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XMFSinchiruna (27.12)

Burning the Candle at Both Ends for My Fellow Fools

Recs

48

January 20, 2012 – Comments (29)

I've been a little quiet here on the blogs lately, and I wanted to give you an update on what's been keeping me so busy. On Tuesday, I went to NYC to join Fortuna Silver in celebrating their listing on the NYSE. I had an amazing experience, not just for the thrill of entering the exchange building and walking past the trading floor, but for the pleasure of meeting Fortuna CEO Jorge Ganoza, their VP of Exploration Thomas Vehrs, and multiple members of their board of directors. The more I learn about this company, the more excited I get. I am fascinated to see where their next growth platform will emerge from as they continue the ramp-up at San Jose.

In the elevator on the way out, I met Jeffrey Christian, managing director for CPM Group. I'm sometimes terrible with faces, so I didn't recognize him until he handed me his card. He was kind enough to relate to me the interesting history behind the bull statue in NYC.

Now for the really exciting news, and please join me in thanking The Motley Fool for making this possible. The Motley Fool has kindly offered to send me to the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference next week. It has been long overdue for me to attend one of these major events, but to date I have not had the opportunity. This one would not have been possible without the help of TMF. I have already lined up multiple interview with mining company CEOs that I know you will find valuable, and I encourage you all to stay tuned (here at my blog, through my article list, and by following me on Twitter) for my multiple write-ups that will come out of this experience. I don't want to spoil the surprise by revealing which interviews I have lined up, but please feel free to cast your vote for which companies you're most interested in getting the inside scoop on, and I will make every effort to visit their booth at the event and speak with senior management or their representatives.

This site has the list of companies that will have booths at the event, plus the agenda for speakers, presentations, etc. I have already filled out my itinerary, but feel free to let me know if there is something specific you would like me to attend / see, and I can try to work it in.:

http://cambridgehouse.com/conference-details/vancouver-resource-investment-conference-2012/54

Please bookmark (or RSS) my article list to ensure you don't miss any of the resulting articles:

http://www.fool.com/author/1632/index.aspx

Or follow me on Twiter:

https://twitter.com/#!/TMFSinchiruna

Some additional site visits are also in the works, and I will fill you in on details as they emerge.

I'm excited to bring you another year of comprehensive research into the precious metals industry, and I consider myself very fortunate to have such a vibrant online community with which to share my findings.

29 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On January 20, 2012 at 2:21 PM, XMFSinchiruna (27.12) wrote:

Hey Fools, don't forget about CDY. The stock is already up 42% since I featured it as my #1 stock pick overall here just over 1 month ago. I'm not saying it couldn't conceivably pull back again before moving higher, but in the long-term view this little surge is just the beginning.

http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/why-im-addicted-to-cardero/679269

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#2) On January 20, 2012 at 2:48 PM, SkepticalOx (99.53) wrote:

Hi Sinch,

Do you have a price target for CDY? I bought it for my real portfolio after your second pitch (addicted to CDY) and got in around $0.90/share. I don't recall seeing one in your pitch, except for the NPV calculations of some of their projects. 

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#3) On January 20, 2012 at 3:50 PM, Bkeepr100 (< 20) wrote:

Sinch and my fellow Fools,

I didn't know if you saw this virtual confrence hosted by silverseek.com  It is set for the end of this month.  Best of all,  it is free to attend.

http://www.silverseek.com/article/silverseekcom-2012-virtual-silver-investment-conference 

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#4) On January 20, 2012 at 3:58 PM, XMFSinchiruna (27.12) wrote:

SkepticalOx,

Not really at this stage. I'll begin honing a price target as the asset moves toward production, but I can tell you it's north of $4. A stock doesn't become my absolute #1 pick unless it has some serious multi-bagger potential. Glad you're along for the ride.

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#5) On January 20, 2012 at 3:59 PM, XMFSinchiruna (27.12) wrote:

Bkeepr.. that's excellent! Thanks for bringing it to my/our attention!

