TMFMmbop (96.61)

32 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On May 13, 2009 at 3:51 PM, TMFMmbop (96.61) wrote:

Seriously, no trash talking yet? C'mon people!

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#2) On May 13, 2009 at 11:16 PM, vitrified (99.18) wrote:

You must always have between 1 and 8 picks to be eligible.

Are we limited to a maximum of 8 stocks?

 

 

 

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#3) On May 14, 2009 at 8:05 AM, TMFMmbop (96.61) wrote:

No, there should be no upside limit.

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#4) On May 14, 2009 at 10:17 AM, bigroosterdaddy (75.52) wrote:

where's the idea?

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#5) On May 14, 2009 at 11:05 AM, bigroosterdaddy (75.52) wrote:

why can't i add picks to my contest?

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#6) On May 14, 2009 at 11:18 AM, TMFMmbop (96.61) wrote:

The contest just became live. Here's the first idea: http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=194811&t=01000000000214846910

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#7) On May 14, 2009 at 2:01 PM, ETFTRACKER (67.89) wrote:

Ok, so I agreed with the first idea.  After giving it a good look over, I agreed that there are lots of buys vs. sells.  I think that eventually, soon perhaps, that there will be a big pull back and the stock will head southeast. I expect a gap to occur. 

I am rather new to reading candle graphs.  I am testing out my new way of predicting stocks and ETF's using the candle graph.  If I have any good luck with it, I "might"  . . . ohh I dunno . . .

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#8) On May 14, 2009 at 2:32 PM, FleaBagger (34.02) wrote:

You should bring the Champion of the World along with you on the next Global Gains trip after the end of the contest.

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#9) On May 14, 2009 at 4:35 PM, bigroosterdaddy (75.52) wrote:

can we add picks after the contest has started? how?

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#10) On May 15, 2009 at 10:30 AM, IBDvalueinvestin (99.59) wrote:

Champion of the World for one day so far.

It feels nice,,

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#11) On May 15, 2009 at 6:36 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Occasionally I'm confused by some of the prize awards, but the rules are usually pretty clear. In this case, I think I understand the prizes, but not the rules.

from the rules:

1. ENTRY: No purchase necessary to enter or win. The contest will begin scoring on 5/14/2009 and end scoring on 5/14/2010. The entry deadline for the contest is 5/13/2009. For each quarter a player is active in the contest, they must: (i) pick one stock from Tim Hanson's Official Contest Recommendations: and (ii) one stock from the International Stocks tag. Picks may be outperform or underperform. Picks cannot be ended.

First question:  I assume you mean the entry deadline is 5/13/2010 not 2010?

Second question:  It would appear that we need to pick ONE stock each quarter fom the recommendations list and one each quarter with an international stock tag.  The total stocks that would be picked would be 8.

YET you indicated above in comment # 3 that we can have as many picks as we want.  Why would the rules say you must have from 1 to 8, (maximum?) and since you can't close any then 8 would be it?

Do we pick two each quarter, or can we burn all 8 picks anytime we want at long as half are from the list and have are global picks?

Please clarify?  Sorry if it is clear to everyone else and I'm the one causing confusion. It looks like some players have already made 8 picks and not all look to be international?

TSIF 

 

 

 

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#12) On May 15, 2009 at 8:30 PM, TMFMmbop (96.61) wrote:

Sorry for the confusion. Here are some answers...

You can enter up until the end of the contest.
You can pick as many stocks as you like, but have to at least one of ours and one of yours each quarter.
There are some non-international picks in there. Those will be scrubbed.
I'd love to take the winner on the next trip; if 1,000 join Global Gains as a result of this I just might have the budget to make that happen. :-)

Tim

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#13) On May 16, 2009 at 2:16 AM, BravoBevo (99.97) wrote:

Tim:  I'm still trying to understand the rules. I think I'm confused like tsif. 

The official rules say:  "You must always have between 1 and 8 picks to be eligible" but you say "you can pick everything our team pitches and any international stock ideas you have on your own."  And you say:  "No, there should be no upside limit."  According to what you say, someone might have more than 8 picks but then according to the official rules that Fool would not be between 1 and 8 picks and would be, presumably, ineligible.

Comment #11 from here says:  "Picks cannot be ended." and "Once rated, these picks cannot be ended."

