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DLZ scores -138 points today, and is back to # 20000...

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November 12, 2009 – Comments (57)

As our friend GMX would say: Just marking time...

A little bit over 2 weeks ago, I was an Allstar with a rating of 99.3.

Today, my rating is 71.13, and my rank is 19882. Not so sexy...

Yeah, I guess it happens when you try to specialize in garbage stocks...

However, today I'm posting this to say that I will be back to at least 95 rating in less than 3 weeks.

Yes, I'm serious. I think I can do it (if the market cooperates, that is, goes up another 2-3% or so).

I don't know why, but I can feel it...

Am I crazy thinking that one's rating can improve 24 points in 3 weeks or less? Probably...

Disclaimer# 1: I don't have a definite proof, but I do think I'm crazy...

Discaimer# 2: I've been wrong more times than I've been right... 

 

p.s.

#7) On November 12, 2009 at 2:10 PM, dragonLZ (71.13) wrote:

This is just to show that my rating today is 71.3...

57 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On November 12, 2009 at 3:33 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Holy cow, dropping like a stone...

Right now, as of 3:30 PM, my rating is 68.76.

I'm loving it... :)

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#2) On November 12, 2009 at 4:05 PM, SolarisKing (35.39) wrote:

I believe in you DLZ! You can do it!

 

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#3) On November 12, 2009 at 4:26 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

You could do it, but it will be VERY hard to do now that you turned into a swing trader with not enough conviction either direction.  This is why we have the 6 month run on allstarportfolio.  I went all-star, back down to propeller (much bigger drop than you so far), all star, and now I'm just hanging in. Actually the propeller hat is pretty cool, I don't think I'll see it again, but each cycle up and down provides learning lessons. Do you hang in there and analyze what happened, or give up? 

You asked me once why I left my downthumbs open on a rally, you can see now that even if you call direction changes somewhat accurately, you can't turn an oil tanker that fast here on Caps.

You'll have serious trouble getting back to 99 if you swing trade like you're doing. Nothing wrong with closing a position you don't believe in anymore. Nothing wrong with banking a call that's up. The lower pick price is usually a good reason to hold onto it mathematically, but a bank once in awhile can be good in the long run. The CAPs point system, however is 75% points and 25% accuracy.  This is why the swings can CAPS rating swings can be so dramatic.  You can have less points than someone else and still out rank them. I use my account for fun and learning, so I don't expect to be in the top 10, so I'm not going to analyze to the extreme.  Picking mostly high beta stocks, the potential for one to come back up green is relatively high, but there is a balance between holding them and moving on.

My point is that you don't stand a chance of getting back to 99% in rapid fashion if you close picks that are between NEGATIVE 5 and PLUS 5 that stll have some potential.

Close picks between ZERO and plus 5 is good if you want out. You get the plus points, and the pick no longer counts against your accuracy. It's a wash. You don't get the accuracy point, but you don't lose one either. So getting out ZERO to plus 5 is sometimes a good move. Don't close a position that is zero to plus 5 just because you are tired of holding it if it has potential to swing some in your favor.

Getting out only slightly negative, however is a disaster. You lose the accuracy points.  If you think it's tanking then it's a good move to run, but this should not be done so on a whim.

These little tricks are the difference between a survivor and those who give up and leave or who start over again. Those holding long term positions who are patient still need to worry about the S&P kicking the stuffing out of their pick, but generally things will come around. If you swing trade then patience is hard to come by in this market. 

Good luck. I believe in you to, but you did need the market to show you that its no ones friend!

TSIF

 

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#4) On November 12, 2009 at 4:27 PM, jason2713 (< 20) wrote:

Good luck man.

GTN is beaten down, I think the dollar is going to correct a bit more, so you can get it at the bargain price of around $1.30 or less.

I have a limit order in for GTN at $1.26 in case after hours it gets crushed, wish me luck :)

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#5) On November 12, 2009 at 5:27 PM, portefeuille (99.61) wrote:

The CAPs point system, however is 75% points and 25% accuracy.

Raw rating = (2/3 * score rank) + (1/3 * accuracy rank).

(from here)

Close picks between ZERO and plus 5 is good if you want out. You get the plus points, and the pick no longer counts against your accuracy. It's a wash. You don't get the accuracy point, but you don't lose one either.

Active picks with positive scores are accurate picks.

Ended picks with scores between 0 and 5 do not affect your accuracy rating.

(also from there)

The "caps" game "accuracy" is a bad joke, but if you can't help it you might consider not ending calls that are "in the green" by slightly less than 5 score points ...

