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portefeuille (99.66)

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November 24, 2009 – Comments (16)

16 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On November 24, 2009 at 6:29 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

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Ifo Business Climate Germany

Ifo Business Survey November 2009

Further Brightening of the Ifo Business Climate

Results of the November 2009 Ifo Business Survey

The Ifo Business Climate for industry and trade in Germany clearly improved again in November. The firms are again not quite so dissatisfied with their current business situation. Also their view of the business outlook in the coming six months is more favourable than in October. The positive and negative business expectations now balance out. The German economy continues on the road to recovery.

In manufacturing the business climate has clearly brightened. The current business situation for manufacturers is noticeably less unfavourable than in October. Their assessments of the six-month business outlook are once again positive. They have also given more positive appraisals of their export opportunities. Their personnel plans are less strongly geared to staff reductions than before.

In wholesaling and retailing the business climate index has likewise improved. In both distribution sectors the survey participants are less critical with regard to developments in the coming six months. Retailers have also appraised their current business situation somewhat more favourably. In wholesaling the business situation remains largely unchanged in November.

In construction the business climate index has fallen. Although the firms have assessed their current business situation similarly as in October, they have expressed much more reserve regarding their business outlook.

Hans-Werner Sinn

President of the Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

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(from here

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#2) On November 24, 2009 at 6:35 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

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Ifo Business Climate in the German Services Sector

Results of the November 2009 Ifo Business Survey

Ifo Business Climate Indicator in the Services Falls

The Ifo Business Climate in the German service sector has worsened slightly in November. According to the survey responses, the current business situation is more unfavourable than in October. However, with regard to the six-month business outlook, the firms are more confident, their business expectations having worsened in the previous month. When it comes to hiring new staff, the service providers intend to exercise more caution than previously.

Hans-Werner Sinn, 
President of the Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

 

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(from here)

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#3) On November 24, 2009 at 6:39 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

"business climate" = 0.5 * ("assessment of business situation" + "business expectations")

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#4) On November 24, 2009 at 6:41 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

Ifo Business Climate Germany - Results of the November 2009 Ifo Business Survey (24 Nov. 2009) (pdf)

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#5) On November 24, 2009 at 6:45 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:



enlarge

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#6) On November 24, 2009 at 6:48 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

Legend: The Ifo Business Climate Index is based on ca. 7,000 monthly survey responses of firms in manufacturing, construction, wholesaling and retailing. The firms are asked to give their assessments of the current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. They can characterise their situation as “good”, “satisfactorily” or “poor” and their business expectations for the next six months as “more favourable”, “unchanged” or “more unfavourable”. The balance value of the current business situation is the difference of the percentages of the responses “good” and “poor”; the balance value of the expectations is the difference of the percentages of the responses “more favourable” and “more unfavourable”. The business climate is a transformed mean of the balances of the business situation and the expectations. For calculating the index values the transformed balances are all normalised to the average of the year 2000.

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#7) On November 24, 2009 at 9:30 AM, drgroup (69.07) wrote:

portefeuille... I am not trying to be smart, but how do you see this data as a comparison to the US economy?

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#8) On November 24, 2009 at 9:30 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

I have requested two stocks for the "caps" game.

Vivendi and Implats.

http://www.vivendi.com/

http://www.implats.co.za/

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#9) On November 24, 2009 at 9:35 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

There are similar indices for other countries/regions. I think they currently show "similar readings".

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#10) On November 24, 2009 at 10:00 AM, drgroup (69.07) wrote:

 I think they currently show "similar readings

Why do you think they show similar readings? Either they do or they don't.

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#11) On November 24, 2009 at 10:04 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

too lazy to look them up.

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#12) On November 24, 2009 at 10:28 AM, drgroup (69.07) wrote:

touche, me too.

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#13) On November 25, 2009 at 5:42 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

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#14) On November 25, 2009 at 5:46 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

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#15) On November 25, 2009 at 5:48 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

 

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#16) On November 26, 2009 at 5:25 AM, portefeuille (99.66) wrote:

some "caps" game "categories" my players appear to be doing alright in ...

("tag", number of stocks in the category, "ranks")

Large Cap 391
2,5
Mid Cap 607
3,4,5
Defensive >1000
3,5
Growth >1000
2,4
Aggressive Growth 865
1,2
Information Technology >1000
2,3,5
Communications Equipment 150
2,3
Computers and Peripherals 76
4
Healthcare 771
3
Biotechnology 244
2
Capital Markets 209
2,3,4
Foreign Regional Banks
1,2,5
United Kingdom 44
1,4
Germany 25
1
Australia 21
1
Spain 12
1,4,5
Switzerland 8
1,2,3,4,5

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