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#6) On January 20, 2012 at 5:31 PM, Option1307 (30.12) wrote:

That's pretty cool Sinch, enjoy the trip and looking forward to the articles!

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#7) On January 20, 2012 at 8:38 PM, TMFRosetint (94.91) wrote:

Hey Sinch,

 Apparently Alexandria will be there.. I think it'd be cool if you got some information on them while waiting for the Akasaba report.

I know basically nothing about mining companies, but I've purchased a couple of shares of Alexandria and Copper Fox to follow along and hopefully learn about the industry.

 Best wishes,

 Scott 

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#8) On January 20, 2012 at 9:51 PM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

  TMFSinchiruna wrote:

"I'm excited to bring you another year of comprehensive research into the precious metals industry, and I consider myself very fortunate to have such a vibrant online community with which to share my findings. "

Sinch,

Thank You for your valuable work and articles. I am richer literally, because of them.   

Below, is a little “tidbit” I ran across, today.

Possibly, they  will have a copy at their booth.

Sky Pilot

Your Official Web Link Assistant

http://www.azx.ca/news/2012/news20120120.html

1/20/12

Alexandria Announces Geophysics Findings and Overview

 

       

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#9) On January 20, 2012 at 11:04 PM, HarryCaraysGhost (99.60) wrote:

Sinch, I could'nt help but being curious about the story of the bull- So I wikied it.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charging_Bull

I would love to read Mr Christians story if you have the time.

Cheers

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#10) On January 20, 2012 at 11:26 PM, goalie37 (90.66) wrote:

Congrats and have a great trip!

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#11) On January 21, 2012 at 7:10 AM, XMFSinchiruna (27.12) wrote:

TMFRosetint,

Welcome to the space. I hope it treats you well. Of course, given its miniature capitalization, Alexandria and any other non-producing resource junior fetching under $50m must be considered high-risk vehicles and approached accordingly. It happens to be my own largest holding, but that's a wager I've taken after careful assessment of the risk/reward equation.

I am in regular contact with management, but yes, I will defintely be hanging out with them in Vancouver as well.

Some of you may have noticed a recent press release gave "this winter" as the timeframe for the Akasaba estimate. Because I had expected the estimate for right about now, I called Mary for an update. The board has decided to delay the estimate by about a month in order to incorporate those recent deep drill results into the resource. As much as I was counting the days with excitement for its release, I'm happy to wait another month to make sure the result will have dramatic catalyst power (presuming normal market conditions where achievements are actually assigned value).

Without question, the resource estimate will be a critical moment for the stock. Either we get some sort of bump out of this ludicrous valuation, or the company's road ahead will necessarily involve additional dilutive capital raises. I'd like to think the stock will break out in a major way as the global resource surges well beyond 1 million ounces, but after watching this market ignore achivement fter achievement by a slew of junior explorers, it is difficult to predict the market's near-term response. Disciplined value investors will calmly await the inevitable re-rate, but in this scenario further failure to break higher would spell dilution.

I remain tremendously excited about Alexandria's assets and upside potential, but in this sliver of the resource space, investing with both eyes wide open is utterly essential.

In the meantime, I'm glad my #1 pick referenced above is already correcting its insane valuation. If all goes according to plan, we'll begin to see the same from Alexandria in February. 

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#12) On January 21, 2012 at 10:51 AM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

On January 21, 2012 at 7:10 AM, TMFSinchiruna (98.13) wrote:

"In the meantime, I'm glad my #1 pick referenced above is already correcting its insane valuation. If all goes according to plan, we'll begin to see the same from Alexandria in February. "

Some relevant "links":

http://www.cardero.com/i/pdf/2012-01_CarderoFactsheet.pdf

http://www.cardero.com/s/Management.asp

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Cardero-Resource-Corp-iw-2010466989.html

Cardero Resource Corp. Acquires Securities of Abzu Gold Ltd.