Some of the players already have picked 8.  If there is a limit of 8, does that mean that they are ineligible because they cannot pick 2 next quarter, 2 in the 3rd quarter and 2 more in the last quarter?  It seems (1) to stay within the maximum 8 eligibility, and (2) to be able to select two picks each quarter, then a player must be careful not to pick more than 2 in any single quarter. 

I guess that the scoring is along Caps general rules of 2/3rds based upon score and 1/3rd is based upon accuracy.  Is this correct? 

 

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#14) On May 16, 2009 at 11:29 AM, TMFMmbop (96.61) wrote:

Some of the players already have picked 8.  If there is a limit of 8

There shouldn't be a cap in place. If there is, it will get removed next week.

I guess that the scoring is along Caps general rules of 2/3rds based upon score and 1/3rd is based upon accuracy.  Is this correct?

Yes, the scoring/rating system is the same in this contest as it is in CAPS proper.

Tim

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#15) On May 16, 2009 at 12:54 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

So Tim, I can pick each and everyone of your pitched picks, 52 over the life of the contest. (Although the last 2-3 will only have a few weeks of run time as a pick before the contest ends. I assume the 200 pick limit is in play?

Your system will block me picking anything that is not a global gains pick or an international pick similar to how Tarped Banks worked?

You will take me to China with you if I can get Dareto to get 1,000 plus of his hands in play during the course of the year and I can tie Bravo up somewhere where he can't play?

Thanks!

 

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#16) On May 16, 2009 at 5:52 PM, PayshnzGrasHpr (73.31) wrote:

I was surprised to see that PLD (Prologis) and RBS (Royal Bank of Scotland) are not in the International tag list.   Is there a reason for that??

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#17) On May 16, 2009 at 6:54 PM, PayshnzGrasHpr (73.31) wrote:

Oops!  My bad.  I just discovered that PLD has its home office in the USA.   That would explain why it's not in the International list I suppose.  (Sigh)

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#18) On May 17, 2009 at 11:42 AM, PayshnzGrasHpr (73.31) wrote:

Should I assume the following:

1. The contents of the Int’l Stocks list can and probably will increase during the coming year.

2. I can at any time during the coming year submit a new symbol to be added to the Int’l Stocks list.

3. Current members of the Int’l Stocks list will continue to be on the list during the coming year.

    Question:  Under what conditions would a stock be removed from the list?  

                    How will removal from the list affect a contestant’s selection of that stock and the count of stocks he has selected?

4. Contestants will be notified (via alert??) of any changes (additions and deletions) made to the Int’l Stock list.

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#19) On May 17, 2009 at 11:52 AM, PayshnzGrasHpr (73.31) wrote:

Each Thursday a new “idea” will be posted.   At the present, I go to comment #6 of the TMFMmbop blog to review idea #1.   In the future will there be a standard location that I can go to in order to review an “idea”, or must I search for it amongst the comments on the blog?

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#20) On May 17, 2009 at 1:55 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Are International ETF's and/or mutual funds eligible to be selected?

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#21) On May 18, 2009 at 6:02 PM, TMFMmbop (96.61) wrote:

The ideas will all be posted Thursday mornings on my blog proper. The link for that blog is here: http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewBlog.aspx?t=01000000000214846910

There's also a link to "Tim's blog" at the top of the contest page.

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#22) On May 18, 2009 at 9:12 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Are International ETF's and/or mutual funds eligible to be selected?

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#23) On May 20, 2009 at 1:08 PM, bigroosterdaddy (75.52) wrote:

about 25% of my picks are showing no data. such as start price and score info.  well they are showing data all zeros is this normal?

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#24) On May 20, 2009 at 1:17 PM, TMFMmbop (96.61) wrote:

Yes, you can pick country ETFs.

Not sure why some picks didn't register start prices. We're looking into it.

Tim

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#25) On May 21, 2009 at 12:59 PM, vitrified (99.18) wrote:

There are some non-international picks in there. Those will be scrubbed.

This confuses me.  When I first entered my picks, I just assumed that I needed to pick froeign stocks, which is what I did for my first 8 picks.  Then when others' picks came out, I saw lots of American-based companies, so I went back and looked at the rules and saw that just one pick need be international and one need be from your list; there didn't appear to be any restriction on on the other picks, so I picked a combination of US and foreign stocks.

