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toopersent (< 20)

Time to get risky: Buying the Pharm

Recs

2

July 13, 2009 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: RIGL , JAZZ

If you're like me (young, handsome, charming)...okay, maybe not the last two, but if you are tolerante to risk because you have a stash of money that you don't need to touch, then I've got a solution to qualm those itchy trigger fingers. Yup, I'm about to rec buying some highly speculative pharm companies.  If you don't have the stomach for it, I suggest you stop reading.  However, if you have a 401k/IRA that you can't touch for 20+ years, or maybe a relative kicked the bucket and now you have some play money...whatever the case, this might make sense to you.

Pharm is notorious for giving investors that roller coaster thrill ride.  You know, the ups and downs, the loopty-loops...they sick feeling you get after eating too many corn dogs and then riding the Shockwave three times in a row.  Sure, you can go ride the kiddie rollercoasts; the Pfizers of the them park that are just so damn boring sometimes.  But not me...not this guy. 

So here we go ladies and gentlemen.  Keep your hands inside the car at all times and please, try not to ralph on the guy next to you. 

First up, I like JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS INC (JAZZ).  Thats right...I'm starting off with a 1 star stock.  Just to make things fun.  They just released data proving that their new drug (JZP-6) is effective in reducing pain from fibromyalgia.  And here is the kicker...the drug is already on the market for treating narcolepsy so the concerns about it not getting approved by the FDA for treating fibromyalgia are pretty low.  Its also a $4 stock, so you can get in cheap and you don't need much to get in.  A word of warning though, JAZZ ain't been around for too long.  And they pretty much only have two mediocre drugs to fall back on, Xyrem(which is the same thing is JZP-6 to treat narcolepsy) and LuvoxCR (which treats social anxiety and OCD).  So tread with caution.

My second recco you might have heard about recently.  I really really really like Rigel Pharm (RIGL).  It's jumped up recently on news that phase II results of its drug R788 significantly improve rhumatoid arthritis (RA).  There were concerns that the drug caused an increase in blood pressure, which it does, but the phase II results have shown that the increase in BP is treatable with other drugs that do not react to R788 negatively.  This is huge news for them.  There are over 2 million people suffereing from RA so this drug has potential to really make some money for them.  The only concern now is finding a partner to share the cost of phase III testing.  RIGL doesn't have a lot of funds, and they need to find someone quick. 

 So, go forth and pharm, but please...remember this is HIGHLY SPECULATIVE.  A lot of things can go wrong, mainly non-approval from the FDA.  Not to mention future law suits and blah blah blah.  I own stock in both of these companies, but I'm diversified as well.  Enjot!

3 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On July 14, 2009 at 2:24 PM, pharm99 (< 20) wrote:

JZP-6 is called Xyrem, known also by its chemical name sodium oxybate.

Unfortunately, it is also a most highly 'feared' pharmaceutical because of its street drug usage as the "date rape" drug.  I.e., a small amount is slipped into the drinks of unsuspecting women, who then fall unconscious and subjected to sexual assaut.    Some anti-drug groups target Xyrem as dangerous--possiby more dangerous than it actually is.

Xyrem  is not sold through drugstores.   It has to be purchasead directly from Jazz Pharmaceuticals.    Jazz also has had a negative cash flow, improved recently in part only through a sharp increase in price for Xyrem.

These cautions notwithstanding, Xyrem is possibly the only medication that allows for restorative, deep REM (rapid eye movement) sleep.   That is probably the therapeutic route by which fibromaylgia patients show improvement.  Fibro patients  suffer from terribly fragmented sleep patterns.   

Hopefully this needed medication will indeed be approved by the FDA for the large and growing fibromyalgia market.   The cautions by the above blogger are most appropriate. Hopefully soluions for better distribution systems for Xyrem will also come about to help this needful market.

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#2) On July 14, 2009 at 5:17 PM, toopersent (< 20) wrote:

Thanks for the comment sir.  Like I said...this is purely speculation.  But it has potential for huge gains, so...if you are risk tolerant, such as myself, it's something to look at.

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#3) On July 27, 2009 at 4:35 PM, toopersent (< 20) wrote:

Update:

JAZZ up 50% in after market trading. I just made a killing!

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