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nottheSEC (74.73)

Its December 2010 S & P @ 800 or less,1000,1200,1300-1400 and why

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October 01, 2009 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: NINE , IN , DEC

  There is an interesting article that adresses both the bull and bear argument for the S& P and its seems to boil down to growth. I would say 1128 or about   9 % from here some.The rally will continue and I certainly do not enjoy the "public relations spin" on bad news, nor the junk stock leading but in Can Slim the M is the market. One Yahoo article said today Mr. M's benificairies in this rally have been the big players and eventually the small players are gonna want a taste. I concur and that why I see 9% from here..

..J with his opinion! All best.   

http://seekingalpha.com/article/162280-evaluating-current-market-levels-with-s-p-500-having-reached-my-fair-value-target

 

  

1 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On October 01, 2009 at 3:36 PM, nottheSEC (74.73) wrote:

From the article from Mr. Brand an interesting risk/ reward study

.....From this exercise we can determine the risk-reward using all of these arguments. Bulls say 10-15% upside, bears say 25-30% downside, and I come in somewhere in between at a flat market. Therefore, I am cautious here with the S&P 500 trading at 1,066 as I write this. To me, aggressively committing new money to equities at these levels comes with a fair amount of risk given that the best case scenario appears to only be another 10 or 15 percent. As a result, I am holding above average cash postions and being fairly defensive with fresh capital. There just aren’t that many bargains left right now, so I am hoping the next correction changes that.

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