Use access key #2 to skip to page content.

alstry (35.42)

Alstrydomous........The Significance of 1.01.10

Recs

10

December 04, 2009 – Comments (6)

To the best of my guestimate......revenues across most industries in America have dropped at least 20% over the past few years.  The rest of the world is not too much  different.  In America a number of industries, such as health care and defense, have been artificially supported by an unsustainable deficit.....and as a result the dollar has plunged.

We are now at a crossroads......do we save the dollar or destroy America.  Saving the dollar has become a matter of national security or we could end up in chaos like North Korea if we let things go too far.

My guess is save the dollar through a ramp up of militarization of America and a reduction of debt across the board through a variety of avenues.

The world has become very unstable in the past few months.  Terrorist attack at Fort Hood.  People with Middle Eastern sounding names crashing the White House, the most secure residence in the world.  Iran becoming more defiant.......and headlines like this appearing in the WSJ daily:

Deadly Blast at Russian Nightclub

Attack Targets Pakistan's Military

Blast Kills Somali Ministers, Students

America will likely be forced to divert a significant amount of its resources to the military........causing many non military industries to slow and potentially fail.....my guess is many more than many Wall Street analysts are factoring right now because few have much of a background in international conflicts and the impact on the American Economy.

Washington seems to be concerned as well based on these comments in the Washington Post:

Al-Qaeda followers are inside the United States and would like to attack targets here and in other countries, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano said Wednesday night.

The secretary's comments were her bluntest assessment yet of terror threats within the country

Alstrynomics factors many data points across many fields to reach its fact based forecasts (FBFs).  The Big Miss in 2009 was how far Benny The B would let the dollar crash to bail out his Wall Street buddies at the expense of the rest of America.

In 2010.....we will likely see AT LEAST 20% of the non defense industry jobs lost due to declining revenues and a diversion of resources to defense.  Even though we will likely lose 20% of the jobs in America....the unemployment rate may never go up based on the mythical methodologies of the BLS in calculating unemployment.

The frequency of terrorist data hits has increased as of late.....same with the increase of percentage of labor force layoffs by corporations.  We have also seen a dramatic increase in the cuts to cities, counties and states and health care..

We should get a clearer picture of things as we approach 1.01.10......but if current trends gain traction......much higher layoffs and a stronger dollar seem to be two trends developing.

 

6 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On December 04, 2009 at 7:15 PM, alstry (35.42) wrote:

Update on Russion Nightclub from Bloomberg:

Russian Nightclub Blast Kills at Least 86; `Not Terrorism,' Official Says

5 Banks down so far...........

Buffet finding religion from ZeroHedge:

The man who has benefited more from governmental subsidies for financial companies (which also happen to comprise his core investments) than anyone else, Warren Buffett, has decided to cry foul and complain to the SEC over what is quickly becoming a war in the news wire world. Turns out, his Business Wire firm, which is one of the top two distributors of official news and information from public companies, has realized that subsidies are actually not all that cool, especially when one is not on the receiving end of wasteful capital spending. As a result Buffett has come to the brilliant conclusion: "Business Wire contends that subsidization would be anti-competitive." We wonder how long it will take before Mr. Buffet concludes the obvious - that government subsidization of his pet Wall Street firm Goldman Sachs has very much the same anti-competitive results? We are not holding our breath. Warren has once again proven that while the word hypocrite may be a tad strong in describing him, it does serve quite well.

Report this comment
#2) On December 04, 2009 at 7:29 PM, alstry (35.42) wrote:

THE DEATH OF THE MALL WILL BE A TREND FOLLOWING 1.01.10

All but three stores at the beleaguered Palm Beach Mall are set to close by Jan. 31.

JCPenney and George's Music, which have outside entrances, will stay open. A Firestone automotive center in front of the mall also will remain.

The closing affects a handful of small retailers inside the center along Palm Beach Lakes Boulevard in West Palm Beach.

Chuck Taylor, the mall's court-appointed receiver, said Friday that declining sales and foot traffic, along with safety concerns, led to the decision.

The 42-year-old mall, one of the oldest in the Southeast, has been struggling for several years. Owner Simon Property Group planned a major renovation, but the recession killed that plan. The center now is in foreclosure.

Sears announced recently that it will leave in January. Taylor said a new owner will decide what becomes of the property.

Report this comment
#3) On December 04, 2009 at 8:46 PM, alstry (35.42) wrote:

6 BANKS DOWN SO FAR

POTENTIAL FLASH POINT!!!!!!!!!!

Lebanon acknowledges Hezbollah's right to use arms against Israel.

New Lebanese cabinet agrees on policy recognizing Shiite group's right to use weapons against 'any future aggression by Israel'

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3811383,00.html

Members of US House of Representatives send letter to Secretary of State warning Islamic Republic may try to distract world from its nuclear program by instructing Hezbollah to launch conflict with Israel .

WASHINGTON - Iran may try to distract the international community from its nuclear program by heating things up at Israel's northern border via Hezbollah – dozens of members of the US House of Representatives wrote in a letter addressed to US Secretary of State Hilary Clinton on Friday.

The letter was sent ahead of Lebanese President Michel Suleiman's upcoming visit to the White House, scheduled for December 14, and following the coalition agreement in the Lebanese government allowing Hezbollah to hold on to its arms.

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3815245,00.html

When the world is Dubai....you never know what someone might try......

Report this comment
#4) On December 05, 2009 at 11:46 AM, jddubya (< 20) wrote:

"Terrorist attack at Fort Hood.  People with Middle Eastern sounding names crashing the White House,..."

LOL - delusional Alstry, soooo delusional.

Report this comment
#5) On December 05, 2009 at 12:32 PM, AvianFlu (34.94) wrote:

Dub:

Gate crashers: non-dangerous event, but points up the incompetence of white house security.

However, Fort Hood guy was clearly a terrorist inspired by radical Islamic idealogies. Are you suggesting that we should not be concerned about terrorists killing us on our own property?

Report this comment
#6) On December 05, 2009 at 3:57 PM, jddubya (< 20) wrote:

#5

LOL - not suggesting anything other than it's delusional for big Al to lump the crashers with terrorists based on their names.

 

Report this comment

Featured Broker Partners


Advertisement