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abitare (99.44)

A Good List of Bear ETFs and the No Tallent Accuracy Strategy

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5

May 26, 2008 – Comments (6) | RELATED TICKERS: SKF , SRS , RWM

Here is a great list and article about the Bearish ETF

The Great Bear Funds:

http://www.bearmarketcentral.com/mutualfunds.htm

What are "bear funds?" They're funds that sell short, buy put options, use leverage, or employ other strategies to increase in value as stocks decrease in value. Out of a universe of 12,500+ mutual funds and about 2,000 ETFs offered for sale in the US, there ain't many of 'em! Please read the investment policy and other details of each fund below.  – Grizzly”

Here is a good write up on Bear ETFs from Market Watch By BILL DONOGHUE:

Up the down staircase Commentary: Taking a close look at inverse and leveraged ETFs and funds

The No Talent Accuracy Strategy

The No Talent Accuracy Strategy is to underperform all the Bear Funds if you are a Bull or Outperform them if you are a Bear. CAUTION: The No Talent Accuracy Strategy sent many Allstars into the Trash Heep of CAPS History when the market sold off last year (ref Bridgeboy and StCroix). The strategy is shallow, talent less and it is transparent to most Top Fools, but is widely used. NOTE: I did create abitarePerfect to have all Bear ETFs as Outperforms as a reference and to compete with Bridgeboy, who employs the Bull method of the No Talent Accuracy Strategy. 

Disclaimer: I am bearish on almost everything. I own two Ultra short ETFs: SKF and SRS. I am considering RWM.

GL HF

6 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On May 27, 2008 at 1:09 AM, eskatonic (29.83) wrote:

ya I had a bunch of bear etfs and then took a few months off.... -4000 points later I decided to come back and play again.

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#2) On May 27, 2008 at 4:54 AM, AnomaLee (29.21) wrote:

I share your sentiment with the economy, but I'm not as bearish on stocks as you. There's still plenty that offer the chance of return, and I think stocks will be more shielded than you think. 

Zimbabwe... nuff' said 

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#3) On May 27, 2008 at 5:21 AM, abitare (99.44) wrote:

eskatonic,

Abitareperfect dipped down -1000, now he is -300 and climbing. 

AnomaLee,

I am in the deflation camp. I do not think the US will fall much further into hyperinflation. Stagflation - I can believe also.

Of interest: Deflation American Style 

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#4) On May 27, 2008 at 3:57 PM, Tastylunch (29.93) wrote:

Abitareperfect dipped down -1000, now he is -300 and climbing.

I like your use of the third person in reference to yourself. :-) I think abitareperfect is going to continue to rally hard  in june and july based off what I see in his (yours?) portfolio, especially if those solar stocks tank.

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#5) On May 27, 2008 at 5:22 PM, bridgeboy0 (99.81) wrote:

Wow, No Talent Accuracy Strategy...  Nice!  Of course, since I have about -700 points from red thumbs on solar stocks, -600 on green thumbs on precious metals and who knows how negative I am because of the sell off last year that crushed my red thumbs on the short and ultra-short ETFs, it's really amazing that I have a positive score considering my lack of talent.

Of course, riding the coattails of the top CAPS players on their picks (without giving credit when due) is a really spectacular strategy.  I must wonder how you got 4500 points while being the score leader in only 1 stock.  Actually, I'm kidding, I don't wonder at all. 

I suppose that investing in well-run companies and holding for the long-haul is also a No Talent Accuracy Strategy.  Oh well, I'll have to throw my lot in with those that use a sound strategy over those that use other people's work and pass it off as their own.

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#6) On May 27, 2008 at 7:44 PM, abitare (99.44) wrote:

Tastylunch, 

Good to hear from you. I manage more actively abitarecatania to chase points. Abitareperfect is just loaded with Garbage and Outperforming the Shorts waiting for a sell off. I use Perfect is for refence if I have spots open for Catania and to give Bridgeboy a nemisis, he can compete with.  Abitareperfect will be a Top Ranking Allstar if/when there is a sell off.   

bridgeboy0, 

Good to hear from you. I am affraid you miss understand my point. I am not trying to mock you here. I am mocking those that use the strategy and pretend they are something they are not. You admit what you are doing. Many CAPS Allstars are useless shadows.

I never said YOU had no tallent. I am talking about the strategy, that so many follow of piling on ALL the ETFs and pretending they are talented.  

"Of course, riding the coattails of the top CAPS players on their picks (without giving credit when due) is a really spectacular strategy.  I must wonder how you got 4500 points while being the score leader in only 1 stock.  Actually, I'm kidding, I don't wonder at all. " 

As for me, I started CAPS in 7/07 I broke 5000 points in seven months. There 50k players in CAPS NO ONE has ever done that. I cannot ride anyONES coattails there is NO ONE moving at that pace there was NO ONE ahead, except SPECBEAR and recently  Hibachi0, but we have very different portfolios.  EPSMomentum is going the opposite direction as me.

I follow Dwot, DD, FB, GT, Allstar, Stats, but I have very different portfolio. I do not think anyone has my portfolio.

I underperform what I hate, when I hate it, when I find it and when I have room for it.   I close a pick, if I stop hating it, or I hate something more.  Anyone else do this?

Almost all my ideas are stolen, but I trust NO ONE and usually check everything. I steal from CNBC, Barrons, three news letters I receive, Agora Financial, dollarcollapse.com, Bespoke, CAPS players, Yahoo Message Boards, Bloomberg, WSJ, bigpicture, Jim Rogers, Marc Faber, Schiff, Financial Times, Mish Shedlock and Gary North. Plus I read about a book a week. I steal from the books too.

If I remember where an Idea came from I source it.  I gave Mish Shedlock credit for MER, Franie Mae. I gave Munger credit for PEIX. etc.......  

Example: CAXG.OB - stole form Bent. Here is  my pitch:

"I followed TMFBent here.
I know nothing about narcotics.
No, seriously, I know nothing about manufacturing and marketing narcotics.

I CAME HERE BECAUSE OF TMFBENT!
NO, THIS IS NOT MY STOCK! IT BELONGS TO TMFBENT! IT'S HIS PICK! ASK TMFBENT, HE KNOW IT'S HIS! I JUST CAME HERE WITH HIM, I KNOW NOTHING ABOUT MANUFACTURING AND MARKETING NARCOTICS!

SERIOUSLY, DON'T TASER ME, BRO! ARGHHHHHHHHHHH" 

I have writen 100+ blog posts and 100s of pitchs. I am not soursing my ideas?  Common.....

I have been score leader at about a dozen stocks including Etrade (ETFC), Radian (RAD), PPR?, Fannie May or Freddie and about 10 garbage stocks. With 50K players it is getting tougher to get in early. I have never, cared about scoreleader. I like Top Bear Pitchs better. Scoreleader is more LUCK, being early and timing.

How was this call on your blog?

"On February 22, 2008 at 7:54 PM, abitarecatania wrote:

BB,

You are going to languish around the 500s. The only picks that may keep you moving up is underperforming known garbage. "

How can you of all people doubt? Do you want me to walk across water? 

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