 

http://www.canadianbusiness.com/article/64620--cardero-resource-says-carbon-creek-coal-mine-could-cost-301-million-to-build

Cardero Resource says Carbon Creek coal mine could cost $301 million to build

1/5/12

 

Sky Pilot

Official Web Link Assistant to Sinch

 

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#13) On January 21, 2012 at 12:20 PM, kdakota630 (29.76) wrote:

TMFSinchiruna

I guess your being so busy would explain why part 2 of your top gold picks never came out (unless I just never saw it).

Also, I understand Peter Grandich will be attending the conference in Vancouver.  I hope you and he happen to cross paths as I would love to see that interview.

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#14) On January 21, 2012 at 4:10 PM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

 On January 21, 2012 at 12:20 PM, kdakota630 (99.94) wrote:

"TMFSinchiruna

I guess your being so busy would explain why part 2 of your top gold picks never came out (unless I just never saw it).

Also, I understand Peter Grandich will be attending the conference in Vancouver.  I hope you and he happen to cross paths as I would love to see that interview."

 See:

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/12/30/the-top-10-gold-stocks-for-2012-part-2.aspx?source=iaasitlnk0000003

Sky Pilot

Official Web Link Assistant to Sinch

 

 

 

 

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#15) On January 21, 2012 at 4:21 PM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

  kdakota630,

 The  "link"  below, is for  Sinch's recent articles.

 http://www.fool.com/author/1632/index.aspx?source=iapsitlnk0000003

A must bookmark for the serious  individual PM investor. IMO.

Sky  Pilot

Official Web  Link  Assistant to  Sinch

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#16) On January 21, 2012 at 5:17 PM, kdakota630 (29.76) wrote:

skypilot2005

Thanks.  That's the only one of the four "Top Ten" blogs that didn't show up on his list of blogs, which is where I was searching.

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#17) On January 21, 2012 at 11:34 PM, SN3165 (< 20) wrote:

Sinch, can you say hi to the Sandstorm team? They should be announcing their next gold stream very soon. Caza and Pilot Gold will also be there.. :-)

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#18) On January 22, 2012 at 4:33 AM, XMFSinchiruna (27.12) wrote:

SN, Yes, I will definitely be connecting with all 3.

Had dinner tonight with a slew of terrific people.  

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#19) On January 22, 2012 at 8:50 AM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

Sinch,

#11) On January 21, 2012 at 7:10 AM, TMFSinchiruna (98.13) wrote:

“I am in regular contact with management, but yes, I will defintely be hanging out with them in Vancouver as well.”

Would you please see if you can get some current  information  on the  Whiskey  Jack property,  from  Alexandria,  while at the  Vancouver Resource Investment Conference?

Reference:

On   April 8,2011:

http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/live-chat-with-alexandria/571634

 

#7) On April 08, 2011 at 10:15 AM, TMFSinchiruna (98.13) wrote:

I know Akasaba is the primary exploration target, and with very good reason, but I still can't help getting excited about this Whiskeyjack property that my fellow Fool skypilot informed me of after conducting some due diligence. Can you address the sigificance of this property by virtue of it being adjacent to Young-Davidson, and does Young-Davidson's continued expansion pique your own interest in planning some exploration work there? Could you discuss the conext of your Matachewan property in relation to Whiskeyjack?

**

Additional  DD relating to Wiskeyjack:

http://www.carmaxmining.com/properties/whiskey_jack_project/

Whiskey Jack Project

The Whiskeyjack Creek property is located in Cairo Township in the Larder Lake Mining Division of Ontario. Situated approximately 5 km east of  the town of Matachewan the claims are easily accessed via provincial Highways 66 and 65.

The property covers a wide band of an east to northeast trending assemblage of mafic to ultra-mafif volcanic rocks with felsic and interflow sedimentary units which have been intruded by conformable mafic to ultra-mafic body to the west and numerous syenitic to quartz diorite units to the east. The central portion of the property is transected by a major deformation zone that is interpreted as a splay from the Larder Lake - Cadillac Break that hosts or is associated with significant gold deposits between Val D'Or and Matachewan.

