streetflame (99.82)

Current short watchlist

October 19, 2009 – Comments (11) | RELATED TICKERS: TFSL , MGP , GBE

Here's my current short watchlist, about 400 stocks.  They are ranked 1 to 5 with 5 being the best current short, based on valuation, bankruptcy risk and momentum.  The ones in bold are current real life shorts or puts.  The list is still very much a work in progress. Please add your comments on the stocks below and suggest others.

I included some which may not be shortable right now.  A lot of the latest IPOs for example are really overpriced. Also .OB stocks - now that I have an Interactive Brokers account, I may be able to locate some of the pump and dump shares.

Keeping a list also helps me find puts.  I just enter 50 stocks at a time into the Options Oracle screen and it spits out well-priced put possibilities.

MORTGAGE BANKS
FREDDIE MAC (FRE) 2
FANNIE MAE (FNM) 2

INT’L BANKS
BANK OF AMERICA (BAC) 3
CITIGROUP (C) 2
JP MORGAN (JPM) 2
ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND (RBS) 2
BANK OF IRELAND (IRE) 2
CANADIAN IMPERIAL BANK (CM) 2
CREDIT SUISSE (CS) 2
DEUTSCHE BANK (DB) 2
UBS (UBS) 2

REGIONAL BANKS
*TFS FINANCIAL (TFSL) 4
FIRST HORIZON (FHN) 4
COMERICA (CMA) 4
CAPITOL FEDERAL (CFFN) 4
KEYCORP (KEY) 3
AMES NATIONAL (ATLO) 3
CARDINAL FINANCIAL (CFNL) 3
MERIDIAN INTERSTATE (EBSB) 3
SVB FINANCIAL (SIVB) 3
CLIFTON SAVINGS BANK (CSBK) 3
FIRST FINANCIAL (FFBC) 3
HOMEFED (HOFD) 3
ZIONS BANCORP (ZION) 3
ESSA BANCORP (ESSA) 3
ORITANI FINANCIAL (ORIT) 3
KEARNY FINANCIAL (KRNY) 3
NORTHFIELD BANKCORP (NFBK) 3
HOME BANCSHARES (HOMB) 3
BROOKLINE BANCORP (BRKL) 3
DANVERS BANCORP (DNBK) 3
BENIFICIAL MUTUAL (BNCL) 3
CITY NATIONAL (CYN) 3
CHEMICAL FINANCIAL (CHFC) 3
PRUDENTIAL BANCORP (PBIP) 3
VIEWPOINT FINANCIAL (VPFG) 3
INVESTORS BANCORP (ISBC) 3
PEAPACK GLADSTONE (PGC) 3
ROCKVILLE FINANCIAL (RCKB) 3
SIGNATURE BANK (SBNY) 3
FOX CHASE BANCORP (FXCB) 3
PARK NATIONAL (PRK) 3
K-FED BANCORP (KFED) 3
HEARTLAND FINANCIAL (HTLF) 3
SANDY SPRING (SASR) 3
CAPITAL CITY (CCBG) 3
INDEPENDENT BANK (INDB) 3
PENNS WOODS BANK (PWOD) 3
UNITED SECURITY BANK (USBI) 3
CENTER BANK (CNBC) 3
INTERNATIONAL BANK (IBOC) 3
SC BANK & TRUST (SCBT) 3
S&T BANK (STBA) 3
M&T BANK (MTB) 3
PACWEST BANK (PACW) 3
NORTHWEST BANK (NWSB) 3

IB
ARLINGTON ASSET (AI) 3
GREENHILL (GHL) 3
GOLDMAN SACHS (GS) 3
PIPER JAFFRAY (PJC) 3
FBR CAPITAL MARKETS (FBCM) 3
LAZARD (LAZ) 3
JMP GROUP (JMP) 3
KBW INC (KBW) 3
BROADPOINT GLEACHER SEC (BPSG) 3

PE
GLG PARTNERS (GLG) 5 - Bankruptcy risk?
FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP (FIG) 4
OCH-ZIFF CAP MANAGEMENT (OZM) 3
CHIMERA INVESTMENT (CIM) 3
BLACKSTONE (BX) 3

MONEY MGMT
COHEN & STEERS (CNS) 4
GAMCO INVESTORS (GBL) 4
US GLOBAL INVESTORS (GROW) 3
FRANKLIN RESOURCES (BEN) 3
JEFFERIES GROUP (JEF) 3
MSCI (MXB) 3
AFFILIATED MANAGERS (AMG) 3
JANUS CAPITAL (JNS) 3
T. ROWE PRICE (TROW) 3

