Use access key #2 to skip to page content.

portefeuille (99.65)

Ellipsis

Recs

20

January 17, 2010 – Comments (30)

here is a little portfolio I think should do alright. only posting this the test my "predictive power", hehe ...

a recent list of my "current favourites" can be found here.

ticker "number of shares/contracts" "current price" "current value"

AIXG 65 31.27 2032.55
ATPG 170 17.50 2975.00
BAS.DE 30 59.77 1793.10
BPSG 400 4.48 1792.00
CRME 300 5.61 1683.00
EEM 60 41.95 2517.00
EMC 200 17.94 3588.00
EWH 90 15.71 1413.90
EWO 60 21.27 1276.20
IBB 30 84.21 2526.30
INP 30 65.30 1959.00
KSB3.DE 2 614.77 1229.54
LXRX 600 2.08 1248.00
REP 55 26.54 1459.70
RSX 50 33.81 1690.50
SA 45 26.00 1170.00
SQNM 400 4.29 1716.00
UCG.MI 550 3.23 1776.50
VOW3.DE 17 89.21 1516.57
VUEAE 100 0.25 2500.00

sum of "current values" 37862.86.

VUEAE are call options (January 2011, $25) on EMC.

30 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On January 17, 2010 at 7:08 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

So basically I think that "the stock markets" of Austria,Hong Kong / China, India and Russia, biotech stocks and my darling EMC should do alright. I will probably give a performance update "towards the end of the year" but should that portfolio do extremely well I will probably not be able to spare you from earlier updates.

Report this comment
#2) On January 17, 2010 at 7:36 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

for those interested but too lazy to look up the tickers.

Aixtron, ATP Oil & Gas, BASF, Broadpoint Gleacher, Cardiome, iShares MSCI Emerging Markets, EMC, iShares MSCI Hong Kong, iShares MSCI Austria, iShares NASDAQ Biotechnology, iPath MSCI India, KSB preferred, Lexicon, Repsol YPF, Market Vectors Russia, Seabridge Gold, Sequenom, UniCredit, Volkswagen preferred. 

Report this comment
#3) On January 17, 2010 at 7:38 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

and yes, Austria, not Australia.

and for some of our friends in the USA. no, that is not the same country, hehe ...

Report this comment
#4) On January 17, 2010 at 7:40 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

okay, very few will think it is the same country. the one I am talking about is the one with fewer crocodiles ...

Report this comment
#5) On January 17, 2010 at 7:44 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

"predictive power"

"predicting prowess"

 

Report this comment
#6) On January 17, 2010 at 8:24 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

the test

to test

Report this comment
#7) On January 17, 2010 at 9:21 AM, BravoBevo (99.97) wrote:

G'morning mate (just kidding), i hope that you are enjoying a fabulous Sunday.

Report this comment
#8) On January 17, 2010 at 10:16 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

A nice way of getting some biopharma exposure is Qiagen (QGEN) by the way. See this presentation (pdf), the webcast is here.

Report this comment
#9) On January 17, 2010 at 11:00 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

okay, throw in 70 shares of QGEN and 300 shares of EXAS bringing the sum to around 40724.46 USD (around 28322.18 EUR).

Report this comment
#10) On January 17, 2010 at 11:54 AM, TMFJake (44.10) wrote:

I think this portfolio will have both predictive power and prowess.  :)

Report this comment
#11) On January 17, 2010 at 1:40 PM, GeneralDemon (< 20) wrote:

Port,

Why is your darling EMC and not VMW?

No AFFY?

Report this comment
#12) On January 17, 2010 at 2:04 PM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

Why is your darling EMC and not VMW?

Well, I think the "non-VMware part" of EMC is pretty cheap.

No AFFY?

Yes, no AFFY. 

Report this comment
#13) On January 17, 2010 at 4:04 PM, Option1307 (29.96) wrote:

Thanks for the ideas, there are some good ones here. I always enjoy these "updates". Keep them coming!

Report this comment
#14) On January 18, 2010 at 1:49 AM, APJ4RealHoldings (33.54) wrote:

Interesting, I'll look into your picks.

 

I am short AIXG, feels too hot, almost feels like most people expect them & their competitors to be THE future of tech...which they are/will be, but i feel these valuations justify a scenario of a future world void of competition & competing new intellectual properties.

Report this comment
#15) On January 18, 2010 at 5:26 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

I have written something about Aixtron and other "LED stocks" here.

Report this comment
#16) On January 20, 2010 at 11:06 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

You might want to consider buying some LXRX shares today. They are currently at around $2.35.

Report this comment
#17) On January 20, 2010 at 2:33 PM, TigerPackFund (< 20) wrote:

Amazing action today in CAPS score changes, and you can see who has fully prepared their players for a true sell-off in the stock market.  Only 4 of the Top 100 portfolios/members are up more than 200 points today. 

In terms of a survey of the top performing minds, only 4% will witness sharply higher CAPS ratings with the sell-off.  Incredible bullishness evident on CAPS right now, not a good sign for the market AT ALL!!!

-TigerPack

Report this comment
#18) On January 20, 2010 at 3:36 PM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

yes, I noticed that as well. tigerpackfund is doing great thanks to your "hedges" ...

