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makingithappen (27.91)

The Sea of Indecision and Buying Personal Convictions

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June 24, 2008 – Comments (4) | RELATED TICKERS: SMS , CPRT

I'm a new fool, and I really appreciate this online community, especially those who have been foolish enough to reply when I post comments on their blogs. Thanks!

The most important thing I've learned in the last couple of months here on CAPS is that I've got to go with my personal investing convictions. I've been floating in a sea of investment indecision, but I now know I can't buy or sell a stock just because of somebody else thinks or says something about it. If I don't understand the business and the forces behind it that are moving or will move it, I just can't buy it. I have to do my own due diligence and be thoroughly persuaded in my own mind that this is a stock I want to put money into. Then, no matter which way it goes, I have nobody to blame -- or pat on the back -- but myself.

So that brings me to the scrap business...even a new fool like myself can thoroughly understand something that simple. I picked SMS to outperform on June 5, and today, June 24, I finally bought the stock on a dip at $38.15, and even wrote a pitch for it. I've been watching SMS since the end of May, and was discouraged from buying it by a famous television personality on CNBC a couple of weeks ago when it was $2/share lower. Anyway, I still enjoy and learn a lot from said stock personality, Jim Cramer, though I have learned that his stock picks are all over the place -- his recommendation of CPRT has been a good one for me -- but a fool could lose a lot of money if said fool doesn't do her own research and go with her own foolish convictions.

That's my story and I'm sticking to it. ;-)

4 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On June 24, 2008 at 1:47 PM, ahabswife (< 20) wrote:

I have a hard time buying against my conscience even when the money is good.  I have no problem when the stocks I like are companies I approve of or think well of.

Stick to your convictions, I'm inspired.

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#2) On June 24, 2008 at 2:03 PM, Gemini846 (91.33) wrote:

What she said.

What I've learned is don't ever buy when your convictions say the stock is going up (or down) but the numbers disagree.

I fell into this trap after making 3-4 picks on CAPS here that I "just knew" were going to go up, and they did. The next time it happened I bought the stock in RL and lost $1000.

Gut + Numbers = Good
Gut - Numbers = Bad
Numbers - Gut = Bad

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#3) On June 25, 2008 at 6:36 PM, LordZ wrote:

Are you talking about caps or the real world investing ??

If your looking for a metal stock...

I would look into investing in BHP

I use the word investing... bought it at sixty, bought it at seventy, even bought some at 83.

easily a 100 dollar stock.

 

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#4) On June 27, 2008 at 9:23 AM, iwatt (< 20) wrote:

I think SMS is a great call....I hadn't even noticed it as it's only recently been listed.  Good fundamentals in a good industry and it's seeing REALLY strong accumulation.

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