FINANCIAL SERVICES
FIRST CASH FINANCIAL (FCFS) 3
DOLLAR FINANCIAL (DLLR) 3
AMERICREDIT (ACF) 3
VALUELINE (VALU) 3
MOODY’S (MCO) 3

INSURANCE
ERIE INDEMNITY (ERIE) 4
KANSAS CITY LIFE INSURANCE (KCLI) 4
HARTFORD FINANCIAL (HIG) 3
HILLTOP HOLDINGS (HTH) 3
PRUDENTIAL (PUK/PRU) 3
CITIZENS (CIA) 3
FBL FINANCIAL (FFG) 3
AMERICAN INT’L GROUP (AIG) 2

INSURANCE BROKERAGE
FIDELITY NATIONAL (FNF) 4
ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER (AJG) 4

GUARANTY
MBIA (MBI) 3
AMBAC (ABK) 3
ASSURED GUARANTY (AGO) 2
PRIMUS GUARANTY (PRS) 2

REINSURANCE
EVEREST RE GROUP (RE) 2

COMM REAL ESTATE
*MAGUIRE PROPERTY GROUP (MPG) 4
NEWCASTLE INVESTMENT (NCT) 4
HF INC (HFF) 4
TEJON RANCH (TRC) 4
ASSOCIATED ESTATES (AEC) 4
VORNADO (VNO) 4
REDWOOD TRUST (RWT) 4
ST JOE CO (JOE) 3
BOSTON PROPERTIES (BXP) 3
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP (SPG) 3
TAUBMAN CENTERS (TCO) 3
ALEXANDERS (ALX) 3
FEDERAL REALTY (FRT) 3
EQUITY ONE (EQY) 3
TANGER OUTLETS (SKT) 3
SAUL CENTERS (BFS) 3
CONSOLIDATED TOMOKA (CTO) 3
CHINA HOUSING & LAND (CHLN) 3

RES REAL ESTATE
EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES (ELS) 4
SUN COMMUNITIES (SUI) 4

REALTY
*GRUBB ELLIS (GBE) 5
*MOVE.COM (MOVE) 5
CB RICHARD ELLIS (CBG) 4
ZIP REALTY (ZIPR) 4

CONSTRUCTION
*HOVNANIAN (HOV) 5
DR HORTON (DHI) 4
BEAZER HOMES (BZH) 3 - After DHI I don't care that much. I just threw all the homebuilders on here, why not?
STANDARD PACIFIC (SPF) 3
RYLAND (RYL) 3
PULTE HOMES (PHM) 2
TOLL BROTHERS (TOL) 2
LENNAR (LEN) 2
KB HOME (KBH) 2
MERITAGE HOMES (MTH) 2
NVR INC (NVR) 2
BROOKFIELD HOMES (BHS) 2
M/I HOMES (MHO) 2
MDC HOLDINGS (MDC) 2

NATURAL RESOURCES
CADIZ (CDZI) 5
URANIUM ENERGY (UEC) 3
MTN PROVINCE DIAMONDS (MDM) 3
DELTIC TIMBER (DEL) 3
JAMES RIVER COAL (JRCC) 3
ARTESIAN RESOURCES (ARTNA) 3

GOLD
NEVSUN RESOURCES (NSU) 4
ALLIED NEVADA GOLD (ANV) 4
IVANHOE MINING (IVN) 4
AGNICO EAGLE MINING (AEM) 3
GOLDCORP (GG) 3 - I don't really hate gold, just most gold miners.
KEEGAN RESOURCES (KGN) 3
EXETER RESOURCE (XRA) 3
SEABRIDGE GOLD (SA) 3
RANDGOLD (GOLD) 3
INT’L TOWER HILL MINES (THM) 3
IAMGOLD CORP (IAG) 2

ENERGY
ISRAMCO (ISRL) 5
TOREADOR RESOURCES (TRGL) 4
CARRIZO OIL & GAS (CRZO) 3
INTEROIL CORP (IOC) 3
CHENIERE ENERGY (LNG) 3
BOISE (BZ) 3
SYNTROLEUM (SYNM) 3
US ENERGY (USEG) 3
There should be more energy companies on this list.

