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Varchild2008 (84.20)

(F) Ford sales will plunge....oOooOoOOo...Scary



September 01, 2009 – Comments (3) | RELATED TICKERS: DPS

(F) Ford Sales will that cash for clunkers is over.....Analysts are SMS-ing their clients all about it..

Read all about.. it....  Take away Cash for Clunkers an FORD sells less cars....less trucks....less Escapes.... OoooOooOOoOO

Halloween special!!!   FORD not as good as when $4,500 dollars are thrown at it!!!!  MY GOD!!! OH CRAP!!!!  Whatever shall I do>????? OOooOoOOoOoOO

Sorry.. I don't care about America's economy...

I don't care about September, October, November, December Car Sales for any company on the planet.. period.... They bore me already just thinking about em.... I do not care...

The only thing I care about is this:

1)  2010 car sales beating SLIGHTLY  2009 sales figures.... month over month.

2)  A Good Surge of support in (F) Ford share price will automatically happen  IF...Conservatives that want to do the right thing get elected to replace Liberals that just want to Tax and Spend.

Imagine election day and by some MIRACLE... The Conservatives remove 50 seats in the House of Representatives??? Imagine that...  That sure would jolt the market a bit???

Get enough conservatives in Congress and we can push OBAMA around quite a bit to support Conservatism or face being a "Sitting Duck" till 2012.  Obama won't want to be a sitting duck and he'll be forced to compromise with the conservatives to get stuff done.

Another thing on my mind...  (DPS)...  Yeah.. I am euphoric on that thing IN SPITE OF the ridiculous SPOOK Stories about Soda Pop taxation.

Does anyone here think that SODA POP tax hikes are things that WON'T be reversed if it 2013 we have a Conservative President that beats Obama?  Should that happen.. sure.. I can expect a total REMOVAL of any such silly SODA Tax.

I also don't care about the tax because companys like KO, PEP, DPS, COTT, etc..  Have DIET versions of drinks that have removed almost entirely...sometimes....entirely.... SUGAR content.

My entire Bottle of Snapple DIET  Peach.....  Just 2 or 3 grams of sugar... that's it....entire bottle.

So... go ahead... let DPS plunge to $19.00 again out of FEAR and PANIC and HALLOWEEN SPOOK STORIES over a CAMP FIRE on  SODA Taxation.... Let it....

I'll seriously dump all of my stocks PERIOD... and put all of my money into DPS should this thing go as low as $19.00.... on or before December 31st 2009.

3 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On September 01, 2009 at 9:53 PM, ChrisGraley (28.68) wrote:

Varichild, I'm more of a conservative myself, but you have to face some reality here. I just sold Ford in real life because I see the writing on the wall. Ford made me a bundle already because I bought them at a time that nobody wanted an American car stock. The one sure thing that the cash for clunkers program did was to make sure that the US market will be dried up for new cars for the next couple of years. It also insured that the used car market will have some good deals, because we extended new car debt to people that shouldn't have it. Those cars will be reposessed and sold cheaply. We are looking at an inflationary environment, which doesn't bode well for the price of oil. I am willing to wait for 6 months or so for a long term holding, but if I think it will take longer than that, I'll wait for a better buy-in. Even though Ford is re-shaping itself, currently it makes it's living on Explorers and F-150's. When I see the environment change to the point that those purchases make sense again, then I'll buy back in. I like the stock and the management, but it's hard to sell kites on the moon.

As far as the soda tax, I compare that to the tobacco taxes. It won't have enough of an effect for the short term. When it does have an effect, branding will take the market share. Although Snapple has a good beverage, they get lost in the available choices at the local 7-11. Coke and Pepsi can sustain a market loss a lot longer for a brand such as Vitamin Water than Dr Pepper can for Snapple.

Making money has nothing to do with agreeing with change, and everything to do with understanding it.

I agree with your opinions, but opinions won't make either of us any moneyin the short term.

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#2) On September 02, 2009 at 10:49 AM, Varchild2008 (84.20) wrote:

I'm not in it for the short term.

Although I have dumped some stocks today that have failed to do anything but go sideways all year on me.

Nonetheless... (F) Ford and (DPS) aren't something I will dump when they have made a lot of cash for me already and I expect they will continue to do well.

I think those who are dumping their Ford Stake today are going to be hating themselves very soon.

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#3) On September 02, 2009 at 8:51 PM, ChrisGraley (28.68) wrote:

Long term, you can't go wrong with Ford.

DPS will still be around, but I just don't see the long term growth potential in such a competitive maket. An acquisition or 2 could change my opinion though.


I wish you luck with both picks, but I sold F at $7.50 and plan on buying again at just under $5.

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