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TSIF (99.96)

BE Very Careful when Bears turn from Nice to Mean and back to Nice and then MEAN!

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20

March 15, 2009 – Comments (14) | RELATED TICKERS: BARE.DL , HUN , POL

 

There seems to be a lot of tension on the boards between bears and bulls when there is a bear rally.  No one is sure if it is a bear rally or the if bulls have broken out of their pens and are chasing the bears away for awhile and starting a bull rally. It usually happens after the bears have found a stash of picnic baskets and are getting a little tipsy on the honey and beer and thinking very highly of themselves.

 It seems the bears are jealous for some reason during a rally, even when the rally is named after them.  I can't figure out why they turn like that.....

   Maybe they think the bulls are spoiling their party.  Maybe they are afraid they are missing out on some fun ($$).

  At any rate, they go from good to mean very fast!

 

 The only thing I can think of that might explain why good bears go bad is that.....

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

They're BI-POLAR BEARS!!!!

 

Sorry.....

 

14 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On March 15, 2009 at 5:30 PM, Alex1963 (29.30) wrote:

You are so right! Try posting any good news and get jumped on for being fooled by or for contributing more folly itothe latest "sucker rally" and dire warnings to be careful etc. I can't wait to see what affect the uptick rule has. Enough of this Bullshort :)

Rec for the creative pun!

Alex 

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#2) On March 15, 2009 at 7:22 PM, motleyanimal (97.54) wrote:

Oh damn.....an old joke springs from my decrepitude, an echo of my cavernous brain hollow, a voice that fades but is not forgotten.

What do Eskimos get when they sit on the ice too long?

Polarhoids

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#3) On March 15, 2009 at 7:40 PM, Varchild2008 (84.26) wrote:

I started investing MARCH of 2008 and even though that was before the Financial Crisis really struck hard... before Bear Sterns went under....

I never felt more BULLISH in my short investing career than I do now.  I am 100% full force... pouring as much money into the Stock Market as my Bank Accounts, Paychecks, Life Savings will allow me to do so.

So the BEARS will have a hard time pushing us BULLS back when we got around 8-9 TRILLION DOLLARS sitting on the sidelines.  That's a lot of buying power just brewing...and stewing...

And should the stock market bull rally continue for 2 more weeks... Look out!  Because not only will some of those Trillions start trickling in but there's the other phenomenon no one is talking about.

It is the "TSP" phenomenon.  There's still billions of dollars stuffed in the (G) Bond Fund in the TSP from scared at all get out Stock Market investors....

A Bull Rally that stretches on long enough will start to entice the Government Employees to start throwing some Cash in what's known as a "Transfer Transaction" straight into the Stock Market. 

I see at least another 1,000 points no one is talking about on the DOW that will increase after the first 3 weeks of continuous Bull Rally.

SO. What I am saying.. is that it is very possible to have everyone by Week 3 of a Bull Rally thinking that Stock Prices are going to go back down when all of a sudden they get SMASHED upward beyond your wildest dreams. 

This is it folks!  We are in for a short-term Rocketship like never seen before in the Stock Market.

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#4) On March 15, 2009 at 7:56 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Unfortunately Varchild, I don't think the fundamentals are there "yet" for that bullish of a rally, but buying in on the way down and on the way back up, especially if you make some good selections and possibly some dividends will leave you positioned very well.  The mistake of getting out after a beating and staying out until a confirmed turn around costs investors years and makes them bitter.  We will get that bull rally at some point. I won't complain if it's now, but I don't see it.  The unemployment cycle is now starting to hit the foreclosure charts.  The next few quarters will still have low earnings. Most of which I hope are "priced" in, but fear is a powerful thing.  There are people scared of missing the rally who might start to trickle in, but I think overall their fear of losing will outweigh their entry or their staying power.  Best wishes.

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#5) On March 15, 2009 at 8:00 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Didn't mean to dredge up those old memories Motley!  But I'm very glad we can find some humor in this world.  All things will pass and we will miss this "fun" we had and look back on this 12+ month period with various memories.  Yes, we will miss this period in our lives once it is gone....just like I miss that toothache I endured painfully for months when a dentist was not to be found.......after it finally went away!  :)

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#6) On March 15, 2009 at 8:49 PM, coralbro (94.79) wrote:

 Varchild2008,

I am part of that TSP phenomenon, but I am waiting for the market to drop a little more before I transfer out of the G fund.  I think that most government employees contribute, but do not look at their allocation very often, so I think you may be overestimating the TSP phenomenon.  Additionally, I think that of the contributors who do change allocation, many will stay in the G fund for several months after the rally begins.  I do not see them jumping in in the first month or two.  On the otherhand, maybe your co-workers are more sophisticated than mine.  Time will tell. 

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#7) On March 15, 2009 at 9:43 PM, checklist34 (99.79) wrote:

i wonder what will happen from hear?  and i wonder how th emarket will react to Q1 earnings season?

I wonder this and i wonder that, and I'm taking at least a small hedge on monday. 

but I consider it a material fact that stocks are cheap right now, and being long makes sense over the medium or long term

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#8) On March 16, 2009 at 5:52 AM, AnomaLee (29.19) wrote:

Varchild2008
So the BEARS will have a hard time pushing us BULLS back when we got around 8-9 TRILLION DOLLARS sitting on the sidelines.  That's a lot of buying power just brewing...and stewing...

FWIW: Typically, these numbers being thrown around refer to the total value of money market accounts.

There's not even $8.5 trillion in total M2 supply. Money market accounts are fully guaranteed by the government during a time when the appetite for risk is still low. Even if there were an exodus from money market accounts into stocks I doubt 15% of the much money in MMA's would move in a year.

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#9) On March 16, 2009 at 6:07 AM, PrestonCheek (35.37) wrote:

Goodmorning TSIF, still having fun I see. Keep up the good work.

Preston

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#10) On March 16, 2009 at 7:26 AM, outoffocus (24.44) wrote:

Oh no one did it? I guess i'll do it then.  *Ba doomp TISH*

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#11) On March 16, 2009 at 7:41 AM, BenGriffin71 (28.38) wrote:

Outoffocus:  *Ba doomp TISH*  ... is that the sound of you flushing this POC down the toilet? 

Awesome, if so.

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#12) On March 16, 2009 at 7:44 AM, BenGriffin71 (28.38) wrote:

I need to clarify.

 I don't dislike the orignal post.  I think Varchild2008 comment is perhaps  'BA doomp Tish' worthy.

 

Whatever the case, I dig the idea of being able to flush online!

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#13) On March 16, 2009 at 9:29 AM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

But where would the "bits" go if we flushed online?  Now as GV would say, no trying to flush someone else's posts!  One man's steak is another's sushi.....

Let sleeping dogs lie....

Hmmm, one of those...

Where would the flushed bits go?  Hmmmm, now I'm really distracted from watching the opening bell!  :)

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#14) On March 16, 2009 at 11:11 AM, outoffocus (24.44) wrote:

Actually that was the drum sound for you joke.  But I guess it could also signify the BS thats keeping this rally up...

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