MANUFACTURING
*AMERICAN AXLE (AXL) 5 - High bankruptcy risk (again).
*ARVIN-MERITOR (ARM) 5 - High bankruptcy risk (again).
TENNECO (TEN) 4
VALHI (VHI) 4 - This valuation is impossible to understand.
ACCO BRANDS (ABD) 3 - Could be a turnaround story.
GOODYEAR TIRE (GT) 3 - Will they see a bump from new Chinese tariffs?
FORD (F) 3
FEDERAL MOGUL (FDML) 3
TRW INC (TRW) 3
DEER CONSUMER PRODUCTS (DEER) 3
OMNOVA (OMN) 3
COOPER TIRE AND RUBBER (CTB) 3

SHIPPING
YRC WORLDWIDE (YRCW) 4
COMMERCIAL VEHICLE GROUP (CVGI) 4
DRYSHIPS (DRYS) 3

BUSINESS SERVICES
PHH CORP (PHH) 4 - Like Enron, they seem to spend most of their energy moving figures around on the financial statements.
STANDARD REGISTER (SR) 4
FRANKLIN COVEY (FC) 4
CARDTRONICS (CATM) 4
SAVVIS (SVVS) 3
UNISYS (UIS) 3
VERIFONE (PAY) 3

TELECOM
VONAGE (VG) 4
ORBCOMM (ORBC) 4
RCN CORP (RCNI) 3
GLOBAL CROSSING (GLBC) 3
IPCS INC (IPCS) 3
AMERICAN TOWER (AMT) 3
SBA COMMUNICATIONS (SBAC) 3
CONSOLIDATED COMMUNICATIONS (CNSL) 3
MEDIACOM COMMUNICATIONS (MCCC) 3
BRITISH TELECOM (BT) 2
VODAFONE (VOD) 2

TECHNOLOGY
*PALM (PALM) 5 - The Pre's first quarter in existence was really embarassing
*MOTOROLA (MOT) 5 - This is a long way from Phil Fisher's company.
*PROGRESS SOFTWARE (PRGS) 4
BROADCOM (BRCM) 4
ACCELRYS (ACCL) 4
RIGHTNOW TECHNOLOGIES (RNOW) 4
ADVENT SOFTWARE (ADVS) 4
X-RITE (XRIT) 4 - S&P said they are high bankruptcy risk.
SYMANTEC (SYMC) 4 - They really need strong sales from Windows 7.  Will hold off until I have a little more visibility.
SALESFORCE.COM (CRM) 4
RAMBUS (RMBS) 3 - Yuck. They are on this list on principle.
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES (AMD) 3 - Conversely I used to love AMD but now they look very ill.
SEAGATE (STX) 3
TNS INC (TNS) 3
ARM HOLDINGS (ARMH) 3
NETAPP (NTAP) 3
CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS (CDNS) 3
ARIBA (ARBA) 3
MAXWELL TECHNOLOGIES (MXWL) 3
SONIC SOLUTIONS (SNIC)  3
NIDEC (NJ) 3
SABA SOFTWARE (SABA) 3
MANHATTAN ASSOC (MANH) 3
ELOYALTY (ELOY) 3
VERISIGN (VRSN) 3
ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES (ZBRA) 3
TESSERA TECHNOLOGIES (TSRA) 3
SPREADTRUM (SPRD) 3
MAGMA DESIGN AUTOMATION (LAVA) 3
MICROVISION (MVIS) 3
PARKERVISION (PRKR) 3
SUCCESSFACTORS (SFSF) 3
SHUTTERFLY (SFLY) 3
RIVERBED (RVBD) 3
EASTMAN KODAK (EK) 3
UQM TECH (UQM) 3
RASER TECHNOLOGIES (RZ) 3
VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC) 3
AIXTRON (AIXG) 2
Actually there are more tech companies that should be on here.  Tech valuations are terrible again.

MEDIA
*LODGENET (LNET) 4 - Shorting is a little dangerous so just bought a put.
GRAY TELEVISION (GTN) 4 - I'll wait til DLZ and his friends have had their fun.
LIBERTY MEDIA CAPITAL (LCAPA) 4
RADIO ONE (ROIA/ROIAK) 4
VIRGIN MEDIA (VMED) 4
LIN TV (TVL) 4
MEDIA GENERAL (MEG) 4
VALASSIS COMMUNICATIONS (VCI) 4
CARMIKE CINEMAS (CKEC) 4
SINCLAIR BROADCAST GROUP (SBGI) 4
CUMULUS MEDIA (CMLS) 4
LEE ENTERPRISES (LEE) 4 - Media has been hot.  Especially LEE.
BELO CORP (BLC) 4
PLAYBOY (PLA) 4
MCCLATCHY (MNI) 3
ENTERCOM COMMUNICATIONS (ETM) 3
SIRIUS XM (SIRI) 3
IMAX CORP (IMAX) 3
NEW YORK TIMES (NYT) 3
BRITISH SKY (BSY) 3
GANNET (GCI) 3
WARNER MUSIC GROUP (WMG) 3
LAMAR ADVERTISING (LAMR) 3
CABLEVISION (CVC) 3
HURRAY! HOLDING (HRAY)3

