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AllStarPortfolio (41.26)

All Star Portfolio - Investment Club - First week

Recs

14

May 21, 2009 – Comments (12) | RELATED TICKERS: HOGS , FAX , APWR.PK

goldminingXpert 100.00 BravoBevo 99.99UltraLong 99.99 bullishbabo 99.98 portefeuille 99.98 JakilaTheHun 99.94 kaskoosek 99.86 RonChapmanJr 99.85 EggplantWizard 99.85 FreundInvesting 99.79 SuperPicks 99.76 gman444 99.72 GoodVibe4Ever 99.69 Bays 99.48 russiangambit 99.30 edwjm 99.24 rd80 99.14 JGus 98.32 binve 96.72 ChrisGraley 96.44

 

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TMF Jake joins the AllStarPortfolio Community !May 19, 2009  TMFJake wrote:

I LOVE this project.  Thanks Solaris for starting it up.

See you on the Google Group!

**

 One green thumb per person. Minimum Time Frame 6 months. Players are free to change the pick as often as caps permits. No Ultras (FAZ was picked before the discussion was finished, and will be closed soonish). No Bear ETFS.

 To qualify for a pick you must:

 Have a RATING of more than 99 on the day of pick

   -OR-

 Be a "yes"man with a RATING of 98 or higher on the day of pick

    -OR-

 Have at one time been a Top Fool

    -AND-

1. Have been a caps player for more than 6 months.
2. All picks MUST have a pitch, and a time frame.

    -OR-

Be in the Top Ten at the time of pitch

IF A PLAYER FALLS BELOW RATING 80, AND THE PICK IS IN THE RED, THE TOP FOOL OF THE GAME CAN DECICE TO CLOSE THE PICK. If the Top Player does not want the job, it will be given to the highest ranked player in the account.

To submit a pick Players should attach their pitch to a blog from this portfolio, or indicate in this blog that they have one on their own page. I will then copy that to the stockpicks list on the quickstats page, so that it will be visible on both the stock page and the quickstats page. I will of course place your name, and score at time of pick on the pitch.

You can name your stock here, for dibs (will hold for 7 days), but i will not post the stock until you have made your pitch also.

I am willing to share the password with a few someones, if they would like, to facilitate timing.

**************************

21+ fools have already made a pitch, effectively 'cost averaging' and buying in even though it's 'not the best time'. I am grateful to those who jumped in right away, because though they may lose a little in the beginning, the project might have stalled without some starters. Several other fools have mentioned interest, but are waiting and trying to time the market.

We are already racking up a few charms, like the Favorite charm, and the coveted Most Helpful Pitcher charm.

Also, we have received 73 Groupies, and 111 pitch recs in less than a week. Not bad?

-solaris

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There has already been some interest shown in making an 'Investment Vehicle' to work with this portfolio. We have opened a google group to discuss the possibility. To keep static to a minimum we have created it as a private group discussion. To be invited to the discussion, please send your screen name to allstarportfolio@gmail.com and ask for an invitation. Thanks.

One idea i like is to start a private corporation, and use a model like foliofn, wherein we would create the portfolio with equal wieghts, and folks would be able to invest any amount they want, receiving partial shares.

12 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On May 21, 2009 at 8:39 AM, portefeuille (99.73) wrote:

Could you somehow "highlight" the "new" parts?

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#2) On May 21, 2009 at 8:40 AM, AllStarPortfolio (41.26) wrote:

S/P futures at 895 http://www.commoditycharts.com/futquotes.asp?code=XVSN&section=full_list

After one week we have 21 players. And this in the middle of a sideways moving 'bear rally'. It looks like we will likely fill the 200 slots eventually, later this summer?

   Remember, these are long term picks, mostly, and it might take till Fall '10 before some of them reach their potential. I myself am quite satisfied with the picks, and am also noticing that the diversity is taking care of itself, as expected.

-solaris

Feel free to join this discussion, no matter if you plan on picking, or what your rating is. !

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#3) On May 21, 2009 at 8:41 AM, portefeuille (99.73) wrote:

I mean using "bold face" for the new stuff or something like that ...

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#4) On May 21, 2009 at 8:46 AM, AllStarPortfolio (41.26) wrote:

Funny thing Portefeuille:  i just thought about that this morning and i meant to do that, and forgot.

