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portefeuille (99.50)

chart6

Recs

18

June 02, 2010 – Comments (34)

update of the usual figure displaying the S&P 500 index (see this post).



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34 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On June 03, 2010 at 3:58 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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#2) On June 03, 2010 at 9:44 PM, columbia1 wrote:

Hey Port, glad you are still posting your little green curve, what are your thoughts on it?

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#3) On June 03, 2010 at 10:20 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

#2 time to hop back inside that channel ...

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#4) On June 03, 2010 at 10:21 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

... and seriously consider selling some stuff when the index reaches that upper grey line again, hehe ...

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#5) On June 04, 2010 at 10:36 AM, columbia1 wrote:

Would you wait to go long until it recaptures the lower gray line?

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#6) On June 04, 2010 at 10:37 AM, columbia1 wrote:

I like this new Rec feature, now I can rec you once a day, LOL!!!

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#7) On June 04, 2010 at 10:46 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

#5 I have shifted some money into ATPG shares and call options (see here).

These are currently my largest portfolio positions (ordered by current value of the position, more positions are listed here).

EMC shares and call options (around 28% of the portfolio),
ATPG - ATP Oil & Gas shares and call options (around 14%),
DBK:GR (DB) - Deutsche Bank,
DAI:GR (DAI) - Daimler,
Indian equities fund,
Mining fund,
EURO STOXX 50 ETF,
BAS:GR - BASF,
Emerging Markets fund,
HEN3:GR - Henkel,
SIE:GR (SI) - Siemens,
ALV:GR - Allianz,
QIA:GR (QGEN) - Qiagen,
AIXA:GR (AIXG) - Aixtron,
ITMN - InterMune.

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#8) On June 04, 2010 at 1:01 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

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#9) On June 04, 2010 at 9:30 PM, DarkToast (49.56) wrote:

Hi Portef, thanks for keeping the chart updated. I am buying nothing until we retake the lower grey line and rise over the 200 dma on the major US indexes.

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#10) On June 08, 2010 at 11:57 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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#11) On June 09, 2010 at 11:34 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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#12) On June 10, 2010 at 11:12 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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#13) On June 10, 2010 at 11:32 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:



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#14) On June 10, 2010 at 2:39 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

The motor won't stay running.  The drift out of the channel is pushing us toward the rocks.  Must be water in the gas, or is that oil in the water??

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#15) On June 11, 2010 at 4:47 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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#16) On June 11, 2010 at 5:53 PM, awallejr (83.97) wrote:

Hoping a summer rally starts now, Need to get above that bottom grey line.

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#17) On June 14, 2010 at 11:38 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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#18) On June 14, 2010 at 1:49 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

I think I can....hiccup....I think I can....hiccup.....

Still too much water in the gasoline, but if we can get back into the channel then maybe we can get 4 months out of this next cycle. 

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#19) On June 14, 2010 at 2:12 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:



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#20) On June 15, 2010 at 12:56 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:



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#21) On June 15, 2010 at 1:19 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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#22) On June 15, 2010 at 3:46 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

The lower grey line is at around 676.53 * exp (0.9*t^0.37/15) ≈ 1123.31 for t = 320 (June 15, 2010, trading day 320 of the current rally. t = 0 corresponds to March 9, 2009.).

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#23) On June 15, 2010 at 3:51 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

0.37 and 15 are the parameters I chose on June 23, 2009 (see here). 676.53 is the closeing value of the S&P 500 index on March 9, 2009. You get the green line if you replace 0.9 by 1 and the upper grey line if you replace it by 1.1.

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#24) On June 15, 2010 at 3:54 PM, Momentum22 (29.65) wrote:

Let's see it hop back in there in the next 5 minutes. : )

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#25) On June 15, 2010 at 9:13 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:



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#26) On June 15, 2010 at 11:11 PM, awallejr (83.97) wrote:

Need to now get above that 50 day MA now.

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#27) On June 17, 2010 at 8:39 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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#28) On June 17, 2010 at 9:35 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

DAX.



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#29) On June 17, 2010 at 11:24 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

some charts.



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#30) On June 17, 2010 at 11:40 PM, awallejr (83.97) wrote:

Sheesh Port, as I said, you are Mr. Chart happy;p  I just want your original chart updates because we need to stay above the bottom grey line to keep the pattern going. 

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#31) On June 18, 2010 at 10:55 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:



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The lower grey line is at around 676.53 * exp (0.9 * 323^0.37 / 15) ≈ 1125.28 at June 18, 2010.

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#32) On June 18, 2010 at 2:43 PM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

S&P 500 index vs. "S&P 500 index in EUR" (black).



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#33) On June 21, 2010 at 10:47 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

update.



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The green line is at around 1191.50 and the grey lines are at around 1260.88 and 1125.94 at June 21, 2010.

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#34) On June 21, 2010 at 11:05 AM, portefeuille (99.50) wrote:

continued here.

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