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#6) On November 12, 2009 at 5:29 PM, portefeuille (99.61) wrote:

if you can't help it

if you can't help not ignoring it

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#7) On November 12, 2009 at 7:08 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

You got me on my rapid post to Drazon Port, I didn't think you read comments that were over a few sentences!!! :) 

Besides my comment of 2/3 to 1/3 that should have said 3/4 and 1/4, I think the rest of our comments are the same.

I thought I'd get one of your patented replies about the accuracy system.  However, at this time, it is what it is, so no point giving advice that includes "would have, could have, should have"

Else, yes, I think we agree, if you have a call near positive, OR a call near, but below plus 5 then it deserves some consideration before closing.

Thanks for the correction! 

TSIF

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#8) On November 12, 2009 at 7:16 PM, portefeuille (99.61) wrote:

I found it a little strange to somehow see me advocating paying attention to the "accuracy", hehe ... and then the OCD ...

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#9) On November 13, 2009 at 9:20 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Thanks Everybody.

TSIF, you are right, I did lose direction... Thanks for the tips, and thank you for believing in me being able to come back (are you really sure about that, because I'm not :).

Good Luck Everybody!

p.s.

Special Good Luck to jason!

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#10) On November 13, 2009 at 9:23 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Yesterday, I lost 260 points. My rating went down 21.77 points, and is at 63.51 right now.

95 rating, here I come...

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#11) On November 13, 2009 at 10:28 AM, alexpaz (28.88) wrote:

Dragon, a wise one once said you must bank your green points and leave the red ones open until they go green...look at the top ten, all green points ended...no red...play the game 

 

Good Luck on your journey wild one 

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#12) On November 13, 2009 at 2:50 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

alexpaz, it definitely is a wild one.

As of 2:45 PM, I'm up 150 points. My rating is up 15+ points and is now 79.29. Crazy...

3 or maybe 5 more days like this one, and I might really be back to 95+ rating... :)

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#13) On November 13, 2009 at 3:32 PM, jason2713 (< 20) wrote:

So you haven't put up any new picks lately.  You riding out the bad times since you're locked in?  I just picked up another 1000 shares of GTN today after cleaning my slate last Friday of it for a 40% gain. 

 

I think you guys need to watch the dollar vs the EURO.  Do not buy anything when its near the low, because its due for a correction.  I would buy when the EURO is at $1.47ish to the $1USD.  I got lucky today and put in a limit order for GTN at $1.29 and it hit for 1000 of the 6000 shares I put in for.  

Meh, I could be wrong, but I like my chances.

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#14) On November 16, 2009 at 3:30 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

A good day, I guess...

As of 3:30 PM, I'm up 272 points.

My rating is up 11.26 points and is at 87.24 right now.

95 doesn't look so far away any more... 

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#15) On November 16, 2009 at 4:04 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

95 is a worthy goal and well within your reach if you show patience, oh dragon.

Try banking your ETF's occasionally to try to build up your accuracy. Don't have more than 5-8 ETF's open at a time.  Don't open or close them all on the same day, rotate into them. Don't get greedy!!!   Rotate back through them with market trends.  You will need an accuracy in the 65+ range to get back to your prior lofty 99+.   Balance points and accuracy, they are both important in this game.

Let stocks run that are serving you well as your entry point can help give it extra rise.  ETF's are good for short term points, but better still for accuracy. 

Good luck. 

 

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#16) On November 17, 2009 at 8:54 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Thanks TSIF.

Good Luck to you too!

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#17) On December 04, 2009 at 12:10 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

I just wanted to post this as the rating of 87, which I have right now, is the closest I've been to my target of 95 since I started this post.

Maybe worth mentioning: On Monday (only 4 days ago), my rating fell as low as 14...

Crazy, I think...

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#18) On December 04, 2009 at 12:12 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

#17) On December 04, 2009 at 12:10 PM, dragonLZ (87.90) wrote:

 I just wanted to post this as the rating of 87, which I have right now, is the closest I've been to my target of 95 since I started this post. Maybe worth mentioning: On Monday (only 4 days ago), my rating fell as low as 14... Crazy, I think...

p.s. Had to copy my post from above so my rating gets recorded...

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#19) On December 04, 2009 at 8:15 PM, SolarisKing (35.39) wrote:

On December 04, 2009 at 12:12 PM, dragonLZ (90.40) wrote:

 

Your welcome.

-solaris   ;-)

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#20) On December 04, 2009 at 11:29 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Getting warmer...

