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alstry (< 20)

Alstry's technofundemengeopoliticationpsyhchosocialeonometric indicators FLASHING!!!



February 17, 2009 – Comments (12)

On Friday, you were warned that the market indicators were potentially flashing crashing!!!!

Could the signal have come a day early??????????

Why settle for those who only apply technical analysis, or just fundemental analysis.....why not throw in psychology, sociology, political science, geopolitics, economics and wrap it up with Alstrynomics to get a distillation from a compilation of many diciplines.

Remember, a day early is not too late!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The market opens in about seven hours. 

All of the Alstrynomic indicators are flashing...

Dollar gettng stronger.

Earnings getting weaker.

States running out of money.

Riots breaking out around the world.

You know the rest...............

Could Friday the 13th been the foundation for Tuesday the 17th???????

We know about Black Monday......what about Terrible Tuesday??????

It won't be too long now.......

Although Alstrynomics has had a fantastic track record forecasting the current economic environment.....NO INVESTMENT DECISIONS should be made based on this blog as past performance in a general sense has little correlation in making short term cents.  Consult any and all of your financial advisor, psychology professor, proctologist, possibly hair dresser, priest or confessor before making any investment decisions.

Actually, the safest place to put your money right now is US Dollars that are born in the USA!!!!


12 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On February 17, 2009 at 3:17 AM, alstry (< 20) wrote:

Why the dollar????

This is what is backing my American currency........what is backing yours????

A Russian, who potentially would side with Iran in any conflict, might reply....

Any escalation could likely result in this.....

The Moral of the Story:

If the dollar goes.....not much else matters.

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#2) On February 17, 2009 at 3:34 AM, mdabat (< 20) wrote:

great stuff, always enjoying your blog posts!

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#3) On February 17, 2009 at 7:05 AM, InsuranceHunter (< 20) wrote:

Thanks Alstry.  Love your material!  Whatever the market is willing to give to me I will gladly accept.  If the DOW wants 5000 I am ready.  Be nimble and be quick because swing trading is the trick.  Any rally will only be a short covering.  We are going down.  Know your profit center on every trade and take what the market is giving you.  Throw your investor mentallity out the window.

Bring it!

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#4) On February 17, 2009 at 8:38 AM, dinodelaurentis (83.43) wrote:

aaahhhhh!! real politik at last.

if only the last 8 years had been spent increasing our military instead of straining it...

but one can dream. Thanks Alstry. i'll show the guys these videos! :-)

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#5) On February 17, 2009 at 12:57 PM, jesusfreakinco (28.23) wrote:

I think you are right on the market call.  A crash is coming.  Get out!  Too many things working against the market as you have listed.

Your call on the USD looks good for now...  Relative to EUR, it looks like it will strengthen.  Europe is a mess.  Mauldin commented that their banks could be looking at $30 trillion in losses.

Time to short any European bank that can be shorted.

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#6) On February 17, 2009 at 2:18 PM, Mary953 (85.11) wrote:

Most rec worthy! Enjoyed the clips.

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#7) On February 17, 2009 at 8:08 PM, SuperPicks (28.34) wrote:

Thank you.

I agree, we still have yet to see the substantial effects of this economic crunch. 

And yes I do agree that the USD will continue to outperform its European counterparts. 

But what do you think of the sectors that have continued to outperform despite this market environment Als?

Any opinion on Biotech, Gold, or Education?

I'm not certain, but i'd lean towards bearish on all three, but what if one or all of these become the next bubble? 

I just recently put up a blog post on this, please weigh in if you get a moment.  I'd appreciate it.

here's the link: 

Are we seeing Bubbles? Biotech, Gold, Education

What do y'all think?


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#8) On February 17, 2009 at 9:50 PM, SeeYaCalifornia (< 20) wrote:

What's with the Canadian dollar though? Why so strong?

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#9) On February 17, 2009 at 10:01 PM, ColoCdn (< 20) wrote:

SeeYa, this from DailyFX:

Canada’s first trade deficit in over 30 years helped pushed the domestic currency lower against its US namesake, while sharp drops in Crude Oil prices likewise added downward pressure on the commodity price-sensitive currency. Fundamental sentiment for the Canadian Dollar certainly took a hit through the week’s developments; Canada remains the most trade-dependent country in our G10 currency universe, and a sharp deterioration in external demand for Canadian production bodes poorly for domestic industry.

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#10) On February 17, 2009 at 10:09 PM, ColoCdn (< 20) wrote:

Looks like you were bang-on the money with this one, alstry... careful or you'll soon be converting all those anti-Alstrynomic lunatics. ;-)

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#11) On February 20, 2009 at 2:39 AM, gustaframel (56.17) wrote:

excellent ideas

1. Stay short equities and long corporate bonds/ credits. Few analysts expect companies to make more money this year. At the same time few expect them to go bust and hence they should be able to honour their debt.

2. Long USD, YEN, CHF and NOK. The flight to safety, repatriation and poor state of other countries finances

3. Short EM currencies that have yet to give up their peg to the USD.

4. Short the Euro. It is still emerging. Short GBP, Gordon Brown is bust.

5. Stay long GLD, it will move much above $1000 and today I saw for the first time a blog arguing for $5000. At the same time this is something I am worried about and prepared to change direction

6. Be ready to go long OIL. The LT demand/supply equation is tilted to a demand surplus. When we go long OIL, we want to buy the most sensitive stocks to change in the OIL price. Russia here we come! If you can buy LT options on the RTX Index far out of the money, you will be handsomely rewarded. 65% of the index is OIL related

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#12) On February 20, 2009 at 9:08 PM, Varchild2008 (84.36) wrote:

I said a few months ago, about 2 weeks after November 4th election day, that the DOW was certain to drop to 6,000.  Welp..looks quite like it will now. 

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