Use access key #2 to skip to page content.

IBDvalueinvestin (99.68)

As soon as Romney started gaining in Polls, market advance stalled.

Recs

11

October 15, 2012 – Comments (22) | RELATED TICKERS: DTO , OIL , GLD

Is this coincedence or not?

Historical numbers show that the markets actually do much better with a democrat president rather than a republican. What are the reasons for this? Any comments greatly appreciated.

 

 

22 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On October 15, 2012 at 5:11 PM, JaysRage (88.79) wrote:

Obama supports Bernake.....Bernake supports monetary expansion.   Romney would like to replace Bernake, possibly with a less aggressive monetary policy....which could slow down the inflationary pressure that is holding up the market's current bull run.   Just my take.  

Report this comment
#2) On October 15, 2012 at 5:22 PM, edwjm (99.87) wrote:

Most voters pay little attention to the stock market and most people who actively trade the market are  more concerned with other things.  Some are watching charts, others are watching earnings and other corporate developments.  Few people trade the market on the basis of the latest political polls unless changes are much more dramatic that what we have seen so far.  Most of the time it is better to keep your political ideology separate from your investment planning.  The sky is not going to fall no matter who wins in November.

Report this comment
#3) On October 15, 2012 at 5:28 PM, Zankudo (< 20) wrote:

It`s ¨Democratic" president, and there are no more "Democrats", only insane Republicans and moderate Republicans formerly known as you guessed it Democrats. All parties all two of them are wedded, bedded, enthralled, betrothed, bequeathed, captive and entranced by Wall Street, big banks, and anything that gives them money. Retail investors never win, only the boys and girls on....the Street.

Report this comment
#4) On October 15, 2012 at 5:29 PM, Zankudo (< 20) wrote:

by the way, your spelling aint cutting it...coincidence.

Report this comment
#5) On October 15, 2012 at 5:50 PM, TheDumbMoney (46.50) wrote:

Here is an article about this from 10/11.

http://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-vs-obama-intrade-october-11-2012-10

Basically you can see the market's gains start to ebb and then decline at exactly the moment Obama tanked the first debate and his Intrade odds started tanking.

The vast majority of economists, both conservative and liberal, agree that immediate governmental usterity will not produce a shot of confidence, any more than it has in England, and even conservative monetarists like Milton Friedman have advocated for actions such as Bernanke has taken at the Fed.  Mit is promising the opposite of Bernanke, and immediate austerity.  He is probably lying about all of that, but even so the market does not like it.

Report this comment
#6) On October 15, 2012 at 6:23 PM, 5thand7th (< 20) wrote:

He is running as a democrat not a democratic.  She is running as a republican.  Your spelling is perfect.

Report this comment
#7) On October 15, 2012 at 9:04 PM, Melaschasm (58.81) wrote:

It is probably a coincidence.  

However, there is a saying that republicans tend to represent the upper middle class, barely rich, and small businesses, while democrats tend to favor the super rich and big corporations.  

Since the 'stock market' aka Dow and S&P are made up of really big companies, the democrats being more favorable for big business makes some sense.

Report this comment
#8) On October 15, 2012 at 10:56 PM, IBDvalueinvestin (99.68) wrote:

Zankudo I always have trouble with that word. Thanks for the correction.

Report this comment
#9) On October 16, 2012 at 3:19 AM, awallejr (83.80) wrote:

Well since the market has more than doubled under Obama, for whatever reason, personally I will stick with the winning hand.  With Romney I submit we will see that double dip recession.

Report this comment
#10) On October 16, 2012 at 10:21 AM, L0RDZ (84.54) wrote:

#9) On October 16, 2012 at 3:19 AM, awallejr (86.70) wrote:

Well since the market has more than doubled under Obama, for whatever reason, personally I will stick with the winning hand. 

 Giving  Mister  NObama  credit  for the supposed double in stock  is like  giving him credit  for  supposedly putting a bullet  in the skull of  Osama...   Your Hero  Joe  didn't have the grape fruits to give his approval.  But in the end it was not Obama,  but a  US special forces soldier who really should be credited.

Winning hand ??  no not really,  look at the extraordinary measures forcing money into stocks ?  negative real returns in the manipulated interest rates,  its just another house of cards  that will crumble under its own weight.

