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alstry (36.08)

A Very Very Optimistic Alstry

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January 01, 2009 – Comments (3)

Frugality will be the foundation to recovery!!!!!!!!!

In Alstrynomics, forced frugality leads to deflationary pricing.

The process may be painful for many.............but don't worry, CAPs will be here to guide you through it.   And on the other side, a party like we have never seen before built on a foundation to take us many years into the future.

2009 will likely turn out to be one of the most interesting years in many many decades.

The horses are at the starting gate......................................

3 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On January 01, 2009 at 3:05 PM, kali77 (99.57) wrote:

Cheers to that Alstry! Best of wishes for 09' to you and all fellow Fools.

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#2) On January 01, 2009 at 6:49 PM, jgseattle (30.47) wrote:

Alstry - Good luck in 2009!!!!!

I think you are correct that forced frugality will happen, will it lead to deflation?  I think that is a strong possiblity.  (you have commented on my confusion so will not go into that again)

It will be interesting to see how credit is issued to consumers in 2009.  Will credit/credit card limits be reduced so much that a cash economy is created?  Will credit be limited so much is forces savings?  I hope!

We are going to see quickly how overinvested the U.S is in consumption as retail starts closing stores.  (So much for entry level jobs while in high school and college)

I hope the US can start self financing.  Recently the US had a negative savings rate so most of the consumption was financed by the producing countries.  (Trade partners)  With a GDP of about $14T if the us starts to save 5-10% we could self finance and maybe keep the train rolling.  I wonder what the removal of this much money from current consuption would do to GDP, but i think it would be very healthy long term.

Anyway, I am not holding my breath to see savings go that high but lets hope for a few percent.

 

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#3) On January 02, 2009 at 12:07 PM, MaskedMan2007 (99.38) wrote:

I like your : The horses are at the starting gate.

As a technical analyst, I see that almost everything is almost ready to pop. I see a lot of interesting stocks and I am just waiting for the right signal to start getting in the hottest stocks available on the market.

For me, it appears that the time to start buying is coming in the next few days.

Big and small caps are showing good technical patterns.

I see a lot of possible interesting opportunities coming.

Be careful, but be ready to jump in the market.

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