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russiangambit (99.11)

US retailers are adopting high-end sales tactics.

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August 13, 2009 – Comments (5) | RELATED TICKERS: GPS , ANN , JWN

I must admit that few things scare me more than visiting a high-end retailer such as Neuman Marcus or Saks. In a middle of a big an empty space there is usually an object of presumably high value, masterfully accentuated and illuminated. Around it you see 4-5 sales people circling like hungry lionesses ready to jump on their prey. Saks and Neuman are not doing so hot these days, however. All the wild game (i.e. shoppers with money) is hiding. Most likely, because they have much less money right now after stock market and housing collapse.

 

Imagine my surprise when I see their strategy being adopted by mid-range retailers, such as Gap and a few others. In the previous recession these retailers had huge sales. Now, there is nothing on sales, almost everything is full price and noting sales consequently.

I am assuming they are trying to maintain their profit margins. Well, good luck. Inventories, I hear, are at record low levels. But those banking on restocking are going to be disappointed. Those inventories don’t sell because consumers came to expect 50-75% sales in recession; they aren’t going to be buying at full prices any time soon. May be in 2 years, if all retailers follow the same route. It works in Europe, after all. But otherwise Gap and others will simply go out of business because everyone will switch to Wal-Mart.

5 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On August 13, 2009 at 5:42 PM, Teacherman1 (93.64) wrote:

Since I seldom shop anywhere but Walmart or HomeDepot, I guess I haven't noticed this trend. I assumed everyone was selling for whatever they could get. May I can get some bargins at the "going out of business" sales. It may be a case of attempting to Optomize profits over Maximizing sales. Or it could just be a lack of willingness to face reality. The last time I was in a Mall (to pick up a piece of jewelry my wife dropped off for repair), I thought they were closed. The inside was almost as devoid of customers as the parking lot was of cars. Glad I'm not in retailing. Interesting observation and comment on our current economic situation.

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#2) On August 13, 2009 at 6:02 PM, ChannelDunlap (< 20) wrote:

The mall here is bustling, always.  I don't go all that often, but I can't remember the last time I went and didn't have to part at the end of the isle (our isles are pretty short, but still.)  Where do y'all live?  Michigan?

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#3) On August 13, 2009 at 8:52 PM, russiangambit (99.11) wrote:

Channel, I live in Texas, where malls are packed too. I was just commenting on different behavior of retailers this time around. In 2002 recession there were sales everywhere, the same in 2007-2008. But now they changed their approach because a typical recession would've been done by now. But this time spending is not picking up much, I guess. So, instead of loading on inventories and then getting rid of them at fire sale prices, they hold minimal inventories and sell them at full price where they can. It tells me that retailers see no end in sight yet. They will not stock up until they see improvement in spending.

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#4) On August 13, 2009 at 11:08 PM, Tastylunch (99.54) wrote:

It tells me that retailers see no end in sight yet. They will not stock up until they see improvement in spending.

As a retailer myself I agree.

Also many retailers are dropping all sorts of products and consolidating vendors

Not a good sign.

FWIW CIT just bankrupted one of my wholesalers as well....

 

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#5) On August 14, 2009 at 9:20 AM, russiangambit (99.11) wrote:

from JCP report:

> The company, which has fashioned itself as a value destination in the downturn, said on Friday that it had sold more merchandise at regular promotional prices and less at clearance prices.

confirms what I am seeing.

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