Banks are doing fine.

Big Government is doing fine.

Ordinary people are struggling.

Look at how they allowed the US citizens in  Libya  to die.

Just more ridiculous inflating of broken bubbles.

 

Report this comment
#11) On October 16, 2012 at 10:53 AM, edwjm (99.87) wrote:

@LORDZ:

You are so politically biased that you can not see straight.  Perhaps that explains why your CAPS score is so low.  Like I said earlier, "Most of the time it is better to keep your political ideology separate from your investment planning. The sky is not going to fall no matter who wins in November."

Report this comment
#12) On October 16, 2012 at 11:18 AM, L0RDZ (84.54) wrote:

ed

read my comment on this post

http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/are-we-industrialists/767051

The sky is always falling, it falls on many people each and every day.  One day you are here  and the next day you are only in other peoples memories.

 

 

Report this comment
#13) On October 16, 2012 at 11:28 AM, mdk0611 (47.56) wrote:

Is it a coincidence that the market has gone up the last 2 days after the weekend polls showed significant Romney gains?

Yes, as is the answer to your original question. 

Report this comment
#14) On October 16, 2012 at 11:56 AM, L0RDZ (84.54) wrote:

A broken clock is correct twice a day as well.

In most places in the world the sun goes down and wow it reappears  many hours later ?  coincidence or just prudence.

Live by the sword and you'll likely die by the sword.

Just coincidence  repeat !!!   coincidence.

Just like it will be coincidence if Romney cleans Obama's clock once again...

 

 

Report this comment
#15) On October 16, 2012 at 12:50 PM, IBDvalueinvestin (99.68) wrote:

edwjm you are correct.. 

Politics has no place in 401k plans. 

Report this comment
#16) On October 16, 2012 at 4:58 PM, IBDvalueinvestin (99.68) wrote:

Obama takes a 30 point lead over Romney in MA.

Seems to me that if Romney can not win over the very people that he governed then the rest of the people should follow their lead, because if anyone knows Romney best its the people in MA.

 

Report this comment
#17) On October 16, 2012 at 7:17 PM, awallejr (83.80) wrote:

OK Lordz from now on I will call you Bizarro Alstry.  As an aside I take full credit for this year long rally.

Comments 9-11 (because I am a lousey proof reader):

http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/obama-jobs-bill-too-little-too/640723

While I am quick to blame people it is only fair to give credit when due.

Think things would have gone better if Obama didn't keep taxes low (and even lowered them)?  Think things would have gone better if he never supported and reappointed Bernanke?  Think things would have gone better if he pushed harsh austerity?

Yes Obama does deserve some credit for the doubling of the stock market under his watch.  

Romney has told you what he will do.  He's going to lower everyone's tax rate and _fill in the blanks_.  Magic wand economics. He also did say he would not reappoint Bernanke, which implies he wants a "hawk" not a "dove."

 

 

Report this comment
#18) On October 16, 2012 at 10:41 PM, awallejr (83.80) wrote:

As an aside, just watched the debates.  I am not going to get into the substance but simply to make 2 observations.

I found it interesting Obama and Romney switched colors of ties heheh.  And more amusing did Romney try to "buy" that kid's vote with a job lol?

Report this comment
#19) On October 17, 2012 at 10:41 AM, kbtoys99 (< 20) wrote:

Both of these candidates are in the pocket of the banking elite. It really makes no difference who wins this election.

Report this comment
#20) On October 17, 2012 at 2:50 PM, L0RDZ (84.54) wrote:

That kid  was getting his degree in exercise methodology ? The first person to ask a question in the second debate.

A B.S.  degree in exercise ? 

You'll likely see him  working in fast food, hopefully he didn't borrow and spend a lot to earn such a degree ?

 

Report this comment
#21) On October 17, 2012 at 5:01 PM, kbtoys99 (< 20) wrote:

I dont think this article is accurate. The market has been long in the tooth for a while now

Report this comment
#22) On October 17, 2012 at 6:53 PM, awallejr (83.80) wrote:

So says the guy with 3 picks?  This market has plenty of legs still.  We do need a good 5% correction at least tho.

Report this comment

Featured Broker Partners


Advertisement