Though your comment quoted above leaves me wondering whether you interpreted the rules differently.  Also a lot of foreign stocks that I liked were not tagged international; some I submitted for tagging. 

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#26) On May 27, 2009 at 10:12 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Just to clarify one more time:

1. WE can have up to 100 picks.  No requirement to pick that many, just our upper bound over the next 50 weeks.

2. Picks will last until the end of the contest, (roughly one year from now).  WE cannot close any picks.

3. MOST Important:  Each of the picks must come from your suggestions (you will suggest one per week, for a total of 52). WE must pick at least one of your picks each quarter to be eligible for the prizes, so we should not pick all 100 picks at this time.  AND

All remaining picks, (at least one per quarter) will be international (Up to 96), with at least one per quarter, must be INTERNATIONAL picks.

We can pick more of your weekly suggestions, but must pick at least one per quarter.

I still see a lot of picks made todate that are not international on peoples lists, such as PALM. 

Did I mis-understand that all picks must be international, (all 100, if we chose to max out)????

Also, will same rules apply as far as dividends?  At least one of my stock picks, that I have in BOTH my regular profile and in my Champion of the World had a dividend, it did register in my regular portfolio, but not the Champion on the world. 

Thanks!

Thanks,

TSIF

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#27) On June 02, 2009 at 2:21 PM, caidencollett07 (29.64) wrote:

What is up with half of the people in the contest having picks like C, BAC, and many other non international stocks.  I understand that they are international players but are they eligible for this contest.  I have only chosen stocks from international tag and the blog so I am ok.  Are the others automatically disqualified?

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#28) On June 02, 2009 at 6:41 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

I agree Caiden.  When they went from 8 stock in the contest. One per quarter from the Tim's Global gain Thursday suggestions and one per quarter that must be international to 100 stocks, I assumed it scaled accordingly.  You could pick more of the global gains pitches that were weekly, not have to sit bored week by week  trying to see which of the 13 quarterly picks you wanted to use, but could use multiples, and you could play around with other internationals.

 I was learning a lot about international stocks and 100 made it interesting to time picks, leave room for more of Tim's plays, leave room for more internatoinal each quarter to meet the guidelines of one at least one per quarter etc.

Now I see that people not only have pure US plays, which I suppose now that the rules went from 8 to 100 and the rules are still written that you need one international per quarter, I could see some room for interpretation that US are legal, but I didn't see it that way from the begining and I don't now. Some have ULTRA ETF's based on US indices.

Some have maxed their 100 picks, so it would seem they can't pick from Tim's suggestions on quarter 2,3,or 4.

Kinda spoiling the fun.  Tim's away on his world tour, but still blogging. 

I like the 100 picks, but if it's not confined to the Global Gains choices and others from international indexes, then I guess I won't be Champion of the world, because it's much harder to learn about other countries, governments, currencies, risks, industries, etc on international companies and while I think I'll trounce the S&P over the year, I would do better picking ETF's and US stocks!  Time to bail.

So much for learning some international flavor while making the fun stretch for a whole year.  SO I'm with hyou Caiden, but apparently we are out numbered and under guided, and now way behind in points with time decay going against us.

Good luck.

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#29) On June 02, 2009 at 7:46 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

P.S. Just in case some folks weren't aware, there is already a great game that exists where you can pick anything you want and be champion of the world!  It's called CAP's.

Of course you have to get by the players with multiple profiles, who have a pretty good moat, but you can start some extra yourself!  :)  

I like the contests because everybody starts at ZERO, they are educational, and help me with my investing and CAP's player picks.  I'm sharing what I learn on CAP's and the International Contest with both profiles.  But the great thing is I can close them in the CAP's world when they run their course!  :)

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#30) On July 31, 2009 at 2:01 PM, star21buck (< 20) wrote:

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#31) On July 31, 2009 at 2:02 PM, star21buck (< 20) wrote:

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Greening thru Bio-Mass--BP and Verenium Corporation (Nasdaq: VRNM) today announced

 that its 50-50 joint venture company will operate under the name Vercipia Biofuels, and plan

 

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#32) On January 05, 2010 at 4:54 PM, GundersonGroup (44.35) wrote:

Tim,

 

Would it be possible for Motley Fool to recalc contestants performance and publish the changes using either the S&P Global BMI or MSCI Barra World Index for this contest? For informational purposes only of course...

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