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GIGM: Net-Net Stock With Upside

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September 23, 2010 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: GIGM

GigaMedia is a Taiwanese gaming stock with market cap a bit over $100 million. They completed a transaction in April in which they sold 60% of their gambling business for $100 million in cash to a French company called Mangas Gaming (implying $167 million for 100%). They have some kind of deal that's like a put option to sell the other 40% in the next few years. They also have about $60 million in cash on their balance sheet and over $20 million in marketable securities. Total liabilities is a little over $70 million. In the most recent quarter they made a little over $1 million in net income. So the way I see it, it's a company with liquidating value of maybe $180 million selling for $100 million, and it's profitable.

As for the upside - they recently partnered with Blizzard to distribute Starcraft 2 and their other games in Southeast Asia. The first Starcraft was very popular in Asia and I expect the second to be as well. I'm not sure how their deal with Blizzard is structured, but it'd have to be pretty bad to not have an impact on their bottom line, considering how tiny this company is and how much Starcraft 2 will probably sell. Also, GigaMedia expects to record a $60 to $70 million one-time profit on the Mangas deal. Neither the Starcraft sales nor the one-time gain were included in their most recent financial statement, expect a huge profit next quarter.

Apart from that, they run some other random MMOs and casual games. The recent fear of fraudulent Chinese stocks is probably hurting their share price but I am pretty sure these guys are legit since they are partnering with Blizzard and just did a $100 million deal. Plus insiders own about 20% of the stock. I already own a small position, down almost 30%. Would love to hear other opinions on it.

2 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On September 23, 2010 at 10:05 AM, benspadt (< 20) wrote:

I initially purchased GIGM prior to the sale of its stake in online gambling software.  After hearing about their teaming up with Blizzard for the Asian release of Starcraft II I purchased some more...so far down 15% on my modest position but we shall see what happens when they report Q3 profits.

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#2) On September 24, 2010 at 12:01 AM, bzhayes (98.73) wrote:

GIGM is fickle for sure.  These numbers have been talked about for some time.  I jumped in about the same time as you and have watched in astonishment as GIGM continued to sink.  The numbers scream buy... however two thoughts have entered my pessimistic mind.  1.  $100 mil isn't very much money.  If management decides to start throwing out bonuses to themselves how long will it last?  2.  How do we know GIGM isn't one of the fraudulent Chinese stocks we are a afraid of?  Are these numbers real?

 Of course... the pessimism surrounding GIGM could mean another buy oportunity.... though I have been thinking that since this stock dropped below $4.  I have a small long position in GIGM, but I don't feel comfortable putting more in.

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