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portefeuille (99.57)

DSCO

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December 15, 2010 – Comments (15)

I think it might again be a good time to buy a few DSCO shares. See this post by zzlangerhans.

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GBMB update

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DSCO - Discovery Labs at 0.17 is simply the best risk/benefit ratio I can recall seeing since I began analyzing these companies four years ago. Most biotechs with a market cap under 50M are dubious or outright scam outfits with highly speculative pipelines or drug candidates that have failed late stage trials. However, there seems to be little argument regarding the efficacy or utility of Discovery's liquid surfactant Surfaxin. What has taken the share price deep into all-time lows is the repeated failure of the company to get Surfaxin approved by the FDA over the last five years. Time and again the share price has risen only to be slapped down after the FDA issued Complete Response after Complete Response, citing complicated issues related to manufacturing and controls. Meanwhile, the rest of the pipeline has struggled and the company has diluted again and again to balloon the share count to 200 million. In short, the stock deserves to be ailing. But the company unquestionably has the cash to submit Surfaxin for approval once again in Q1 2011 and await yet another FDA response, likely in Q3. Despite the exhaustion and capitulation that has brought the share price so low, there is a high likelihood that the share price will rise dramatically as investors start to wonder if maybe, just maybe, the company got it right this time. After swearing off buying more shares at 50000, I doubled down yet again at 0.2 only to see another gap down on word of Nasdaq delisting. Is all the bad news in before we get to the catalyst? I'm probably the wrong person to ask, down $12000 and counting. And when I say that the risk/benefit ratio looks very good, that doesn't mean that the risk isn't very high. In this deep water you might find some beautiful trinkets, but be prepared for a bad case of the bends. 

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I currently have 49000 DSCO shares in my portfolio (see comment #75 here).

15 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On December 15, 2010 at 10:55 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

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#2) On December 15, 2010 at 11:00 AM, Momentum21 (97.26) wrote:

Wow...I like it...D-I-S-C-O 

 

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#3) On December 16, 2010 at 8:03 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

NIH Awards Discovery Labs Fast Track SBIR Grant to Support Development of Aerosolized KL4 Surfactant

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#4) On December 16, 2010 at 8:21 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

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15 Biotech Stock Predictions for 2011

By Adam Feuerstein 12/15/10 - 07:02 AM EST

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12. Discovery Labs(DSCO_) finally -- finally! -- receives FDA approval for Surfaxin.

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#5) On December 16, 2010 at 8:29 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

I just added to my position. Now 60000 DSCO shares in my portfolio with break-even of around 0.187 USD.

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#6) On December 16, 2010 at 10:08 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

Now 100000 DSCO shares in my portfolio with break-even of around 0.193 USD.

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#7) On December 17, 2010 at 9:46 AM, Valyooo (99.60) wrote:

Whats your target price for dsco?

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#8) On December 17, 2010 at 9:51 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

#7 I don't have a target price.

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#9) On December 17, 2010 at 4:04 PM, Valyooo (99.60) wrote:

What would make you want to sell dsco?  What trendlines/ratios are you using to judge the value of this catalyst?

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#10) On December 17, 2010 at 5:42 PM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

#9 I do not look at any trendlines or ratios. zzlangerhans has put the reasons for buying/holding DSCO shares quite nicely. I really don't have anything to add.

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#11) On December 23, 2010 at 4:01 PM, Momentum21 (97.26) wrote:

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#12) On December 27, 2010 at 9:49 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

It might be a good idea to sell a few DSCO shares if you have any.

DSCO is currently at around 0.2876 USD.

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#13) On December 28, 2010 at 5:17 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

Discovery Labs Announces Reverse Stock Split

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#14) On January 03, 2011 at 9:54 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

#12 Okay, time to buy back those shares. DSCOD is currently at around 3.23 USD (≈ 0.217 USD pre-split).

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#15) On January 03, 2011 at 9:57 AM, portefeuille (99.57) wrote:

≈ 0.217

≈ 0.215

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