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lquadland10 (< 20)

crox again

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August 27, 2007 – Comments (4)

Crox doesn't have a patent because they expire. Just like coke a cola they have a secret formula. That will never expire. Before the Stock split it was at 80 or 90 a share I THINK> NOT SURE. Wait till it reaches 100.00 a share. Do your homework on this company. YOU ARE MISSING A HIDDEN GEM!!!!!!!!!!!I am looking for another split in the next 6 mos to year. I am giving you the heads up but you need to do the research and homework like I did. Good Luck. Think global 80 country's and cloths. I just know a good co. when I see one.

4 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On August 28, 2007 at 8:21 AM, abitare (32.06) wrote:

Your awesome! Look at that score! Just do the opposite of what you do now and you will be great.

I hope you have a billion to invest!

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#2) On August 28, 2007 at 10:14 PM, abitare (32.06) wrote:

As per your request, I would heistate to buy any stock right now (except DOG). "Sell in May and go away". The US market has its worst months in Aug - Oct. There is to much bad news and risk to try and invest now. The US real estate market I expect to decline 10-40%.  If the US attacks Iran, it will be very bad for the US market.

I prefer to have money in cash until the dust settles. I have 50% cash and 50% short.  

I personnelly do not like ATK or the defense industry. You are to "late" to get into the over crowded  trade.  You needed to buy defense in 2002-04, now it is to late. You need to be ahead of the market to outperform the market. 

Based on your score, I would recommend ETFs opposed to individual stocks.  They are more boring and safe.  

Great out of CROXs, insiders are dumping and so are institutions.

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#3) On August 29, 2007 at 12:07 PM, lquadland10 (< 20) wrote:

Thank you. This gives me alot of food for thought. What is your thoughts on FSLR AND STP. I like these stocks because if OIL goes up they wii preform better. What happens if IRAN attacks us? I think it might happen in Irack and Afganistan. Russia will side I think with Iran and France and Europe will go with us. I think that China will try and get everyone to settle down untill after the Olimpices but I don't think that they will be able to. I have watched Iran for 30 years and I listened to the hostages of the 70"s talk about Iran's President and he would have killed them all back then if he had been in charge, but he was not allowed to. This makes me think that if he was like that then, now that he is in controll how much stronger he is and how much havoc can he do now with the power he had gotten in the past few years? I am watching France for now and I doesn't look good. They are now talking war. Iran want's World Power and they have the oil to do it. What money I have is 25% stocks and 75% cash. I am using the Caps to test out my theories and if this is just a 10 to 20% correction then all that worked well then will work well now. I have only been doing this for less than a year so the resetting of sub prime so reminds me of the 70's and 80's. It all cycles. This is the best learning lesson I can have with out loosing any real money untill I learn enough to do it with real money and less mistakes. Thank you so much for all of your time and as for Crox I think I will use this as one of my Virtual mistakes as a lesson learned the hard way with out loosing to much money. If we do go into a World War would this be the beginning of the defense Run? I ask because as I watch Warren Buffett's portfolio it is looking more like a war time portfolio. The Rail's really make me think this. Thank you for all of your help and thoughts. Lynda Q.

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#4) On September 06, 2007 at 11:06 AM, abitare (32.06) wrote:

Sorry, I posted reply on my blog a week ago: 

Your late to the party. STP, FSLR, defense and oil are very crowded trades. You have to be ahead if you want to outperform the market. If you cannot out perform just go with an ETF and sleep easy.

You could try and ride oil, FSLR or STP on the up trend, BUT USE STOPS.Both STP and FSLR are way, way overvalued, but they may continue higher. Use a stop loss on both either stock could lose 50% in a day.
Look at Heelys (Hlys), it lost 50% in a day, with little fundamental changes. 

The market is expecting war. Defense, oil, commodities are way and the dollar is way down.  You can still ride these on the up trend, but use stops. 

The fundamental problem in the market is leveraged hedge funds, may begin to deleverage and bring down the over all market. 

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