The company entered into an agreement with Alexandria Minerals whereby after expending $350,000 on exploration and 50,000 shares Alexandria would earn a 50 % interest in the property. Carmax and Alexandria are currently negotiating a joint venture agreement.

**

“The Whiskeyjack property lies in the Southwest part of the Abitibi Greenstone belt along the Kirkland-Larder Lake break near Matachewan. The Kirkland - Larder Lake break has produced 34 million ounces of gold. The Whiskeyjack is adjacent to Northgate Minerals Corp.'s Young- Davidson which has a proven & probable resource of 2,758,000 ounces of gold .Carmax is presently developing a joint venture agreement with Alexandria Minerals Corp. who has completed its 50% earn in.”

http://www.carmaxmining.com/corporate/overview/

**

Thanks

Sky Pilot

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#20) On January 22, 2012 at 9:10 AM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

Additional info.:

http://www.carmaxmining.com/_resources/financials/2011_Carmax_Year_End_MDA.pdf

 

“ The following discussion and analysis, prepared as of November 28, 2011…”

“The Operator of the Whiskey Jack Creek property is Alexandria Minerals Corp., with whom the Company is currently negotiating a joint venture agreement.”

 

“ As of July 31, 2011, the Company (Carmax) has three mineral property interests being a 50% interest in the Whiskey Jack Creek property located in the Cairo Township of the Matachewan Area of the Larder Lake mining district of the Province of Ontario,…”

“Whiskey Jack Creek Property

A 2008-2009 winter drill program consisting of 3 diamond drill holes has been completed by Carmax’s partner, Alexandria Minerals Corp. on the Whiskey Jack Creek property.

The three holes were drilled stepping out from drill hole MAT-08-7 drilled in late 2007 which returned 2.25 g/t Au over 6.00 m at a depth of 165.5m.

A further program has been recommended for the claims.”

 

 

 

 

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#21) On January 22, 2012 at 1:17 PM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

http://www.aurcana.com/i/pdf/Aurcana-BeaconRock.pdf

 

Aurcana to Commence Silver Production at Shafter in 2012

 

1/17/12

 

 

http://www.aurcana.com/s/NewsReleases.asp?ReportID=501413

 

Thu Jan 12, 2012
Aurcana Reports: Record Silver Production at La Negra.

 

 

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/12/23/growing-silver-miners-gnaw-at-heclas-heels.aspx

 

 

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2012/01/09/the-top-10-silver-stocks-for-2012-part-2.aspx

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#22) On January 23, 2012 at 12:59 PM, johnybottom (< 20) wrote:

Jan 23, 2012
PAN AMERICAN TO ACQUIRE MINEFINDERS AND CREATE THE LEADING GEOGRAPHICALLY-DIVERSIFIED SILVER PRODUCER

http://www.panamericansilver.com/investors/news/

 

PAAS down 8% today, opportunity?

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#23) On January 24, 2012 at 1:40 AM, XMFSinchiruna (27.12) wrote:

Absofrickinlutely!

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#24) On January 25, 2012 at 3:20 AM, ziying (< 20) wrote:

Sinch,

   I'm up just over 40% on my CDY buy thanks to you. I knew next to nothing about mining stocks until I started reading your articles and blogs. Since I started buying miners last year I bought AuRico, Aurcana, Brigus, Great Panther Silver, Northgate (now more AuRico) and Primero based on your writings. I bought Taseko Mines and Sandstorm Gold on my own. And with a big thanks to Sky Pilot I recently bought Yukon-Nevada Gold. I can't wait to read anything you have from the conference about miners I own or may aquire in the future. And just from reading this blog I'm looking at Alexandria Minerals as my next buy.

 Thank you again for all of your hard work and shared knowlege.

