# portefeuille (98.92)

## portefeuille's CAPS Blog

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August 27, 2011 – Comments (25)

update of the usual figure displaying the S&P 500 index (at 1176.80, see this post).

short explanation.

#1) On August 29, 2011 at 4:20 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

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#2) On August 30, 2011 at 1:26 AM, awallejr (36.64) wrote:

No offense Porte, but I like Binve's addition.

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#3) On August 31, 2011 at 2:39 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

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#4) On September 03, 2011 at 2:29 PM, SolarisKing (< 20) wrote:

On August 15, 2011 at 9:51 PM, binve (28.95) wrote:

porte,

Here is my recreation of your chart and the fitting coefficients that I used in the exponential expression:

ENLARGE

binve is one of the only fools i know that talks to porte that way.

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#5) On September 03, 2011 at 8:18 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

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#6) On September 07, 2011 at 5:00 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

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#7) On September 14, 2011 at 4:48 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

1172.87.

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#8) On September 18, 2011 at 10:52 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

#7 correction.

1172.87.

1216.01

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#9) On September 29, 2011 at 9:48 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

1172.51

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#10) On October 14, 2011 at 3:06 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

1219.44.

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#11) On October 24, 2011 at 4:26 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

1254.19.

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#12) On October 25, 2011 at 12:20 AM, awallejr (36.64) wrote:

Chart is broken Porte.  Pointless to follow it.  Binve's addition makes more sense.

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#13) On October 25, 2011 at 2:31 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

#12 It is in better shape than it was when I introduced it on June 23, 2009 (see comment #15 here) ...

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#14) On October 25, 2011 at 2:32 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

#13 I give it a few more years ...

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#15) On October 25, 2011 at 3:10 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

"insert -> trend lines -> power" gives the blue line.

In a few weeks the trend line that open office draws (blue) for all the data might be almost exactly the one I drew on June 23, 2009 (green).

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#16) On October 25, 2011 at 3:12 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

#15 The shape already looks decently chosen ...

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#17) On October 25, 2011 at 3:26 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

#15 same figure with data until July 22, 2011 (trading day 599 of the current rally if March 9, 2009 is trading day 0).

I prefer my trend line (green) and the associated trend channel as it gives those summer blips the appearance of summer blips, hehe ...

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#18) On October 25, 2011 at 3:27 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

done defending my little green line. it never needed any ...

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#19) On October 27, 2011 at 3:11 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

1286.35.

My "fund" (see here), excluding DSCO and the put options, is up almost 50%. yeay.

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#20) On October 27, 2011 at 8:30 PM, awallejr (36.64) wrote:

And including dsco and the put options?

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#21) On October 27, 2011 at 10:39 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

#20 performance of the fund (see here, periods starting on March 8, 2010).

June 21, 2010: -6.77%.
July 02, 2010: -26.7%.
January 6, 2011: 70.76%.
March 18, 2011: 18.74%.
June 1, 2011: 59.25%.
June 25, 2011: 40.50%.
July 23, 2011: 60.04%.
October 5, 2011: -22.35%.
October 28, 2011: 11.28%.

October 28, 2011, without put options: 31.63%.
October 28, 2011, without put options and DSCO: 50.86%.

cash: -\$1.88 million.

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#22) On October 27, 2011 at 11:52 PM, Momentum21 (96.97) wrote:

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#23) On November 05, 2011 at 7:48 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

1253.23.

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#24) On November 05, 2011 at 7:55 AM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

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#25) On November 11, 2011 at 9:43 PM, portefeuille (98.92) wrote:

continued here.

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