CONSUMER
*TALBOTS (TLB) 5
*SELECT COMFORT (SCSS) 5 - TMF used to love this. I really hate it. (See also: Moody's)
*BON-TON STORES (BONT) 5
JONES APPAREL (JNY) 4
OPENTABLE (OPEN) 4
PIER 1 IMPORTS (PIR) 4
RITE AID (RAD) 3 - This could be a genuine turnaround. We will see.
DIEDRICH COFFEE (DDRX) 3
STARBUCKS (SBUX) 3
OVERSTOCK.COM (OSTK) 3
SONIC AUTOMOTIVE (SAH) 3 - Significant bankruptcy risk.
KRISPY KREME DONUTS (KKD) 3
J CREW GROUP (JCG) 3
ZALES CORP (ZLC) 3
MACY’S (M) 3
99 CENT STORE (NDN) 3
LULULEMON ATHLETICA (LULU) 3
WINMARK (WINA) 3
LIZ CLAIBORNE (LIZ) 3
ANN TAYLOR (ANN) 3
NORDSTROM (JWN) 3

EDUCATION
RENAISSANCE LEARNING (RLRN) 4
PLATO LEARNING (TUTR) 4
GRAND CANYON ED (LOPE) 3
CHINA DISTANCE EDUCATION (DL) 3
NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION (EDU) 2

TRAVEL
*AVIS (CAR) 5
DOLLAR THRIFTY GENERAL (DTG) 5 - I actually dislike CAR even more than DTG. At least DTG has positive book value and occasional profits.
TRAVELZOO (TZOO) 4
HERTZ (HTZ) 4
AMERICAN AIRLINES (AMR) 4 - Significant bankruptcy risk.
UNITED AIRLINES (UAUA) 4
US AIRWAYS (LCC) 4
CONTINENTAL AIRLINES (CAL) 4
DELTA AIRLINES (DAL) 4
CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES (CEA) 4
ORBITZ WORLDWIDE (OWW) 3
EXPEDIA (EXPE) 3

HOTELS
MARRIOT (MAR) 4
CHOICE HOTELS (CHH) 3
HOME INNS & HOTEL MGMT (HMIN) 2 - A red thumb courtesy of TMF Global Gains.

ENTERTAINMENT
*LAS VEGAS SANDS (LVS) 5 - The risk is that a Macau IPO goes well and they will be able to retire a good chunk of debt.
EMPIRE RESORTS (NYNY) 4 - Seems unlikely anyone would be dumb enough to lend to them to build a new casino now, right?
GAYLORD ENT (GET) 4
WYNN RESORTS (WYNN) 3
MGM MIRAGE (MGM) 3
CARNIVAL (CUK) 3
CEDAR FAIR (FUN) 3
GREAT WOLF RESORTS (WOLF) 3
BOYD GAMING (BYD) 3
LIFETIME FITNESS (LTM) 3