    ZiYing

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#25) On January 25, 2012 at 6:50 AM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

"#22) On January 23, 2012 at 12:59 PM, johnybottom (66.28) wrote:

Jan 23, 2012
PAN AMERICAN TO ACQUIRE MINEFINDERS AND CREATE THE LEADING GEOGRAPHICALLY-DIVERSIFIED SILVER PRODUCER

http://www.panamericansilver.com/investors/news/

 

PAAS down 8% today, opportunity?

Report this comment #23) On January 24, 2012 at 1:40 AM, TMFSinchiruna (98.17) wrote:

Absofrickinlutely!"

 

http://community.nasdaq.com/news/2012-01/minefinders-rallies-25-at-opening-bell-to-be-acquired-by-pan-american-silver-for-15-billion-or-1560-per-share-paas-down-8.aspx?storyid=115837&source=TheMotleyFool

” Under the agreement, MNF shareholders can receive 0.55 PAAS shares and $1.84 in cash; or 0.6235 PAAS shares; or $15.60 in cash, subject to pro-ration under total aggregate cash and share pools of $176 million and 53 million PAAS shares, respectively, on a fully-diluted basis, in exchange for each MNF share.


Read more: http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-01/minefinders-rallies-25-at-opening-bell-to-be-acquired-by-pan-american-silver-for-15-billion-or-1560-per-share-paas-down-8.aspx?storyid=115837#ixzz1kTAPcbV4

I own MNF thanks to Sinch.’s coverage.

Sinch,

Are you taking the .6235 shares?

Your Official Web Link Assistant

Sky Pilot

 

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#26) On January 25, 2012 at 1:52 PM, johnybottom (< 20) wrote:

Miners are liking this Fed news... can't wait to hear more from Sinch and the conference! Any more twitter updates?

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#27) On January 25, 2012 at 2:34 PM, Sturmudgeon (< 20) wrote:

Thanks to Sinch., SkyPilot, and other Fools for the informative articles and comments.   Looking forward to the info gleaned from your trip to Vanc., Sinch.

Thanks again, so very much!

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#28) On January 25, 2012 at 3:32 PM, XMFSinchiruna (27.12) wrote:

sky... I would be if I owned the shares. I sold my Minefinders stake at better than $15 last July, and as I told the company the other day, I was just getting ready to re-build a position before thie news came out.

I still can't believe my good fortune in getting this exclusive interview with Mark on the very say his company gets the buyout deal. It was an amazing discussion, and it will be out in multiple parts over the coming days. I'll write a separate blog post summarizing the experience with a preview of write-ups forthcoming. It was truly an incredible time! Some of you all need to attend one of these events. How great would it be to organize a Foolish reception one evening during the conference?

Who's game, and for which conference?  :)

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#29) On January 25, 2012 at 10:23 PM, skypilot2005 (< 20) wrote:

On January 25, 2012 at 3:32 PM, TMFSinchiruna (98.53) wrote:

"sky... I would be if I owned the shares. I sold my Minefinders stake at better than $15 last July, and as I told the company the other day, I was just getting ready to re-build a position before thie news came out."

Sinch,

Wow.  I sold PAAS  on April 14, 2011 @  $37.25.

Thanks.  I am going to take the .6235 of  PAAS and let it “ride”.

I missed your sale of MFN.   I still have mine based on a prior ( 4/8/11)   article of yours &  my subsequent D. D.:

Your article: Gold's Undiscovered Thoroughbred Races Ahead.

My  cost basis for MFN  is  $15.46.

I stopped following PAAS after  I sold it. But, I recently looked at the fact sheet from their website:

http://www.panamericansilver.com/files/pdfs/PAS_FactSheet_Q32011_Web.pdf

I have it back on my  Watch List, now.

Can’t buy any PAAS  this quarter.  For  2012, I have quarterly investment  “Themes”.    My “Theme” this quarter is buying  less  than  $1 per share PM miners.   

Your Official Web Link Assistant

Sky Pilot

 

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