Thanks Solaris :)

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#21) On December 16, 2009 at 12:34 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

91 within reach, 95 still just a wish...

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#22) On December 16, 2009 at 12:35 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

#21) On December 16, 2009 at 12:34 PM, dragonLZ (90.93) wrote:

91 within reach, 95 still just a wish...

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#23) On December 17, 2009 at 12:47 AM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Maybe not in your 3 week window, but you will have your 95 milestone goal  by 2PM on Friday.  Let me be the first to give you CONGRATS!

 - tsif

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#24) On December 17, 2009 at 10:54 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Holy cow, how's this possible?

Market's down almost 1%, I'm down 30 points and losing to the market today, but my rating went up to 92.7%.

When I saw that DOW is down 100 points this morning, I thought my CAPS score went to low 80's again...

TSIF, what is it that you know and I don't? I thought there is no way my rating can go up to 95 by Friday, but now, I'm not so sure... 

I still don't believe it can happen, but thanks for the support anyways.

Good Luck!

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#25) On December 17, 2009 at 10:55 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

#24) On December 17, 2009 at 10:54 AM, dragonLZ (92.68) wrote:

Holy cow, how's this possible?

Market's down almost 1%, I'm down 30 points and losing to the market today, but my rating went up to 92.7%.

When I saw that DOW is down 100 points this morning, I thought my CAPS score went to low 80's again...

TSIF, what is it that you know and I don't? I thought there is no way my rating can go up to 95 by Friday, but now, I'm not so sure... 

I still don't believe it can happen, but thanks for the support anyways.

Good Luck

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#26) On December 21, 2009 at 12:25 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Good Call, TSIF, as I eneded the week close to 94. It wasn't 95, but fairly close.

However, today I'm kicking your butt. My rating is 92 and yours only 31. You lost 2,600 points on SNS.

Here is the proof:

 

TSIF (31.07)

 

TSIF is one of your favorites!

Quick Stats Profile Favorites Best/Worst Sectors Blog View all Wall Street trackers | What is a Wall Street tracker?

TSIF is losing to the market today

Member Rating

31.07

 

 

Rank: 47773 out of 69303

Score: -1,210.34 (-2644.97)

Accuracy: 72.56%

Average Pick Score: -0.86

Average Pick Rating: All-Time Best: STEC +248.58

All-Time Worst: SNS -2621.25

 

 

P.s. :)

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#27) On December 21, 2009 at 12:29 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Let's capture TSIF's Rating of 31 in this post as well.

I guess that's what hapens when one shorts such wonderful company as Stake n Shake...

However, knowing your stock picking abilities, I'm sure you'll be back to 98.6 by the end of the day... :) 

 

#23) On December 17, 2009 at 12:47 AM, TSIF (31.13) wrote:

Maybe not in your 3 week window, but you will have your 95 milestone goal  by 2PM on Friday.  Let me be the first to give you CONGRATS!

 - tsif

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#28) On December 21, 2009 at 5:43 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

It may take a day or two.  It's all up to the electronic bits and when their all align.  I'd take a shake at the dice or bet a steak that my 31 is very temporary.  I'm surprised I can lose 2,621 points in one day, be 1,200 points NEGATIVE and still NOT have my propeller head back. Speaks volumes to some of our peers and their results.  The 70%+ accuracy is keeping that stylish propeller off my head while the bits realign.

It usually doesn't take an entire DAY to get a 20 for one reverse split adjusted.  SNS is all down from here.  You can't run a company in the ground by eliminating capex to show a temporary profit and expect it to last very long...especially not in the restaurant business where no CAPEX means RATS in the kitchen sooner or later! 

 

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#29) On December 21, 2009 at 10:23 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

As soon as I learned about the 20:1 split (through your -2600 points), I red-thumbed it...

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#30) On December 21, 2009 at 10:24 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

btw. I'm over 94 today...

p.s.

#29) On December 21, 2009 at 10:23 PM, dragonLZ (94.16) wrote:

As soon as I learned about the 20:1 split (through your -2600 points), I red-thumbed it...

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#31) On December 22, 2009 at 10:23 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

OK, It took 6, not 3 weeks as I predicted, but 95 is finally here.

Once again, nice call TSIF (you were just 2 days too early). 

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#32) On December 22, 2009 at 10:24 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

#31) On December 22, 2009 at 10:23 AM, dragonLZ (95.47) wrote:

OK, It took 6, not 3 weeks as I predicted, but 95 is finally here.

Once again, nice call TSIF (you were just 2 days too early). 