Your always so good to me. I bet you are a joy to be around. Your friends are very luck. Who are your favorite philosophers?
   Socrates, Nietzche, Voltair, and Rousseau. And Thoreau. For me. Just favorites, i don't neccesarily believe everything they say.

solaris

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#5) On May 21, 2009 at 8:56 AM, portefeuille (99.73) wrote:

Your always so good to me. I bet you are a joy to be around. Your friends are very luck. Who are your favorite philosophers? 

Are you crazy or sarcastic?

Yesterday or the day before that someone wrote me that I must be one of those that call the cops when they hear children playing and that I will die lonely or something like that. I could not find that comment.

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#6) On May 21, 2009 at 9:16 AM, AllStarPortfolio (41.26) wrote:

LOL. I might be crazy? How would i know? I certainly wasn't being sarcastic.
   It's just that there are certain traits that i enjoy, and make conversation easy for me. Possibly the fool that wrote that wouldn't enjoy my company either. LOL

No really, any favorite philosophers?

-solaris.

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#7) On May 21, 2009 at 9:32 AM, chk999 (99.99) wrote:

Ok, here's my pick

BRK-B   time frame 5 years

The basic thesis is two fold.

First, Berkshire is probably about as cheap on a price/intrinsic value basis as it has been in decades. You could have gotten it cheaper a bit ago, but this portfolio wasn't operating then. It is still an outstanding value at these prices.

The second reason is that Buffet has been able to deploy a bunch of cash recently at favorable terms. The Marmion purchase, the various prefereds with the equity kickers, helping fund the Mars deal, all these will be most profitable over the next few years. The put options he sold are really an insurance policy and I suspect will end up having been very good deals for Berkshire by the time they expire.

Finally, we are getting the greatest capital allocator running around basically for free. Capital allocation is one place where a lot of companies make mind boggling mistakes and destroy value instead of creating it. 

This is not a short term pick. In any short period of time the market can be deeply irrational and the price of any stock can do just about anything. But over the long run the insane cashflow coming out of Berkshire makes it a winner.

Chris - long BRK-B and other outstanding companies

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#8) On May 21, 2009 at 12:26 PM, EggplantWizard (99.79) wrote:

Solaris -- this is good in principle "IF A PLAYER FALLS BELOW RATING 80, AND THE PICK IS IN THE RED, THE TOP FOOL OF THE GAME CAN DECIDE TO CLOSE THE PICK."

 

but Evereyday investor isn't participating, so coudl you be clearer by who you mean by "top fool" in this context?

 

For the purpose of the all-star portfolio --person with the highest caps score -- highest score on their all-star portfolio pick?

 

I think it might be better to just take the accuracy hit and auto-close the pick -- this is more of a collective intelligence expiriment than an "optimize the CAPS score" / game CAPS expiriment, unless I'm mistaken about your intent.

 

It would be better to close it out immediately, at a loss or a gain,  and let someone else qualified waiting in the wings replace it ASAP.

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#9) On May 21, 2009 at 12:26 PM, JibJabs (96.29) wrote:

Nietzsche by a landslide for me- gotta overlook the misogyny though. Dostoevsky really speaks to me too- not technically a philosopher but, hey, what's the difference? He had ideas and he communicated them. 

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#10) On May 21, 2009 at 12:29 PM, EggplantWizard (99.79) wrote:

Nietzsche's mysogyny is more of a product of the prevailing mentality of his age and cultural surrounding, I think.

It was hardly the age of feminism.

I'm a fan of many of the Kaufman translations, myself.

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#11) On May 21, 2009 at 12:30 PM, dividendhound (< 20) wrote:

I think this is a very helpful and constructive idea.  Props for suggesting and organizing it!

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#12) On May 21, 2009 at 12:53 PM, AllStarPortfolio (41.26) wrote:

Amazon.com: EXISTENTIALISM FROM DOSTOEVSKY TO SARTRE.: Walter ...

Darn it, i just erased my post. Eggplant. Feel free to suggest more clear wording.

   What i mean to say is the Highest Rated Player of the account that is willing to take the responsibility. We could vote, but this would be simpler, and fair.
   It could also apply to other 'emergency' situations; where we know a stock is in trouble, but just can't seem to find the picker.
   I hesitate to 'auto-close' stock without 'professional' consultation. I wouldn't want to close the wrong stock at the wrong time, and then have the stock jump and the missing player show up right after i closed it

-solaris

Oh, and Kaufman is more or less my favorite, also.

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