the Worksheets page at the site and selecting an industry which will move you to all of the worksheets I have updated for the selected industry.

Worksheets were either created or updated last week for the following companies. Please note that worksheets are updated or created basis the most current SEC 10-K ANNUAL filing.

Forward Air Corporation (Nasdaq: FWRD) - FYE 12/2015

Sonoco Products Company (NYSE: SON) - FYE 12/2015

Tuppeware Brands Corporation (NYSE: TUP) - FYE 12/2015

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE: BMY) - FYE 12/2015

Estimate Revisions and Additions
Baseline value estimates were either created or revised this week for Forward Air ($43-$51), Sonoco Products ($37-$42), Tupperware Brands ($40-$40), and Bristol-Myers Squibb ($22-$31).

Have a great week.

Wax

Wax Ink is a baseline equity valuation company not licensed or registered with any government agency
Copyright © 2016 Wax Ink  [more]

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