HEALTHCARE PROVIDER
EMERITUS CORP (ESC) 4
SUNRISE SENIOR LIVING (SRZ) 3

MEDICAL DATA
HLTH INC (HLTH) 4
WEBMD (WBMD) 4
CLINICAL DATA (CLDA) 3
SXC HEALTH SOLUTIONS (SXCI) 3
MEDICAL DATA (MDSO) 3

NUTRITION/BEAUTY
USANA HEALTH SCIENCES (USNA) 3
WARNER CHILCOTT (WCRX) 3

MEDICAL EQUIPMENT
DEXCOM (DXCM) 4
DELCATH (DCTH) 4

PHARMACEUTICALS
HUMAN GENOME SCIENCES (HGSI) 4
ONCOGENEX (OGXI) 4
TARGACEPT (TRGT) 4
SIGA TECHNOLOGIES (SIGA) 4
OPKO HEALTH (OPK) 4
MEDIVATION (MDVN) 4
MICROMET (MITI) 4
HEMISPHERX BIOPHARMA (HEB) 4
DENDREON (DNDN) 4
PHARMASSET (VRUS) 4
TALECRIS BIOTHERAPEUTICS (TLCR) 4 - A ridiculously expensive IPO of Bayer throw-aways.  Short whenever you can locate shares.
NYMOX PHARMACEUTICAL (NYMX) 4
IDENIX PHARMACEUTICALS (IDIX) 3
LIGAND PHARMACEUTICALS (LGND) 3
SAVIENT PHARMACEUTICALS (SVNT) 3
ARDEA BIOSCIENCES (RDEA) 3
MAP PHARMACEUTICAL (MAPP) 3
SALIX PHARMACUTICALS (SLXP) 3
VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS (VNDA) 3
KERYX PHARMACEUTICALS (KERX) 3
NEUROGESX (NGSX) 3
ACURA PHARMA (ACUR) 3
ENDOLOGIX (ELGX) 3
ONCOTHYREON (ONTY) 3
VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS (VRX) 3
CEL-SCI (CVM) 3
MERGE HEALTHCARE (MRGE) 4
BIOCRYST PHARMACEUTICALS (BCRX) 4
PROTALIX BIOTHERAPEUTICS (PLX) 4
INCYTE (INCY) 3
NXSTAGE MEDICAL (NXTM) 3
DISCOVERY LABS (DSCO) 3
TRANSITION THERAPEUTICS (TTHI) 3
FACET BIOTECH (FACT) 2
HELICOS BIOSCIENCES (HLCS) 2

OTCS
PETROALGAE (PALG.OB) 5
MODAVOX (MDVX.OB) 4
MAXLIFE FUND (MXFD.OB) 4
SO ACT NETWORK (SOAN.OB) 4
HELIX WIND (HLXW.OB) 4
SEARCHLIGHT MINERALS (SRCH.OB) 4
BIOCORAL (BCRA.OB) 4
AMERIGO ENERGY (AGOE.OB) 4
SCIENTIFIC ENERGY (SCGY.OB) 4
TOMI ENVIRONMENTAL (TOMZ.OB) 4
OMNI BIO PHARMA (OMBP.OB) 4
STRATUS MEDIA (SMDI.OB) 4
BAY COMMERCIAL BANK (BCML.OB) 3
ENERGY COMPOSITES (ENCC.OB)
AMERICAN DG ENERGY (ADGE.OB)
ONCOLYTICS BIOTECH (ONCY.OB)
WINLAND ONLINE SHIPPING (WLOL.OB)
GOLD RESOURCES (GORO.OB) 4
BEARD COMPANY (BRCO.OB) 4
PACIFIC ASIA PETROLEUM (PFAP.OB) 4
PUBLIX SUPER MARKETS (PUSH.OB) 4 - Obviously Publix is a worthwhile company. But the current market cap is $80B and shares have not traded in a couple months. Something strange is going on.
APOLLO SOLAR ENERGY (ASOE.OB) 4
SYNERGY PHARMA (SGYP.OB) 4
BIOTIME (BTIM.OB) 4
BIOSPECIFICS (BSTC.OB) 4
BIOPHARM ASIA (BFAR.OB) 4
NF ENERGY SAVING (NFEC.OB) 4
INTERCLICK (ICLK.OB) 4
FOLSOM LAKE BANK (FOLB.OB) 4
HUGHES TELEMATICS (HUTC.OB) 4
AMIWORLD (AMWO.OB) 4
LIME ENERGY (LIME.OB) 4
CHINA INFRASTRUCTURE CONSTRUCTION (CHNC.OB) 3
CHINA VALVES TECH (CVVZ.OB) 3
SPECTRUM BRANDS (SPEB.OB) 3
FUND.COM (FNDM.OB) 3
MANAGEMENT ENERGY (MMEX.OB) 3
TECHMEDIA ADVERTISING (TECM.OB) 3
AFFINITY GOLD (AFYG.OB) 3
MINIATURE GOLD (MGOL.OB) 3
STRATUS MEDIA (SMDI.OB) 3

HOLDING CO
VIRNETX (VHC) 4
CHINA HOLDINGS (HOL) 3

RECENT IPOS
TRANSATLANTIC PETROLEUM (TAPFF) 3
A123 SYSTEMS (AONE) 3
VERISK ANALYTICS (VRSK) 3
SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS (SEM) 3
RAILAMERICA (RA) 3
PAMPA ENERGIA (PAM) 3
PLATINUM GROUP (PLG) 3
ARTIO GLOBAL INVESTORS (ART) 3
UNITED REFINING ENERGY (URX) 3
PHARMATHENE (PIP) 3

ETFS
3X SMALL CAP (TNA) 4 - This is only for use once a correction starts rolling.
3X TECH (TYH) 4
3X FINANCIAL (FAS) 3
3X DEVELOPED MARKETS (DZK) 3
3X REAL ESTATE (DRN) 3