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Chicken Eggs...

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April 30, 2009 – Comments (8) | RELATED TICKERS: CALM

A question for you smart investor types.  Since pharmaceutical companies that develop vaccines in the US use chicken eggs to grow the viruses they harvest to make a vaccine, does it not make sense to invest in chicken egg companies?  I understand that it takes about 24 weeks to grow a suitable amount of virus in a chicken egg, and that the limiting factor on how much virus and thus vaccine can be made is the size of the egg.  

So to make a really large amount of vaccine to deal with this most recent H1N1 scare, I am thinking there might be a run on chicken eggs?  At least it seems to be a logical conclusion to draw, given all of the media hype about the potential pandemic and human nature which dictates that we all act like a pack of lemmings and jump into the sea of fear when the media paints a suitably graphic picture of the end of the world.

Of course, I am using a bit of sarcasm here.  I do understand the gravity of the situation, but find it interesting that some 36,000 people die each year in the US from influenza, better than 15,000 die each year from tuberculosis, and I am certain there are more numbers to be thrown around.  So far, H1N1 has killed...what less than 200 folks.

At any rate, just thought I would pose this question regarding getting into the chicken egg business before the pharmaceutical types make a run on the egg business to start generating vaccines. 

8 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On April 30, 2009 at 5:15 PM, kfisherprotege (30.26) wrote:

Careful that you don't get poached (sorry) and definitely don't put all your ... in one ... well, you know.  I invested in CALM last summer and it fell off two cliffs - one in mid-August, the other in late-Sep.  The price went from $45 to the $25-30 range and hasn't been able to break out of it since.  The primary reason was that the commodity bubble popped.  Since CALM essentially has one product, it tends to act like an ag commodity.  It did have outstanding fundamentals when I bought it last summer.

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#2) On April 30, 2009 at 5:41 PM, MikeMark (29.42) wrote:

I think you may be counting your chickens waaayyy early.

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#3) On April 30, 2009 at 6:11 PM, MikeBobulinski (< 20) wrote:

Not really counting anything...just posing the question.

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#4) On April 30, 2009 at 7:37 PM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

see this: 1,2

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#5) On April 30, 2009 at 7:40 PM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

3,4 (no eggs!)

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#6) On April 30, 2009 at 8:38 PM, MikeBobulinski (< 20) wrote:

Story on CNN

My thought came from reading this article, which indicates that the US still works from egg based development of vaccines, and the no-egg method is accepted overseas.  FDA apparently is not cool with the no-egg method. 

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#7) On April 30, 2009 at 8:44 PM, MikeBobulinski (< 20) wrote:

Okay, stupid link thing didn't work for me...so here's another try.  Story is here: Don't wait around for new flu vaccine

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#8) On July 17, 2009 at 8:03 AM, Tudd (< 20) wrote:

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