Report this comment
#19) On January 21, 2010 at 5:09 PM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

Phase 2 Trial of LX4211 Demonstrates Significant and Rapid Improvements in Multiple Parameters in Type 2 Diabetic Patients

Exact Sciences Finds its Mojo

Report this comment
#20) On January 21, 2010 at 5:27 PM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

Blood Test Spots Colon Cancer, Polyps

Report this comment
#21) On January 21, 2010 at 5:59 PM, TigerPackFund (< 20) wrote:

portefeuille-

Only 5 of Top 100 players gained better than 200 points today, and the average was something like -300!!!

To say that this decline is catching people with their pants down, may be a little too kind.  Major bloodshed and real money losses may be just starting for the average investor and trader here!!!

Gold and silver look like they are collapsing as we speak in price, and another $20US an ounce or so in gold will put it at a multi-month low, where we could see real panic selling come into play.  Just as I forewarned on GV's website a few days ago, things could unravel quite quickly in the precious metals markets that have become heavily tilted toward unsubstantiated and mindless bullishness the last 3-6 months.

That Black Swan guy might end up being correct, after all, in calling for a massive decline in gold soon.

What's up with SA, is a takeover announcement coming, finally?  I wonder if a gold price collapse would scuttle the deal?

Report this comment
#22) On January 22, 2010 at 12:56 PM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

What's up with SA, is a takeover announcement coming, finally?

http://www.thestreet.com/video/10662446/#62124590001

Report this comment
#23) On January 22, 2010 at 10:59 PM, TigerPack1 (97.22) wrote:

9 out of Top 100 were up more than 200 points in CAPS today.  It appears some have chosen more bearish positions the last 48 hours, while more permabears are popping into the Top 100 list, replacing falling bulls.

I cannot remember so many pieces of bad news hitting the wires for the stock market to digest over a 24-48 period.  I still haven't even read a good story on the actual proposals by Obama to re-regulate banks and brokers.  Bernanke in trouble, Barney Frank wants to change how the housing mortgage market works, sprinkle on some new taxes on banks that could stall lending, China is tightening monetary policy dramatically, etc. etc.

We haven't even started debating how to slash $500 billion from the federal budget...but that will have to start soon!  I may stay hidden in the forest until the smoke clears...as it looks like the fire is just getting started!

Report this comment
#24) On January 23, 2010 at 5:11 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

9 out of Top 100 were up more than 200 points in CAPS today.  It appears some have chosen more bearish positions the last 48 hours, while more permabears are popping into the Top 100 list, replacing falling bulls.

The "score points top list" is "relatively stable".

 

If you take out bravobevo who is still playing his low volume game this is a comparison of the players in the "top 5", hehe ...

Report this comment
#25) On January 24, 2010 at 8:46 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

some interesting numbers.

Weekly Earnings – October 9, 2009

Weekly S&P Earnings Packet, January 15, 2010

Weekly S&P Earnings Packet, January 22, 2010

also interesting ("regression to the mean" for earnings?).

Financial Physics Presentation.pdf 

 

Report this comment
#26) On January 26, 2010 at 8:18 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

Ifo Business Climate Germany, Results of the Ifo Business Survey for January 2010 (pdf)

---------------------

Further Brightening of the Ifo Business Climate

Results of the January 2010 Ifo Business Survey

The Ifo Business Climate for industry and trade in Germany brightened once again in January. The current business situation of the firms has further improved. With regard to the business outlook for the coming half year the surveyed firms are more confident than before. The economic recovery continues at the beginning of the New Year.

In manufacturing the business climate index has risen noticeably. For the eighth time in succession, the firms have assessed their business situation as less unfavourable. Their business expectations have also brightened. For their export business they anticipate a clear revival. Although the utilisation of machinery and equipment is still below average, the rate is higher than three months ago. The personnel plans of the manufacturing firms are still geared to some staff reductions.

In retailing a nearly unchanged business situation has been reported, with retailers somewhat more reserved regarding the six-month outlook than in December. As a result, the business climate in retailing remains largely unchanged.

The business climate in wholesaling has brightened further. The survey participants are once again more satisfied with their business situation. They are also less critical regarding business development in the coming half year.

In construction the business climate index has risen strongly. Although the surveyed contractors have given slightly more unfavourable assessments of their current business situation than in December, they are clearly less sceptical regarding business in the near future. Currently, however, many firms are complaining about the weather-related constraints on construction activity.

Hans-Werner Sinn
President of the Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

--------------------- 

 



enlarge

 



enlarge

 



enlarge

Report this comment
#27) On February 17, 2010 at 12:50 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

two late additions to my little portfolio above.

10 ZHZ110122C00030000 1.70 1700.00
4 ZHZ110122C00020000 4.00 1600.00

ZHZ110122C00030000 are call options (January 2011, $30) on ATPG,
ZHZ110122C00020000 are call options (January 2011, $20) on ATPG.


 

Report this comment
#28) On February 17, 2010 at 12:58 AM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

don't buy/sell options if you don't know how they work. the prices quoted in comment #27 above are simply the "ask prices" at the close on 02/16/10 and not suggestions for a buy limit.

Report this comment
#29) On March 15, 2010 at 5:16 PM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

add 250 SQNM ($6.68).

Report this comment
#30) On April 15, 2010 at 12:16 PM, portefeuille (99.65) wrote:

continued here.

Report this comment

Featured Broker Partners


Advertisement