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#33) On December 28, 2009 at 2:10 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

TSIF, thanks for giving me very useful tips about the CAPS rules (I didn't know how the accuracy thing works, and how picks in green do not count unless over 5, etc).

Without that knowledge, I'm sure my rating wouldn't yet be back to 95...

p.s. 

Remeber our conversation about VICL? I entered VICL as my CAPS pick 7 days ago. I liked its chart (of course). As you probably know, today, VICL is the leading scorer on the CAPS front page with its 30% jump.

We'll see what happens...

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#34) On December 28, 2009 at 8:04 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

HI Dragon,

 I upthumbed VICL back on Sept 21st, but am still underwater even after today's rebound. BioPharms have a lot of risk/reward with frequent spikes and give backs between testing releases.  I think I'll get this one back in the green someday.

Keep up the good playing!  The balance of when to hold a pick that you got a good entry point on and when to close it is a tough one to call. You do get more "leverage" if you let a runner run that you nabbed at a good entry.  If you at least avoid the rookie mistakes of closing a pick that is close to Zero on either side without careful consideration, then you'll more than compensate for the ones you held too long or closed to soon because fundamental/volume :) / or technical reasons.

I closed several that were between zero and +5 on purpose, because I had no conviction they wouldn't go negative again to stay, but I do so only have heavy consideration. Even some "good" stocks can't beat the S&P when it's on a tear.

I don't have a lot of conviction lately for making long upthumbs.  Seems the market could teeter after New Years if Fund managers and others decide to book some gains. Fundamentally things look pretty good right now, but any selloff may make weaker hands run.

Great job on the climb back. I made at least two climb backs over the last 15 months, (NOT counting the SNS one!).

 TSIF

   

 

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#35) On December 28, 2009 at 9:14 PM, SolarisKing (35.39) wrote:

Well, i'm not climbing as fast as DLZ but i do seem to be consolidating my recent climb into the twenties a little.

With my accuracy climbing to 60%, and a correction 'looming' i feel i could look considerably better in a few months. I've learned how to be more patient before going long, and am not as naive as i was two years ago. And i try to only add a few picks at a time, so i don't get stuck with too much going on.

Some of my picks that i've held for almost a year are turning ok (my short on RYL, SPCH, and PALM) and i believe a lot of my other picks will come around soon.

 I don't know how much of a correction it would take to get me out of my ULTRA predicament. I have about 20 picks that down 20-75 points. I think that some will come pretty easy though.

I seem to be gaining in accuracy on up weeks, and on down weeks, so.  Just between the 'three' of us, i predict i will be in the 50%+ next year. I've examined my portfolio so many times, and i think i could get to zero points by then (i'm -1950, heh) with only a few 7-10% ripples, and if i get to zero then an accuracy above %50 will rate me 50+.

 Oh well. congrats DLZ. Wish me luck.

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#36) On December 29, 2009 at 4:24 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

First of all, thank you guys.

Secondly, Solaris you have a much harder job climbing back than I had. My portfolio / score went down during a very small correction while yours was affected by a major shift in market's direction.

My score shouldn't have gone that much down (from 2500 to 0) in the first place. I can't blame the market for that. It was my love with highly (and I mean HIGHLY) speculative stocks that got me killed.

What happened to you, and what TSIF says happened to him twice, is a major change from bull to bear or vice-versa. 

While I'm happy my rating is back to 95, I can't really say my skill (or time) got me back to that. I was just lucky market continued going up, and my stocks that got killed in November started recovering a little. And as I said in my post above, learning when to bank (and when not to close) a pick helped a little too.

I'm sure next time we see a significant change in market's direction, my portfolio is gonna be killed even more than this time, and at that time, it will probably take months / years for it to recover. 

When TSIF first said "it ain't easy turning an oil tanker here on CAPS" I didn't quite understand what that means (how hard it can get), but seeing what happend to me just during a short and small correction, and analyzing some "older" fools' portfolios, I now know exactly what he meant.

Solaris, Good Luck and I wish you a speedy come-back to 90+ rating.

To both of you, thanks again and Best Wishes to you and yours for 2010! 

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#37) On December 29, 2009 at 4:55 PM, SolarisKing (35.39) wrote:

Thanks, Dragon.

My accuracy hit 60%+ today, for the first time in a looooong time. My accurracy goes up on green days, and my points go up on red days. Those damn Ultras. 

Still, i feel certain that there will be a MAJOR correction coming, in less than two years, and likely much sooner. When it comes i will bank about 1500 points or more and close the majority of my losing ultras. Till then the climb will be slow.

