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inthemoneystock (< 20)

As Stock Markets Surge, These Keys Become Important

Recs

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October 10, 2011 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , JPM , GOOGL

The stock market is surging again. Gains sit at over 10% in the last week. This euphoric move in the markets has been on continued talk about a European bank recapitalization plan. This plan is said to mirror TARP in the U.S in 2008. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY) is trading at $118.97, +3.26 (+2.82%. Just last Tuesday, the SPY hit a low of $107.43.

With this talk of recapitalizing the banks, Greece's woes are a distant memory as are Italy, Spain, Portugal and Ireland. These issues should come to the forefront within the next few days again. The way to tell of this reemergence of fear is to simply look at the charts. As the S&P 500 runs into resistance at current levels, a pull back in the markets looms. The cause of that pull back will be European based. Watch this between Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. Keep in mind, the bond market is closed today. The bond market controls the stock market. In other words, when the cat is away, the mice will play. Thus a big light volume rally today on hopes and dreams.

Aside from Europe, this week also has some key Chinese data and U.S. earnings. Alcoa Inc. (NYSE:AA) reports earnings tomorrow after the close.  In addition, later this week JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) and Google Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) report.

Do not get fooled with this big surge up. As much as I would like to believe the bottom is in, it is clearly not. The charts tell the true tale. The SPY resistance level is major from here on out until $120.00. Problems in Europe are not going to be solved as easily as recapitalizing the banks. In addition, a global slowdown is nailing China hard. This will have ripple effects throughout the entire world.

Gareth Soloway
InTheMoneyStocks.com

1 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On October 10, 2011 at 12:49 PM, davejh23 (< 20) wrote:

"Do not get fooled with this big surge up. As much as I would like to believe the bottom is in, it is clearly not. The charts tell the true tale. The SPY resistance level is major from here on out until $120.00."

I agree, which means we're probably both wrong.  It just seems odd that there is so much optimism in the media today...even articles suggesting that a recession is off the table...a call primarily based on last week's employment report and the fact that GS just upped their Q3 GDP estimate to 2.5%.  I don't know...we may continue to get these huge swings on short covering, but the GS upgrade in the face of so many other indicators pointing to recession seems to scream "get out of the market!" 

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