But if i can go from 18 to 28 with my portfolio against me, then i still think i can make it, 'when' the market corrects.

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#38) On December 29, 2009 at 7:05 PM, TMFUltraLong (99.95) wrote:

My score shouldn't have gone that much down (from 2500 to 0) in the first place. I can't blame the market for that. It was my love with highly (and I mean HIGHLY) speculative stocks that got me killed.

Best thing you've ever said....

UltraLong

 

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#39) On December 29, 2009 at 10:58 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

UL, I guess who lives by the sword, dies...

p.s. Those same HS stocks got me back half of my points, and I think they are not done yet.

Good Luck in 2010!

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#40) On January 04, 2010 at 9:15 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Solaris, I see you had a good day today: up 100 points (on an up day!) and your accuracy still at very good 60%. Congratulations!

I moved up a little bit too: I'm at 97 now...

TSIF, Congratulations on getting back into the Top 1%.

p.s.

I decided to change my strategy a little bit: I won't be adding any more stocks to my CAPS portfolio for 1-2 months (I added a ton in Nov. and Dec.), and I will be closing all the positive ones (over 5 points) other than 20-30 stock I consider good long term plays. If market continues going up for another 2-3 weeks or so, I think a lot of my Nov. and Dec. positions will be closed as positive picks by then, which should improve my accuracy...

Good Luck All! 

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#41) On January 04, 2010 at 9:26 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

TSIF, today's SBGI's 15% jump reminded me of our bets? Are we going to take a tally and see who owes whom and how many beers?

Or should we forget those (as market was way too crazy back then) and start new ones?

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#42) On January 05, 2010 at 1:32 AM, SolarisKing (35.39) wrote:

DlZ, What do you think of LPHI? And why?

There is a post on 'the stinky feet' discussion board. Are you aware of Stinky Feet? It's a group account, but you don't have to be anybody special to pick. Just that when you suggest a pick, everybody present has to have no objections. I've been trying to get a stock on their portfolio for months, and haven't suggested the right pick yet, but maybe this is the one. Anyway.

http://caps.fool.com/player/thestinkyfeet.aspx

Of course you know that i came here to brag about my rising rating. Accuracy of 60% for most of this week. Not bad from a low accuracy of less than 50, i think.
   I made green ink for probably 8 out of the last 10 up days, and almost as many of the down days. I'm trying to position myself for a pullback, but stay bullish enough to keep making points when the market is still going up, but close enough to short to switch gears if it comes hard and fast enough.

Right now, i'm 1,700 points in the red, but i feel that one good turn, if i hit it both directions,could get me close to green.

I see you at 97 . . .  +400 today. Good Job.

-solaris

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#43) On January 05, 2010 at 12:43 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

It looks like it's hard to break into the top 2%.

I'm up 180 points today, my accuarcy is up to 60.8% (was at 58 something yesterday), and I'm still at 97 (97.6 instead of yesterday's 97.1).  

However, I'm not complaining... :)

Solaris, I see you are up again today. Have you started using steroids lately or what???? :)

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#44) On January 05, 2010 at 2:40 PM, SolarisKing (35.39) wrote:

Well it sounds silly, but i'm up on green days, and up on red days.

I've learned a little about hedging my positions against eachother, and exiting on swings. 

Still, it's going to take work to fill a hole 1,700 points deep.

Though i will add, . .  i've begun to think of my chart as a response to my strategy changes, and have added steps to my screening.

My chart reminds me of a descending wedge that just bounced off  the 60 day resistance. I wonder if binve would do an elliot wave count on it?. lol

 I'm planning for a long slow bull, with a few swings to let me drop dead weight, with an eventual collapse below SPY 1,000 or less.

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#45) On January 06, 2010 at 1:12 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

With 2,000 points and 63% accuracy, I broke into the top 2% today. Verry happy about it. I must've done somthing right...

DrZ is also performing nicely over here (the players).

Who knows how long is this gonna last...?

Good Luck Everybody!

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#46) On January 06, 2010 at 1:13 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

#45) On January 06, 2010 at 1:12 PM, dragonLZ (98.32) wrote:

With 2,000 points and 63% accuracy, I broke into the top 2% today. Verry happy about it. I must've done somthing right...

DrZ is also performing nicely over here (the players).

Who knows how long is this gonna last...?

Good Luck Everybody!

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#47) On January 06, 2010 at 7:57 PM, SolarisKing (35.39) wrote:

Hey! another 97 points for me!. and on a day the SP was only up .05%. Also my accuracy has been above 60% for most of a week.

Actually, i'm a little worried, and want to drop some picks, but i do believe there is a little more upside to this market. 

Maybe not much though. Carefully. . .. 

 

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#48) On January 07, 2010 at 3:49 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Up another 200 points today, accuracy still at 63%. Now, half a point from the top 1%. 

Thank you again TSIF for teaching me those little tricks and thank you Solaris for your support.

Good Luck to both of you!

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#49) On January 07, 2010 at 3:51 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

#48) On January 07, 2010 at 3:49 PM, dragonLZ (98.45) wrote:

Up another 200 points today, accuracy still at 63%. Getting very close to the top 1% of all the Fools out there. 

Thank you again TSIF for teaching me those little tricks and thank you Solaris for your support.

Good Luck to both of you!

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#50) On January 07, 2010 at 4:53 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Young Grasshopper Dragon is a good student.  This is the time to clean things up as you are doing.  Your accuracy is climbing fast because you have made relatively few picks in your profile.  Try working on a ratio as you close them, it will help you let go of losers, (something I learned too late).  Every 4 picks = about one percent of accuracy, (you have 420 picks). Try closing 5 in the green and one in the red (if you have some you don't believe in anymore). (83%).   Keep in mind that every dog has it's day. I've closed many I thought were dead, but looking back at them, many would have been green if held.  The problem is that many would have gotten WORSE!   Try to let the winners run. 

As you get things cleaned up you can change your ratio to ten winners and one loser (90%) to work your way to number one in a year or so!  :)

You will get some losers through no fault of your own. When a stock gets Delisted you get your last points.  Sometimes this is totally unfair as it's delisted because the SEC pulled the plug and should be worth ZERO.  You end up in the red over the biggest loser!  Such is life sometimes.

Keep at 'em.  (Did you see my pitch on CNO)  ? :)

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#51) On January 07, 2010 at 8:43 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Thanks as always, TSIF.

Right now, I'm not planning on closing any losing picks. I don't have any I'm afraid of. I might lose some more points on my red-thumb picks, but I don't expect any major losses through those. 

Majority of my losing green-thumb picks are coming back, and I will be closing them as they cross into the positive (+5 points) teritory. Of course, other than the picks I strongly believe are big long term winners.

I also won't be adding any picks until my accuracy gets up to 70% or so (even though I'm sooooo tempted right now). By that time, I also expect to have 3,000 points, which I think will get me into the top 1 %.

So that's the plan, but of course I need Mr. Market to be my friend. (Right now, my song for the Mr. M is: Don't build me up buttercup baby just to let me down...)  

Thanks again, and Good Luck!

Now, I'm going to take a look at your CNO pitch...

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#52) On January 07, 2010 at 9:42 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Solaris, sorry I forgot to answer your question about LPHI.

First of all, never heard of them (which doesn't mean anything, but I'm kinda surprised).

Secondly, based on my eye-balling method, it's not my kind of a stock. A little bit boring. The chart is not too ugly, but it doesn't scream "I'm gonna explode" or anything like that. Boring, definitely.

What I like is 50% insider ownership, and 300% upward move since 2006. Only 15 mil shares is nice too, but means high volatility - not for somebody who checks his stocks on a daily basis.

Sorry, I couldn't be more helpful.

Good Luck!

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#53) On January 19, 2010 at 11:20 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Top 1% once again...

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#54) On January 19, 2010 at 11:59 AM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

#53) On January 19, 2010 at 11:20 AM, dragonLZ (99.01) wrote:

Top 1% once again...

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#55) On January 19, 2010 at 6:33 PM, SolarisKing (35.39) wrote:

You are older and wiser, and ready to pick for AllStarPortfolio (if you so care to). Cogratulations.

MY own score is as bad as it's been since we last talked. Lost 87 points today, and accuracy back below 60%. Still, i think i will bounce some soon.

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#56) On March 29, 2010 at 9:34 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

TSIF, I don't know if you noticed through the favorites alert that last night I picked 2 chinese stocks: YZC and CYD. As I entered 8 new picks, but had only 6 available picks, 2 of them didn't "open" for me. One of the 2, CYD was up 20% today. Bummer.

I know you hate Talbots, but I think its charts is a beauty...

Good Luck!

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#57) On March 29, 2010 at 9:37 PM, dragonLZ (99.59) wrote:

Solaris, thank you for the invitation. I'll start thinking about my two picks.

Good Luck!

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